Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
⚽B. Vázquez
55'
🔁A. Fortune ◂ R. Hernández
56'
🔁T. Muyumba ◂ M. Klich
57'
🔁J. Thiaré ◂ E. Latte Lath
57'
A. Fortune
59'
🔁S. Lobzhanidze ◂ D. Williams
69'
🔁J. Obrian ◂ O. Bukari
79'
🔁Ž. Kolmanič ◂ O. Wolff
79'
🔁E. Mosquera ◂ A. Miranchuk
84'
🔁N. Dubersarsky ◂ B. Sabović
85'
🔁C. Fodrey ◂ B. Vázquez
85'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
⚽J. Thiaré
assist S. Lobzhanidze
assist S. Lobzhanidze
90'+2
🔁D. Rubio ◂ M. Uzuni
90'+3
Coaches
Nico EstévezGerardo Martino 
Recent form
Austin FCLFC Cincinnati2-1Austin FC
LAustin FC0-3Minnesota United
LHouston Dynamo2-0Austin FC
WAustin FC1-0LA Galaxy
LVancouver Whitecaps5-1Austin FC
Atlanta UnitedLChicago Fire2-1Atlanta United
DAtlanta United1-1Nashville SC
LOrlando City SC3-0Atlanta United
LPhiladelphia Union3-0Atlanta United
LAtlanta United0-1New England Revolution
Match facts
Stadium
Q2 Stadium
City
Austin
Referee
Malik Badawi
Kickoff
15 May, 01:00 UTC
Austin FC
4-3-3 · 5-4-1
Atlanta United
1
B. Stuver
7.4
17
J. Gallagher
7.2
5
O. Svatok
6.9
18
J. Cascante
6.8
29
Guilherme Biro
6.9
33
O. Wolff
7.5
6
I. Sánchez
6.8
14
B. Sabović
6.9
10
M. Uzuni
6.9
9
B. Vázquez
7.7
11
O. Bukari
7.2
1
B. Guzan
7.2
47
M. Edwards
6.5
24
N. Cobb
6.8
3
D. Williams
6.9
44
L. Abram
6.8
2
R. Hernández
6.4
10
M. Almirón
6.9
99
B. Slisz
6.9
43
M. Klich
6.8
59
A. Miranchuk
7.0
19
E. Latte Lath
7.0
Substitutes
23Ž. Kolmanič6.67J. Obrian6.820N. Dubersarsky6.319C. Fodrey6.921D. Rubio30S. Cleveland4B. Hines-Ike2R. Thomas32M. Burton
Coach: Nico Estévez
Substitutes
35A. Fortune6.88T. Muyumba6.614J. Thiaré7.29S. Lobzhanidze7.170E. Mosquera6.322J. Cohen21E. Morales28W. Reilly20L. Brennan
Coach: Gerardo Martino
51%Possession49%
0.95Expected goals (xG)1.33
18Total shots8
5Shots on target5
1Big chances2
9Corners5
10Fouls10
0Yellow cards1