Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
🔁T. Hadebe ◂ N. Hagglund
14'
⚽D. Williams
assist A. Miranchuk
assist A. Miranchuk
15'
M. Robinson
15'
⚽A. Fortune
assist S. Lobzhanidze
assist S. Lobzhanidze
20'
O. Nwobodo
38'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
⚽M. Robinson
assist Evander
assist Evander
48'
🔁R. Hernández ◂ P. Amador
60'
⚽B. Slisz
assist A. Miranchuk
assist A. Miranchuk
66'
⚽G. Valenzuela
assist L. Engel
assist L. Engel
70'
🔁K. Kamara ◂ O. Nwobodo
71'
🔁J. Thiaré ◂ E. Latte Lath
80'
🔁M. Klich ◂ M. Almirón
81'
🔁D. Yedlin ◂ M. Miazga
83'
🔁S. Santos ◂ L. Engel
83'
⚽
90'
D. Yedlin
90'
⚽
90'
🔁W. Reilly ◂ S. Lobzhanidze
90'+1
🔁N. Cobb ◂ A. Fortune
90'+1
⚽J. Thiaré
assist M. Klich
assist M. Klich
90'+4
Coaches
Pat Noonan 
Recent form
LAtlanta United0-1Philadelphia Union
DAustin FC1-1Atlanta United
LChicago Fire2-1Atlanta United
DAtlanta United1-1Nashville SC
LOrlando City SC3-0Atlanta United
DColumbus Crew1-1FC Cincinnati
WToronto FC0-1FC Cincinnati
WFC Cincinnati2-1Austin FC
LNew York City FC1-0FC Cincinnati
WFC Cincinnati2-1Sporting Kansas City
Match facts
Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
City
Atlanta
Referee
Guido Gonzales Jr
Kickoff
25 May, 23:00 UTC
1
B. Guzan
8.0
47
M. Edwards
7.2
3
D. Williams
8.1
44
L. Abram
6.5
9
S. Lobzhanidze
7.6
59
A. Miranchuk
8.3
99
B. Slisz
7.2
35
A. Fortune
7.9
18
P. Amador
6.3
10
M. Almirón
6.8
19
E. Latte Lath
6.7
18
R. Celentano
6.4
4
N. Hagglund
6.8
21
M. Miazga
6.9
12
M. Robinson
7.2
23
L. Orellano
7.2
20
P. Bucha
7.0
5
O. Nwobodo
6.6
29
L. Engel
7.2
22
G. Valenzuela
7.1
10
Evander
8.8
9
K. Denkey
7.3
Substitutes
2R. Hernández6.514J. Thiaré7.643M. Klich7.424N. Cobb28W. Reilly22J. Cohen21E. Morales20L. Brennan70E. Mosquera
Coach: Gerardo Martino
Substitutes
16T. Hadebe6.285K. Kamara6.591D. Yedlin6.517S. Santos6.413E. Louro2A. Powell3G. Flores27T. Anunga11C. Baird
Coach: Pat Noonan
37%Possession63%
2.67Expected goals (xG)1.6
12Total shots29
7Shots on target10
9Big chances4
2Corners11
8Fouls11
0Yellow cards3