Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
V. Loturi
29'
⚽N. Hagglund
assist Evander
assist Evander
33'
D. Sealy
42'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
N. Hagglund
45'+4
🔁G. Flores ◂ T. Hadebe
46'
🔁S. Gidi ◂ O. Nwobodo
46'
🔁Y. Kubo ◂ D. Marczuk
46'
🔁F. Álvarez ◂ J. Neal
46'
⚽Evander
assist N. Hagglund
assist N. Hagglund
56'
🔁I. Jaime ◂ F. Herbers
58'
🔁O. Escobar ◂ D. Sealy
58'
S. Gidi
61'
🔁G. Vrioni ◂ P. Owusu
73'
🔁T. Anunga ◂ N. Hagglund
77'
🔁K. Opoku ◂ I. Jaime
78'
🔁B. Duke ◂ H. Synchuk
81'
🔁G. Valenzuela ◂ K. Kamara
84'
⚽Brenner
assist G. Valenzuela
assist G. Valenzuela
88'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
Form
FC Cincinnati
LWWDW
CF Montréal
DLLWD
Match facts
Stadium
TQL Stadium
City
Cincinnati
Referee
Tim Ford
Kickoff
18 Oct, 22:00 UTC
FC Cincinnati
3-4-1-2
18
R. Celentano
7.6
4
N. Hagglund
⚽1
7.2
12
M. Robinson
7.8
16
T. L. Hadebe
6.8
2
A. Powell
6.6
20
P. Bucha
6.8
5
O. Nwobodo
6.7
15
D. Marczuk
6.7
10
Evander
⚽1
8.9
85
K. Kamara
6.2
8
Brenner
⚽1
7.3
Substitutes
11
S. Gidi
6.4
7
Y. Kubo
6.8
3
G. Flores
7.1
27
T. Anunga
6.8
22
G. Valenzuela
7.4
1
A. Kann
66
E. Echenique
13
E. Louro
CF Montréal
4-2-3-1
31
T. Gillier
6.8
19
B. Hidalgo
6.2
5
B. Craig
7.2
2
J. Neal
6.6
13
L. Petrasso
6.4
22
V. Loturi
6.5
8
M. Longstaff
6.7
25
D. Sealy
6.4
18
H. Synchuk
6.8
21
F. Herbers
6.8
9
P. Owusu
6.4
Substitutes
4
F. Álvarez
6.5
11
I. Jaime
7.0
29
O. Escobar
6.7
17
G. Vrioni
6.5
7
K. Opoku
6.2
10
B. Duke
6.5
40
J. Sirois
39
Y. A. Guboglo
35
O. Graham-Roache
Coach: Pat Noonan
Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy
46%Possession54%
2.17Expected goals (xG)1.28
12Total shots9
7Shots on target3
5Big chances1
5Corners12
10Fouls10
2Yellow cards2