Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Minnesota's in free fall and Houston's the only team with momentum — but it's still a coin flip in St. Paul.** The Loons have lost five straight at home and away, while the Dynamo scraped together a win and some draws to stay afloat. 🔥
Minnesota's leaking goals like a sieve and Houston's missing key pieces (Herrera suspended, Maurer out). Still, **Houston's got that H2H edge historically** — they've won 6 of the last 21 meetings — but the Loons' familiar turf counts for something when things are this tight.
Key storylines:
- **Houston's defensive strain**: without Herrera (red card) and Maurer sidelined, the backline of Negri, Halter, and Resch will be tested hard by Hlongwane and Yeboah up top
- **Minnesota desperate for a W**: 0-5 tailspin means something *has* to give — Trapp and Pereyra need to control midfield or it gets uglier
- **Chancalay vs Ennali battle**: both creative wings will carry the attacking load in what shapes as a wide-open affair
Expected lineups:
- **Minnesota United**: Callender, Markanich, Duggan, Boxall, Duncan, Pereyra, Trapp, Gene, Chancalay, Yeboah, Hlongwane
- **Houston Dynamo**: Bond, Negri, Halter, Resch, Andrade, Artur, Bouzat, Ennali, Guilherme, Aliyu, Bogusz
Prediction:
**Minnesota 2–1 Houston**
Loons finally break the curse at home with Hlongwane finishing clinical chances. 💪
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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