Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match events
23'
⚽
E. Latte Lath
35'
🔁
D. Kerr ◂ O. Brynhildsen
45'
⚽
0–0
45'
⚽
45'+6
D. Flores
48'
⚽
D. Flores · assist M. Longstaff1–0
53'
🔁
A. Coello ◂ D. Flores
62'
S. Rosted
64'
🔁
T. Spicer ◂ D. Etienne
65'
🔁
L. Brennan ◂ S. Lobzhanidze
76'
🔁
J. Thiaré ◂ T. Muyumba
82'
T. Spicer
88'
R. Petretta
90'
⚽
1–1
90'
⚽
L. Brennan
90'
⚽
90'+4
🔁
L. Stefanovic ◂ T. Corbeanu
90'+6
🔁
C. Sharp ◂ S. Rosted
90'+11
⚽
E. Latte Lath (pen)1–1
90'+12
M. Longstaff
90'+12
J. Thiaré
Coaches
Robin FraserGerardo Martino 
Recent form
Toronto FCLNew York City FC3-1Toronto FC
WToronto FC3-0Portland Timbers
DToronto FC1-1New York Red Bulls
LToronto FC0-2Charlotte FC
LToronto FC1-2Philadelphia Union
Atlanta UnitedDDC United0-0Atlanta United
LColumbus Crew3-1Atlanta United
LNew York City FC4-0Atlanta United
LNew York Red Bulls2-0Atlanta United
WAtlanta United3-2Orlando City SC
Match facts
Stadium
BMO Field
City
Toronto
Referee
Jon Freemon
Kickoff
12 Jul, 23:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
Toronto FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Atlanta United
1
S. Johnson
7.1
6
K. Thompson
7.4
22
R. Laryea
6.8
17
S. Rosted
6.5
28
R. Petretta
6.9
8
M. Longstaff
7.2
20
D. Flores
7.6
7
T. Corbeanu
7.7
23
M. Dominguez
6.9
11
D. Etienne
6.8
9
O. Brynhildsen
6.3
42
J. Hibbert
7.4
11
B. Lennon
7.0
21
E. Morales
7.4
44
L. Abram
6.8
18
P. Amador
7.1
8
T. Muyumba
6.8
99
B. Slisz
7.4
10
M. Almirón
7.7
59
A. Miranchuk
7.4
9
S. Lobzhanidze
6.4
19
E. Latte Lath
6.7
Substitutes
29D. Kerr6.414A. Coello6.316T. Spicer6.776L. Stefanovic6.338C. Sharp5.377A. D. Rosario90L. Gavran19K. Franklin71M. Cimermancic
Coach: Robin Fraser
Substitutes
20L. Brennan7.014J. Thiaré6.51B. Guzan2R. Hernández24N. Cobb47M. Edwards43M. Klich28W. Reilly30C. Togashi
Coach: Gerardo Martino
37%Possession63%
0.72Expected goals (xG)1.32
13Total shots10
5Shots on target3
2Big chances2
3Corners3
14Fouls9
5Yellow cards1