Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽C. Araújo
assist M. Pašalić
assist M. Pašalić
4'
⚽A. Miranchuk
19'
⚽R. Enrique
32'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
B. Slisz
63'
🔁M. Klich ◂ M. Edwards
68'
🔁P. Amador ◂ R. Hernández
68'
🔁J. Thiaré ◂ E. Latte Lath
68'
🔁L. Muriel ◂ M. Pašalić
73'
🔁E. Atuesta ◂ M. Ojeda
74'
🔁K. Smith ◂ I. Angulo
74'
C. Araújo
77'
M. Klich
79'
🔁D. D. Þórhallsson ◂ R. Enrique
80'
🔁E. Mosquera ◂ L. Abram
82'
A. Fortune
82'
⚽B. Slisz
assist A. Miranchuk
assist A. Miranchuk
83'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
E. Atuesta
90'+1
P. Gallese
90'+3
⚽J. Thiaré
assist S. Lobzhanidze
assist S. Lobzhanidze
90'+5
🔁D. McGuire ◂ R. Schlegel
90'+7
🔁N. Cobb ◂ S. Lobzhanidze
90'+7
Unknown
-5'
Coaches
Gerardo MartinoMartín Perelman 
Recent form
Atlanta UnitedWAtlanta United4-2FC Cincinnati
LAtlanta United0-1Philadelphia Union
DAustin FC1-1Atlanta United
LChicago Fire2-1Atlanta United
DAtlanta United1-1Nashville SC
Orlando City SCWOrlando City SC1-0Portland Timbers
WInter Miami CF0-3Orlando City SC
WOrlando City SC3-1Charlotte FC
DOrlando City SC3-3New England Revolution
DChicago Fire0-0Orlando City SC
Match facts
Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
City
Atlanta
Referee
Filip Dujic
Kickoff
28 May, 23:30 UTC
Atlanta United
5-3-2 · 4-1-4-1
Orlando City SC
1
B. Guzan
6.7
9
S. Lobzhanidze
6.5
47
M. Edwards
6.2
3
D. Williams
6.8
44
L. Abram
6.6
2
R. Hernández
6.5
59
A. Miranchuk
8.6
99
B. Slisz
7.7
35
A. Fortune
7.1
10
M. Almirón
7.0
19
E. Latte Lath
6.5
1
P. Gallese
6.3
30
A. Freeman
7.2
15
R. Schlegel
6.6
6
R. Jansson
6.6
4
D. Brekalo
7.0
35
J. Gerbet
6.6
87
M. Pašalić
7.7
5
C. Araújo
7.1
10
M. Ojeda
7.3
77
I. Angulo
7.0
7
R. Enrique
7.5
Substitutes
18P. Amador7.043M. Klich6.914J. Thiaré7.270E. Mosquera6.724N. Cobb42J. Hibbert21E. Morales28W. Reilly20L. Brennan
Coach: Gerardo Martino
Substitutes
9L. Muriel6.424K. Smith6.220E. Atuesta6.517D. D. Þórhallsson6.213D. McGuire12J. Otero96Z. Taifi3R. Santos23S. Mohammed
Coach: Martín Perelman
60%Possession40%
1.8Expected goals (xG)0.91
14Total shots11
5Shots on target5
4Big chances2
5Corners6
12Fouls4
3Yellow cards2