Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Sporting KC is desperate for a spark, but Philly's on an absolute tear** — the Union have won four straight and look unstoppable, while SKC are limping along at 1W in their last five. 🔥
Form tells the whole story here. Philly just demolished Cincinnati and San Diego 5-0 apiece, while Kansas City got battered 3-0 at home by Vancouver and lost 4-3 to Dallas. The gap in momentum is massive.
Key storylines:
- **Philadelphia Union's attacking form** is genuinely frightening — five goals in back-to-back wins means Sporting's backline has a real problem on their hands
- **Sporting KC need a response** after dropping 3-4 at Dallas; home advantage at Children's Mercy Park is their only real lever here
- **J. Davis out for SKC** with a knee injury leaves their lineup thinner, while Philly only miss **A. Anello**
Expected lineups:
- **Sporting Kansas City**: S. Cleveland, E. Karić, O. Blorian, M. Mosquera, J. Reynolds, Capita, L. B. Johnsen, Z. Bassong, C. Harris, T. Calheira, S. Afrifa
- **Philadelphia Union**: A. Blake, K. Wagner, N. Harriel, F. Westfield, N. Pierre, C. Sullivan, D. Jean Jacques, J. Lukić, I. Vassilev, B. Damiani, M. Iloski
Prediction:
**Philadelphia 2-1 Sporting KC**. Philly's the clear favorite on form, but home field keeps it competitive.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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