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Joaquin Papa
Independiente del Valle
Deportes Tolima
Independiente del Valle
4-1-4-1 · 4-4-2
Deportes Tolima
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
398116 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.3%
-9.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.0%
+5.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.8%
+4.7 vs price
Half time
651 EUR
Away
8.4 · implied 11.9%
40.7%
+28.8 vs price
Home
2.08 · implied 48.1%
38.4%
-9.7 vs price
Draw
2.44 · implied 41.0%
20.7%
-20.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
267096 EUR · live
Under
1.54 · implied 64.9%
87.4%
+22.5 vs price
Over
2.86 · implied 35.0%
12.6%
-22.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
309 EUR
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
86.8%
-3.3 vs price
Over
9.2 · implied 10.9%
13.0%
+2.1 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
58'
A. Parra · Foul
59'
⚽
D. Romero1–0
62'
🔁
K. Florez ◂ J. Mosquera
62'
🔁
E. López ◂ S. A. A. Castillo
65'
H. Martinez · Argument
67'
🔁
R. Briones ◂ H. Quintana
70'
⚽
C. González · assist D. Romero2–0
74'
J. Sornoza · Time wasting
76'
🔁
J. Angulo ◂ E. Pata
76'
🔁
L. Sánchez ◂ A. Parra
76'
🔁
J. Ángulo ◂ H. Martinez
80'
S. Guzmán · Argument
82'
🔁
M. Perello ◂ A. Rodríguez
82'
🔁
J. Méndez ◂ J. Sornoza
82'
🔁
D. Reasco ◂ C. González
84'
⚽
J. Hernández2–1
Full-time · 3–1
90'+5
⚽
M. Perello · assist R. Briones3–1
Coaches
Sebastián Oliveros 
Recent form
WADeportes Tolima1-0
WHRosario Central1-0
WHLibertad4-1
LAUniversidad Central0-2
WALibertad3-2
DHAtlético Bucaramanga0-0
LHIndependiente del Valle0-1
WHInternacional de Bogotá2-1
LHIndependiente Medellín2-3
WAAlianza Valledupar FC2-1
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Disney+ Premium Chile
BetanoParamount+
beIN Sports en Español
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+ Premium SurESPN Colombia
Disney+ Premium SurESPN Colombia
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+ Premium Argentina
beIN SportsbeIN Sports en EspañolfuboTV
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Disney+ Premium SurESPN Colombia
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
City
Sangolqui
Kickoff
26 Aug, 00:30 UTC
Competition
Copa Libertadores
Highlights & clips
1
A. Quintana
6.1
13
D. Romero
7.6
14
M. Carabajal
7.1
5
R. Schunke
7.3
19
L. Loor
6.6
6
J. Alcivar
6.2
11
M. Perello
8.0
↑ 82'
16
R. Briones
6.8
↑ 67'
32
J. Méndez
6.7
↑ 82'
50
J. Angulo
6.5
↑ 76'
99
D. Reasco
6.5
↑ 82'
1
N. Volpi
7.0
17
C. Arrieta
5.7
71
Y. Osorio
6.2
2
A. Angulo
6.1
20
J. Hernández
7.2
18
K. Florez
6.8
↑ 62'
32
S. Guzmán
6.2
3
J. Ángulo
6.4
↑ 76'
10
L. Sánchez
6.5
↑ 76'
7
J. Hurtado
5.3
28
E. López
6.6
↑ 62'
Substitutes
70GM. Peralta
4DJ. Espinoza
23DJ. Viacava
15DG. Cortez
33DA. Velasco
31ME. Pata↓ 76'7.7
17MA. Rodríguez↓ 82'7.4
10MJ. Sornoza↓ 82'7.2
28MH. Quintana↓ 67'6.9
8MY. Ochoa
9FC. González↓ 82'7.8
52FY. Vásquez
Coach: Joaquin Papa
Substitutes
23GG. Balanta
70GM. Ortega
33DJ. Mosquera↓ 62'6.2
30DS. Barbosa
4DD. Pedrozo
14MH. Martinez↓ 76'6.6
16MV. Reyes
15FS. A. A. Castillo↓ 62'6.3
24FA. Parra↓ 76'6.1
11FJ. Valencia
8FE. Valencia
Coach: Sebastián Oliveros
Top stats
46%Possession54%
2.38Expected goals (xG)0.53
20Total shots11
7Shots on target3
7Big chances1
3Corners2
Shots
11Shots off target4
2Blocked shots4
12Shots inside box5
8Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored0
4Big chances missed1
-0.82Goals prevented-0.04
Attack
27Touches in box15
38Final third entries53
0Offsides2
11Free kicks3
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
386Passes462
335Accurate passes382
35/51 (69%)Long balls22/49 (45%)
4/14 (29%)Crosses1/12 (8%)
20Throw-ins21
Duels
58Duels42
29/55 (53%)Ground duels26/55 (47%)
20/29 (69%)Aerial duels9/29 (31%)
8/14 (57%)Dribbles12/19 (63%)
5Dispossessed3
Defending
10Tackles11
50Tackles won55
6Interceptions7
30Clearances13
54Recoveries47
Discipline
3Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
7Goal kicks16
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 53 bookmakers
1X2Ind. del Valle to win 57% · 2.90 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.13 @ 888Sport
BTTSBTTS: No 56% · 1.20 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.03 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 26% · 2.55 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.85 @ Unibet
Who winsInd. del Valle to win (DNB) 54% · 1.73 @ boylesports
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.53 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.45 @ 888Sport
1X2Tolima to win 17% · 6.00 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.63
Independiente del Valle ▼
3.35
Draw ▲
5.44
Deportes Tolima ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.12
Independiente del Valle or Draw ▼
1.27
Independiente del Valle or Deportes Tolima ▼
2.14
Draw or Deportes Tolima ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.39
Yes ▲
1.50
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
1.85
YES
1.85
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.75
YES
1.15
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.27
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
9.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.48
Over 1.50 ▼
2.48
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.43
Over 2.50 ▼
1.49
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.69
Over 3.50 ▼
1.15
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.72
Independiente del Valle
2.02
Deportes Tolima
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.30
Over 7.50
3.04
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.53
Over 8.50
2.31
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.92
Over 9.50
1.78
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Independiente del Valle to win or draw
✓
83% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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