Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Red Bulls looking to bounce back at home after getting torched in St. Louis — Toronto's been all over the map defensively.** 🔴
New York's won three of their last five but that 0-3 hammering to St. Louis stung. Toronto's only nabbed one win in five and can't keep a clean sheet to save their lives, so the hosts should have options going forward.
Key storylines:
- **New York's attack vs Toronto's leaky defense**: Cowell and Sofo need to punish a backline that's been breached constantly.
- **Sargent's pressing up top**: The Toronto forward will be crucial if they're going to survive the Red Bulls' possession game.
- **Red Bulls' midfield control**: Ruíz and Donkor setting the tempo could be the difference in a home three-pointer.
Expected lineups:
- **New York Red Bulls**: Horvath, Valencia, Bazán, Parker, Nealis, Donkor, Mehmeti, Ruíz, Hall, Cowell, Sofo
- **Toronto FC**: Gavran, Laryea, Zimmerman, Gomis, Kuscevic, Sallói, Coello, Sargent, Dorsch, Corbeanu, Etienne
Prediction:
**New York Red Bulls 2-0 Toronto FC** — the hosts have the edge at home and Toronto's defense is too vulnerable right now. 🎯
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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