Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽P. Zinckernagel
2'
S. Oregel
28'
P. Amador
31'
D. T. D'Avilla
35'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
⚽A. Miranchuk
assist M. Almirón
assist M. Almirón
56'
🔁M. Haile-Selassie ◂ J. Bamba
67'
🔁R. Kouamé ◂ S. Oregel
67'
🔁W. Reilly ◂ T. Muyumba
71'
🔁L. Brennan ◂ S. Lobzhanidze
71'
🔁J. Thiaré ◂ E. Latte Lath
71'
⚽M. Haile-Selassie
assist A. Gutman
assist A. Gutman
79'
🔁M. Pineda ◂ D. T. D'Avilla
81'
B. Slisz
83'
🔁C. Togashi ◂ L. Abram
87'
🔁M. Edwards ◂ B. Lennon
87'
🔁L. Barroso ◂ P. Zinckernagel
89'
🔁T. Barlow ◂ H. Cuypers
89'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
⚽W. Reilly
90'+4
Coaches
Gerardo MartinoGregg Berhalter 
Recent form
Atlanta UnitedDToronto FC1-1Atlanta United
DDC United0-0Atlanta United
LColumbus Crew3-1Atlanta United
LNew York City FC4-0Atlanta United
LNew York Red Bulls2-0Atlanta United
Chicago FireLChicago Fire1-2San Diego FC
LFC Cincinnati2-1Chicago Fire
WChicago Fire3-2Charlotte FC
LChicago Fire0-1Philadelphia Union
LChicago Fire0-2Nashville SC
Match facts
Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
City
Atlanta
Referee
Sergii Demianchuk
Kickoff
16 Jul, 23:30 UTC
52%Possession48%
1.21Expected goals (xG)2.17
10Total shots14
4Shots on target8
2Big chances4
3Corners4
11Fouls6
2Yellow cards2