Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽H. Cuypers (pen)
14'
A. Fortune
35'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
A. Miranchuk
45'+5
E. Latte Lath
60'
M. Pineda
60'
🔁B. Slisz ◂ M. Klich
73'
🔁T. Muyumba ◂ R. Hernández
73'
🔁S. Lobzhanidze ◂ A. Fortune
73'
S. Rogers
73'
⚽S. Rogers
80'
🔁N. Cobb ◂ B. Lennon
81'
🔁M. Haile-Selassie ◂ P. Zinckernagel
81'
🔁O. Glasgow ◂ J. Dean
81'
🔁R. Kouamé ◂ S. Oregel
81'
⚽R. Kouamé
assist O. Glasgow
assist O. Glasgow
86'
⚽
90'
🔁J. Thiaré ◂ M. Edwards
90'
🔁O. Gonzalez ◂ B. Gutierrez
90'
⚽
90'
Unknown
-5'
Coaches
Gregg BerhalterGerardo Martino 
Recent form
Chicago FireDChicago Fire0-0Orlando City SC
LNashville SC7-2Chicago Fire
LChicago Fire2-3FC Cincinnati
DChicago Fire0-0Inter Miami CF
LNew York Red Bulls2-1Chicago Fire
Atlanta UnitedDAtlanta United1-1Nashville SC
LOrlando City SC3-0Atlanta United
LPhiladelphia Union3-0Atlanta United
LAtlanta United0-1New England Revolution
DAtlanta United1-1FC Dallas
Match facts
Stadium
Soldier Field
City
Chicago
Referee
Lukasz Szpala
Kickoff
10 May, 18:30 UTC
Chicago Fire
4-3-3 · 5-4-1
Atlanta United
25
J. Gal
6.8
24
J. Dean
6.7
5
S. Rogers
6.3
3
J. Elliott
7.5
15
A. Gutman
6.9
35
S. Oregel
7.1
22
M. Pineda
7.2
17
B. Gutierrez
7.6
11
P. Zinckernagel
7.5
9
H. Cuypers
7.2
19
J. Bamba
7.0
1
B. Guzan
7.8
11
B. Lennon
6.6
47
M. Edwards
6.0
3
D. Williams
7.2
44
L. Abram
6.5
2
R. Hernández
6.8
10
M. Almirón
6.8
43
M. Klich
6.6
35
A. Fortune
6.8
59
A. Miranchuk
7.0
19
E. Latte Lath
7.0
Substitutes
7M. Haile-Selassie7.16R. Kouamé7.726O. Glasgow7.434O. Gonzalez31B. Dowd38C. Cupps23K. Acosta42D. T. D'Avilla12T. Barlow
Coach: Gregg Berhalter
Substitutes
9S. Lobzhanidze6.48T. Muyumba6.699B. Slisz6.724N. Cobb6.614J. Thiaré22J. Cohen21E. Morales70E. Mosquera20L. Brennan
Coach: Gerardo Martino
52%Possession48%
2.62Expected goals (xG)1.31
18Total shots13
8Shots on target2
4Big chances0
9Corners1
10Fouls9
2Yellow cards3