Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Houston and Minnesota are stuck in a rut, and this draw-fest has "another X-X" written all over it.** Both teams look exhausted — the Dynamo are winless in five, the Loons barely better at one win in their last five. 🔄
Houston's home turf might be the only edge here, but they've been leaking goals too (three draws with multiple tallies each). Minnesota just beat St. Louis City but drew twice since, so form's all over the place. Neither team seems sharp enough to pull away.
Key storylines:
- **J. Bond** and **D. Callender** will need their A-game in goal — both backlines are porous and mistakes keep piling up
- **Guilherme** and **H. Herrera** carry Houston's creative load, but Minnesota's **W. Trapp** and **J. Díaz** midfield should lock things down
- Houston missing **F. Andrade**; Minnesota without **P. Stroud** and **A. Smir** — depth depth depth issues on both sides
Expected lineups:
- **Houston Dynamo**: J. Bond, F. Negri, L. Halter, A. Carlos, H. Herrera, Guilherme, M. Bogusz, I. Aliyu
- **Minnesota United**: D. Callender, M. Duggan, M. Boxall, K. Duncan, W. Trapp, J. Díaz, T. Chancalay, B. Hlongwane
Prediction:
**2-2 draw.** Coin flip vibes — both teams are too defensive-minded to hurt each other, but just sloppy enough to concede. Classic stalemate. 📍
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.