Atlanta United 2-3 Chicago Fire: Stats & xG – Oct 24, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Atlanta United 2-3 Chicago Fire.

90+1'

J. Bamba

Substitution, Chicago Fire: L. Barroso comes on for J. Bamba.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

Atlanta United

Corner, Atlanta United.

87'

G. Galoppo

Substitution, Atlanta United: L. Brennan comes on for G. Galoppo.

84'

J. Alonso

Yellow card for J. Alonso (Atlanta United) for foul.

84'

J. A. Gomez

Yellow card for J. A. Gomez (Chicago Fire) for argument.

83'

Atlanta United

Corner, Atlanta United.

81'

M. Mbokazi

Yellow card for M. Mbokazi (Chicago Fire) for foul.

81'

J. Bamba

Attempt missed. J. Bamba (Chicago Fire), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

80'

P. Díaz

Substitution, Atlanta United: M. Edwards comes on for P. Díaz.

80'

Atlanta United

Offside, Atlanta United.

79'

A. Mekvabishvili

Yellow card for A. Mekvabishvili (Chicago Fire) for foul.

77'

G. Galoppo

Attempt missed. G. Galoppo (Atlanta United), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.11.

76'

Atlanta United

Corner, Atlanta United.

74'

P. Díaz

Yellow card for P. Díaz (Atlanta United) for argument.

71'

B. Embolo

Attempt missed. B. Embolo (Atlanta United), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

70'

M. Haile-Selassie

Attempt missed. M. Haile-Selassie (Chicago Fire), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

68'

R. Lewandowski

Substitution, Chicago Fire: J. A. Gomez comes on for R. Lewandowski.

68'

N. Allen

Substitution, Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane comes on for N. Allen.

68'

P. Zinckernagel

Substitution, Chicago Fire: A. Gutman comes on for P. Zinckernagel.

67'

B. Embolo

Goal! Atlanta United 2-3 Chicago Fire. B. Embolo (Atlanta United) scores, assisted by E. Báez.

65'

Chicago Fire

Offside, Chicago Fire.

61'

A. Fortune

Substitution, Atlanta United: F. Picault comes on for A. Fortune.

61'

A. Miranchuk

Substitution, Atlanta United: T. Muyumba comes on for A. Miranchuk.

60'

P. Zinckernagel

Goal! Atlanta United 1-3 Chicago Fire. P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire) scores, assisted by A. Salétros.

59'

L. Hoyos

Yellow card for L. Hoyos (Atlanta United).

57'

P. Zinckernagel

Attempt saved. P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire), right-footed shot. xG 0.33.

51'

A. Mekvabishvili

Goal! Atlanta United 1-2 Chicago Fire. A. Mekvabishvili (Chicago Fire) scores.

51'

M. Haile-Selassie

Attempt missed. M. Haile-Selassie (Chicago Fire), left-footed shot. xG 0.26.

46'

D. T. D'Avilla

Substitution, Chicago Fire: A. Mekvabishvili comes on for D. T. D'Avilla.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Atlanta United 1-1 Chicago Fire.

45+4'

Chicago Fire

Offside, Chicago Fire.

45+3'

Atlanta United

Offside, Atlanta United.

45+1'

Chicago Fire

Corner, Chicago Fire.

45+1'

R. Lewandowski

Attempt blocked. R. Lewandowski (Chicago Fire), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

45'

Atlanta United

Offside, Atlanta United.

45'

A. Salétros

Attempt missed. A. Salétros (Chicago Fire), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

44'

M. Almirón

Attempt missed. M. Almirón (Atlanta United), header. xG 0.05.

44'

G. Galoppo

Attempt missed. G. Galoppo (Atlanta United), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

41'

Chicago Fire

Offside, Chicago Fire.

40'

P. Díaz

Attempt missed. P. Díaz (Atlanta United), header from a set piece. xG 0.03.

38'

D. T. D'Avilla

Yellow card for D. T. D'Avilla (Chicago Fire) for foul.

35'

B. Embolo

Attempt saved. B. Embolo (Atlanta United), right-footed shot. xG 0.20.

32'

M. Haile-Selassie

Attempt blocked. M. Haile-Selassie (Chicago Fire), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

30'

R. Lewandowski

Attempt blocked. R. Lewandowski (Chicago Fire), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

30'

A. Salétros

Goal! Atlanta United 1-1 Chicago Fire. A. Salétros (Chicago Fire) scores.

29'

Chicago Fire

Corner, Chicago Fire.

25'

P. Zinckernagel

Off the woodwork! P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

24'

Chicago Fire

Corner, Chicago Fire.

21'

Chicago Fire

Offside, Chicago Fire.

19'

Chicago Fire

Corner, Chicago Fire.

16'

Chicago Fire

Corner, Chicago Fire.

12'

Atlanta United

Offside, Atlanta United.

8'

Atlanta United

Offside, Atlanta United.

7'

Atlanta United

Corner, Atlanta United.

4'

T. Jacob

Goal! Atlanta United 1-0 Chicago Fire. T. Jacob (Atlanta United) scores, assisted by M. Almirón.

1'

Kick-off: Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire.

Where the money is

67553 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 1 day ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 48208 EUR · live

Away 1.05 · implied 95.2%

65.0%

-30.2 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

29.1%

+29.0 vs price

Draw 22.0 · implied 4.5%

6.6%

+2.0 vs price

Half time 2 EUR

Draw 2.7 · implied 37.0%

86.6%

+49.6 vs price

Away 2.96 · implied 33.8%

14.0%

-19.8 vs price

Home 3.2 · implied 31.2%

7.3%

-23.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 7190 EUR · live

Over 1.19 · implied 84.0%

81.5%

-2.6 vs price

Under 6.2 · implied 16.1%

18.8%

+2.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 321 EUR

Under 1.24 · implied 80.6%

88.8%

+8.2 vs price

Over 5.0 · implied 20.0%

11.2%

-8.8 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 6 clips

Player of the match

Match events

4' ⚽ T. Jacob · assist M. Almirón1–0

30' ⚽ A. Salétros1–1

38' D. T. D'Avilla · Foul

Half-time · 1–1

46' 🔁 A. Mekvabishvili ◂ D. T. D'Avilla

51' ⚽ A. Mekvabishvili1–2

59' L. Hoyos

60' ⚽ P. Zinckernagel · assist A. Salétros1–3

61' 🔁 T. Muyumba ◂ A. Miranchuk

61' 🔁 F. Picault ◂ A. Fortune

67' ⚽ B. Embolo · assist E. Báez2–3

68' 🔁 A. Gutman ◂ P. Zinckernagel

68' 🔁 P. Dithejane ◂ N. Allen

68' 🔁 J. A. Gomez ◂ R. Lewandowski

74' P. Díaz · Argument

79' A. Mekvabishvili · Foul

80' 🔁 M. Edwards ◂ P. Díaz

81' M. Mbokazi · Foul

84' J. Alonso · Foul

84' J. A. Gomez · Argument

87' 🔁 L. Brennan ◂ G. Galoppo

Full-time · 2–3

90'⁺¹ 🔁 L. Barroso ◂ J. Bamba

Coaches

Gerardo Martino

Gregg Berhalter

Recent form

Atlanta United

LHInter Miami CF1-3

WACF Montréal3-0

LHFC Cincinnati1-3

DHNew York City FC2-2

WAPortland Timbers1-0

Chicago Fire

LANew England Revolution0-1

LHPhiladelphia Union1-3

WHNew York City FC2-1

WHVancouver Whitecaps3-1

WACharlotte FC1-0

About this match

**Atlanta's looking to bounce back at home, but Chicago's hit a hot streak** — this one's got all the makings of a proper MLS scrap. 🔥

Atlanta have wobbled lately (1-3 losses to Miami and Cincy are rough), while Chicago have won three of their last five. The visitors aren't short on confidence, even with **injuries biting hard** — four players out including key wingers Lod and Franco.

Key storylines:

- **M. Almirón** and **B. Embolo** need to click for Atlanta's attack; they've been sloppy in front of goal
- Chicago's **P. Zinckernagel** running down the left is their creative lifeline with Lod sidelined
- **Head-to-head edge** favors Atlanta (8 wins to 6), but form says different right now

Expected lineups:

- **Atlanta United**: L. Hoyos, E. Báez, J. Alonso, P. Díaz, T. Jacob, G. Galoppo, T. Muyumba, M. Amaro, A. Miranchuk, B. Embolo, M. Almirón
- **Chicago Fire**: C. Brady, A. Gutman, M. Mbokazi, A. Hanche Olsen, J. Dean, M. Haile-Selassie, D. T. D'Avilla, A. Salétros, P. Zinckernagel, R. Lewandowski, J. A. Gomez

Prediction:

**Atlanta 2-1 Chicago**. Home turf and roster depth edge out a Fire side stretched thin by injury, but it's tighter than their recent form suggests. ⚪

Where to watch

Apple TV

Match facts

Stadium

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

City

Atlanta

Referee

Victor Rivas

4.68 yellows/match · 50 matches

Kickoff

24 Oct, 23:30 UTC

Competition

MLS

Highlights & clips

Atlanta United 4-3-3 · 4-3-3 Chicago Fire

1 L. Hoyos 4.9 55 T. Jacob 7.1 47 M. Edwards 6.4 ↑ 80' 6 J. Alonso 6.0 3 E. Báez 6.3 22 F. Picault 6.6 ↑ 61' 14 M. Amaro 7.6 20 L. Brennan 6.6 ↑ 87' 8 T. Muyumba 6.7 ↑ 62' 36 B. Embolo 7.8 10 M. Almirón 7.2 1 C. Brady 6.2 24 J. Dean 6.4 21 A. Hanche Olsen 6.8 4 M. Mbokazi 6.5 15 A. Gutman 6.7 ↑ 69' 6 A. Salétros 8.3 23 A. Mekvabishvili 7.5 ↑ 46' 7 M. Haile-Selassie 6.3 18 J. A. Gomez 7.0 ↑ 69' 12 P. Dithejane 6.6 ↑ 69' 2 L. Barroso 6.5 ↑ 90'

Substitutes

42GJ. Hibbert 27DP. Díaz↓ 80'6.5 4DE. Mihaj 11MG. Galoppo↓ 87'7.2 35MA. Fortune↓ 61'6.4 7MS. Alzate 48MC. Sanchez 59FA. Miranchuk↓ 62'6.7 19FS. Santos

Coach: Gerardo Martino

Substitutes

44GJ. Cohen 32DN. Allen↓ 69'6.0 11MP. Zinckernagel↓ 69'8.0 42MD. T. D'Avilla↓ 46'6.6 22MM. Pineda 29MD. Poreba 35MS. Oregel 19FJ. Bamba↓ 90'7.5 9FR. Lewandowski↓ 69'6.2

Coach: Gregg Berhalter

Top stats

48%Possession52%

0.79Expected goals (xG)1.77

8Total shots12

3Shots on target4

2Big chances2

4Corners5

Shots

5Shots off target5

0Blocked shots3

8Shots inside box10

0Shots outside box2

0Hit woodwork1

0Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed1

-0.35Goals prevented-0.46

Attack

21Touches in box25

58Final third entries70

5Offsides5

14Free kicks8

0Fouled in final third2

Passing

428Passes484

332Accurate passes388

34/73 (47%)Long balls22/52 (42%)

7/23 (30%)Crosses1/14 (7%)

17Throw-ins14

Duels

51Duels49

28/55 (51%)Ground duels27/55 (49%)

12/24 (50%)Aerial duels12/24 (50%)

6/13 (46%)Dribbles2/8 (25%)

12Dispossessed3

Defending

9Tackles19

67Tackles won47

10Interceptions7

15Clearances32

49Recoveries54

Discipline

8Fouls14

3Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves1

8Goal kicks5

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 14 bookmakers

Atlanta 36%

24%

Chicago 40%

BTTSBoth teams to score 66% · 1.42 @ fonbet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 65% · 1.44 @ Bet365

Who winsChicago to win (DNB) 52% · 1.83 @ Betsson

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.12 @ Bet365

1X2Chicago to win 40% · 2.88 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.83 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62%

1X2Draw 24% · 2.50 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61%

1X2Atlanta to win 36% · 3.00 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 56% · 1.73 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.55

Atlanta United

3.80

Draw

2.30

Chicago Fire

Double Chanceconsensus

1.57

Atlanta United or Draw

1.25

Atlanta United or Chicago Fire

1.50

Draw or Chicago Fire

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.40

Yes

2.80

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

21.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.12

Over 1.50

6.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.44

Over 2.50

2.70

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.00

Over 3.50

1.73

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.40

Over 4.50

1.30

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.93

Atlanta United

1.77

Chicago Fire

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.83

Over 9.50

1.83

Under 9.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

3.00

Atlanta United

2.50

Draw

2.88

Chicago Fire

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

84% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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