Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽L. Muriel
38'
⚽L. Muriel (pen)
42'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
⚽A. Freeman
assist M. Pašalić
assist M. Pašalić
51'
🔁M. Ojeda ◂ D. McGuire
60'
🔁E. Mosquera ◂ S. Lobzhanidze
65'
⚽M. Pašalić
67'
🔁A. Fortune ◂ M. Klich
75'
🔁M. Edwards ◂ B. Lennon
75'
🔁N. Rodríguez ◂ I. Angulo
75'
B. Slisz
79'
🔁G. Caraballo ◂ M. Pašalić
86'
🔁D. D. Þórhallsson ◂ K. Smith
86'
🔁C. Guske ◂ L. Muriel
86'
🔁L. Brennan ◂ J. Thiaré
87'
🔁R. Hernández ◂ P. Amador
87'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
A. Fortune
90'+1
R. Schlegel
90'+5
Coaches
Martín PerelmanGerardo Martino 
Recent form
Orlando City SCDCF Montréal0-0Orlando City SC
DOrlando City SC0-0New York Red Bulls
DPhiladelphia Union0-0Orlando City SC
WLA Galaxy1-2Orlando City SC
WOrlando City SC4-1DC United
Atlanta UnitedLPhiladelphia Union3-0Atlanta United
LAtlanta United0-1New England Revolution
DAtlanta United1-1FC Dallas
WAtlanta United4-3New York City FC
DFC Cincinnati2-2Atlanta United
Match facts
Stadium
Inter&Co Stadium
City
Orlando
Referee
Marcos de Oliveira
Kickoff
26 Apr, 23:15 UTC
Orlando City SC
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Atlanta United
1
P. Gallese
7.0
15
R. Schlegel
7.0
6
R. Jansson
7.3
4
D. Brekalo
7.1
30
A. Freeman
7.6
20
E. Atuesta
7.3
24
K. Smith
6.6
77
I. Angulo
7.0
87
M. Pašalić
8.6
9
L. Muriel
7.6
13
D. McGuire
6.3
1
B. Guzan
6.3
11
B. Lennon
6.8
24
N. Cobb
6.0
44
L. Abram
6.4
18
P. Amador
7.0
99
B. Slisz
6.9
43
M. Klich
6.7
10
M. Almirón
7.0
59
A. Miranchuk
6.6
9
S. Lobzhanidze
6.3
14
J. Thiaré
6.8
Substitutes
10M. Ojeda6.611N. Rodríguez6.717D. D. Þórhallsson6.625C. Guske6.665G. Caraballo6.812J. Otero68T. Williams23S. Mohammed7R. Enrique
Coach: Martín Perelman
Substitutes
70E. Mosquera6.847M. Edwards6.935A. Fortune6.62R. Hernández6.520L. Brennan6.522J. Cohen21E. Morales28W. Reilly30C. Togashi
Coach: Gerardo Martino
54%Possession46%
2.36Expected goals (xG)0.58
16Total shots12
6Shots on target0
5Big chances0
3Corners5
7Fouls15
1Yellow cards2