Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Both teams are limping into this one, but Sporting's got more bodies on the sideline** — could be the difference at home. 🏟️
Sporting's form is brutal (1W 1D 3L), with a couple of humbling blowouts recently. Austin aren't exactly thriving either (0W 2D 3L), though they've nicked a couple of draws to steady the ship. Head-to-head favors **Austin 7-4** over the last dozen, so there's no "home fortress" vibe here.
Key storylines:
- **Sporting's injury crisis** is real — five players out including D. Borges and J. Reynolds, which thins midfield rotation badly
- **Austin need a clean sheet** desperately; they've shipped 3+ goals in two of their last three and can't afford another battering
- **Home court won't guarantee much** given Sporting's recent results, but Children's Mercy Park and fresh legs from a rest could flip the script
Expected lineups:
- **Sporting Kansas City**: S. Cleveland, E. Karić, W. Meyer, J. Miller, C. Harris, S. Afrifa, K. Agyabeng, André Luiz, T. Calheira
- **Austin FC**: B. Stuver, O. Svatok, B. Hines-Ike, J. Bell, J. Gallagher, M. Desler, E. Torres, B. Vázquez, F. Torres
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — both teams are too fragile to push for the win; Austin park the bus, Sporting can't break through.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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