Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match events
20'
🔁
S. Lobzhanidze ◂ B. Lennon
21'
A. Bedoya
45'
⚽
0–0
45'
⚽
46'
🔁
T. Baribo ◂ C. Donovan
49'
B. Damiani
56'
⚽
M. Uhre
57'
L. Abram
59'
⚽
T. Baribo (pen)0–1
60'
🔁
D. Jean Jacques ◂ A. Bedoya
60'
🔁
Q. Sullivan ◂ B. Damiani
66'
🔁
E. Latte Lath ◂ J. Thiaré
67'
🔁
E. Mosquera ◂ T. Muyumba
71'
🔁
I. Vassilev ◂ J. Bueno
86'
🔁
B. Slisz ◂ P. Amador
89'
K. Wagner
90'
⚽
0–1
90'
⚽
90'+3
🔁
J. Glesnes ◂ M. Uhre
90'+3
E. Mosquera
Coaches
Gerardo MartinoBradley Carnell 
Recent form
Atlanta UnitedDAustin FC1-1Atlanta United
LChicago Fire2-1Atlanta United
DAtlanta United1-1Nashville SC
LOrlando City SC3-0Atlanta United
LPhiladelphia Union3-0Atlanta United
Philadelphia UnionWPhiladelphia Union3-2LA Galaxy
DPhiladelphia Union2-2Columbus Crew
WCF Montréal1-2Philadelphia Union
WPhiladelphia Union3-0DC United
WPhiladelphia Union3-0Atlanta United
Match facts
Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
City
Atlanta
Referee
Chris Penso
Kickoff
17 May, 23:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
Atlanta United
5-3-2 · 3-4-1-2
Philadelphia Union
1
B. Guzan
7.9
11
B. Lennon
6.8
47
M. Edwards
7.1
3
D. Williams
7.3
44
L. Abram
6.4
18
P. Amador
7.1
59
A. Miranchuk
7.8
8
T. Muyumba
6.5
35
A. Fortune
7.4
14
J. Thiaré
6.6
10
M. Almirón
7.0
76
A. Rick
7.5
26
N. Harriel
7.7
29
O. Makhanya
7.3
27
K. Wagner
7.7
4
J. Lukić
7.2
11
A. Bedoya
7.0
8
J. Bueno
6.9
39
F. Westfield
6.9
20
B. Damiani
7.0
7
M. Uhre
6.8
25
C. Donovan
6.9
Substitutes
9S. Lobzhanidze6.319E. Latte Lath6.770E. Mosquera6.799B. Slisz6.622J. Cohen24N. Cobb2R. Hernández28W. Reilly43M. Klich
Coach: Gerardo Martino
Substitutes
9T. Baribo6.821D. Jean Jacques6.833Q. Sullivan7.119I. Vassilev6.65J. Glesnes1O. Semmle6C. Sullivan16B. Bender14J. Rafanello
Coach: Bradley Carnell
65%Possession35%
1.17Expected goals (xG)1.79
10Total shots14
3Shots on target6
1Big chances2
4Corners6
9Fouls10
2Yellow cards3