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Eduardo Baptista
Internacional
Grêmio
Internacional
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Grêmio
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
338235 EUR · live
Home
2.8 · implied 35.7%
83.0%
+47.3 vs price
Away
4.9 · implied 20.4%
11.9%
-8.5 vs price
Draw
2.28 · implied 43.9%
5.2%
-38.7 vs price
Half time
3763 EUR · live
Home
4.3 · implied 23.3%
45.8%
+22.5 vs price
Away
6.4 · implied 15.6%
27.6%
+11.9 vs price
Draw
1.63 · implied 61.3%
26.7%
-34.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
95319 EUR · live
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
84.1%
-5.2 vs price
Over
9.0 · implied 11.1%
15.9%
+4.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
13742 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
96.4%
-1.7 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
3.6%
+1.6 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
42'
C. Vinícius · Argument
43'
M. Bahia · Argument
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
B. Henrique ◂ Calebe
58'
🔁
F. Amuzu ◂ J. Cabral
58'
🔁
M. Braithwaite ◂ C. Vinícius
65'
🔁
A. Sanabria ◂ P. Paula
65'
🔁
A. Patrick ◂ J. Carbonero
78'
🔁
J. Enamorado ◂ C. Pavón
78'
🔁
D. Barbosa ◂ E. Noriega
82'
A. Bernabei · Foul
87'
🔁
B. Aguirre ◂ B. Gomes
Full-time · 0–0
90'+2
W. Kannemann · Foul
90'+2
🔁
N. Eliasson ◂ A. Bernabei
Coaches
Eduardo BaptistaRenato Portaluppi 
Recent form
InternacionalDHAtlético Mineiro0-0
DHRemo1-1
DAPalmeiras0-0
LACorinthians1-2
WHCorinthians2-0
GrêmioLARed Bull Bragantino0-1
LAAtlético Mineiro0-3
WHSão Paulo2-1
WHMirassol1-0
DAMirassol1-1
Where to watch
DGODIRECTV Sports
Prime Video
Prime Video
Prime Video
DGO
DGO
DGO
Prime Video
Premier Sports 2 HD
Premier Sports 2 HD
DGODIRECTV Sports
Prime Video
DGO
DGO
Match facts
Kickoff
27 Aug, 23:00 UTC
Competition
Copa do Brasil
Highlights & clips
Internacional
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Grêmio
23
M. Cunha
7.3
35
B. Aguirre
6.6
↑ 87'
25
G. Mercado
7.6
3
G. Maripán
6.8
6
M. Bahia
6.5
10
A. Patrick
7.1
↑ 65'
5
R. Villagra
7.5
8
B. Henrique
6.9
↑ 46'
17
N. Eliasson
↑ 90'
19
A. Sanabria
6.2
↑ 65'
28
Vitinho
7.0
1
Weverton
7.5
27
Diego Caito
7.1
82
Wallace
7.4
4
W. Kannemann
7.2
23
Marlon
7.0
15
D. Barbosa
6.9
↑ 78'
99
J. Enamorado
6.6
↑ 78'
20
M. Villasanti
7.1
10
F. Krovinović
6.7
9
F. Amuzu
6.2
↑ 58'
22
M. Braithwaite
6.7
↑ 58'
Substitutes
12GAnthoni
15DB. Gomes↓ 87'7.7
26DA. Bernabei↓ 90'6.8
4DF. Torres
18DJ. Juninho
27MP. Paula↓ 65'7.1
30MCalebe↓ 46'6.8
44MJ. V. Francisco
16MRonaldo
29MT. Maia
7FJ. Carbonero↓ 65'6.6
9FAlerrandro
Coach: Eduardo Baptista
Substitutes
12GG. Grando
14DM. Rocha
6DG. Martins
3DW. Leonardo
38DC. Paulista
7MC. Pavón↓ 78'7.3
8ME. Noriega↓ 78'6.6
40MJ. Forneck
37MG. Mec
77FJ. Cabral↓ 58'6.3
95FC. Vinícius↓ 58'6.2
11FTetê
Coach: Renato Portaluppi
Top stats
52%Possession48%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
15Total shots11
3Shots on target2
1Big chances0
7Corners2
Shots
7Shots off target6
5Blocked shots3
9Shots inside box5
6Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances missed0
Attack
82Final third entries54
2Offsides0
20Free kicks23
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
406Passes390
323Accurate passes310
23/55 (42%)Long balls30/67 (45%)
7/25 (28%)Crosses2/14 (14%)
23Throw-ins21
Duels
51Duels49
43/83 (52%)Ground duels40/83 (48%)
13/26 (50%)Aerial duels13/26 (50%)
7/16 (44%)Dribbles4/10 (40%)
5Dispossessed10
Defending
16Tackles14
63Tackles won64
13Interceptions11
20Clearances31
54Recoveries49
Discipline
23Fouls20
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
8Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 40 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.07 @ 10bet
BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 2.00 @ boylesports
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.29 @ boylesports
1X2Internacional to win 49% · 2.62 @ granmadrid
1X2Draw 28% · 2.46 @ betcity
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.37 @ BetMGM.uk
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58%
Who winsInternacional to win (DNB) 58% · 1.63 @ BetMGM.uk
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.73 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 1.38 @ 10bet
1X2Grêmio to win 23% · 3.50 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.17
Internacional ▲
3.04
Draw ▼
3.16
Grêmio ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.30
Internacional or Draw ▼
1.32
Internacional or Grêmio
1.59
Draw or Grêmio ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.81
Yes ▼
1.90
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.34
Over 1.50 ▲
3.02
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.07
Over 2.50 ▼
1.67
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.63
Over 3.50 ▼
1.24
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.26
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.58
Internacional
2.22
Grêmio
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.00
Over 9.50
1.73
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.80
Over 10.50
1.37
Under 10.50
European Handicap 2.00consensus
1.07
Internacional +2
8.58
Draw +2
16.56
Grêmio -2
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.92
Over ▲
1.80
E
Total Cards 6.50consensus
2.10
Over 6.50
1.67
Under 6.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.85
Internacional ▼
2.02
Draw ▼
3.76
Grêmio
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.58
Internacional
2.34
Draw
3.41
Grêmio
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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