Chelsea vs Luton Town — live & stats

Where the money is

2753951 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1001104 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

96.1%

-2.9 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

2.3%

+2.2 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

1.6%

+1.5 vs price

Half time 58962 EUR · live

Home 12.0 · implied 8.3%

67.3%

+58.9 vs price

Draw 1.08 · implied 92.6%

30.6%

-62.0 vs price

Away 270.0 · implied 0.4%

2.2%

+1.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 584441 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

78.4%

-19.7 vs price

Over 34.0 · implied 2.9%

21.7%

+18.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 28891 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

90.1%

-8.9 vs price

Over 100.0 · implied 1.0%

9.9%

+8.9 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 J. Richards ◂ G. Kodua

50' ⚽ D. Welbeck · assist M. Gusto1–0

56' J. Johnson · Foul

61' 🔁 I. Jones ◂ B. Benagr

61' 🔁 H. Fox ◂ E. Lawrence

67' 🔁 P. Neto ◂ R. James

67' 🔁 J. Hato ◂ M. Gusto

68' 🔁 R. Lavia ◂ M. Rogers

73' 🔁 J. Pedro ◂ D. Welbeck

78' 🔁 D. Cole ◂ K. Palmer

78' 🔁 N. Wells ◂ C. Marshall

79' ⚽ H. Odofin2–0

80' 🔁 J. Gittens ◂ Estêvão

Full-time · 2–0

Coaches

Xabi Alonso

Jack Wilshere

Recent form

Chelsea

WAFulham3-2

WHReal Sociedad3-1

DAJohor Darul Ta'zim3-3

WHAC Milan3-0

LHJuventus0-1

Luton Town

DHNotts County2-2

WAReading4-3

WAGillingham3-0

LHGo Ahead Eagles0-1

WHAl-Kholood2-0

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 2

Match facts

Stadium

Stamford Bridge

City

London

Referee

Elliot Bell

4.35 yellows/match · 23 matches

Kickoff

27 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Competition

Carabao Cup

Highlights & clips

Chelsea 4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1 Luton Town

39 M. Penders 7.1 21 J. Hato 6.7 ↑ 67' 34 J. Acheampong 7.9 5 M. Lacroix 7.4 29 P. Chavarría 7.1 7 P. Neto 6.8 ↑ 67' 4 V. Barco 7.5 11 J. Gittens 6.6 ↑ 80' 10 C. Palmer 7.8 45 R. Lavia 6.6 ↑ 68' 9 J. Pedro 6.8 ↑ 73' 24 J. Keeley 8.4 33 H. Ashby 6.7 2 H. Odofin 6.7 6 G. Johnston 6.6 12 J. Johnson 6.5 22 H. Fox 6.6 ↑ 61' 7 J. Richards 6.5 ↑ 46' 8 L. Walsh 6.8 44 D. Cole 6.5 ↑ 78' 25 I. Jones 6.5 ↑ 61' 21 N. Wells 6.5 ↑ 78'

Substitutes

1GR. Sánchez 27DM. Gusto↓ 67'7.6 24DR. James↓ 67'7.0 30DA. Anselmino 41MEstêvão↓ 80'7.4 17MM. Rogers↓ 68'6.3 31MR. Watson 18FD. Welbeck↓ 73'7.5 22FE. Emegha

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Substitutes

1GJ. Shea 31DB. Benagr↓ 61'6.2 5DM. Andersen 3DK. Naismith 45MK. Palmer↓ 78'6.7 30MG. Kodua↓ 46'6.6 11ME. Lawrence↓ 61'6.2 42MC. Chigozie 9FC. Marshall↓ 78'6.3

Coach: Jack Wilshere

Top stats

66%Possession34%

0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0

26Total shots7

7Shots on target1

6Big chances0

9Corners3

Shots

11Shots off target5

8Blocked shots1

19Shots inside box4

7Shots outside box3

3Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored0

5Big chances missed0

Attack

45Touches in box10

74Final third entries41

2Offsides0

6Free kicks11

2Fouled in final third1

Passing

696Passes364

641Accurate passes295

20/28 (71%)Long balls17/49 (35%)

6/20 (30%)Crosses5/7 (71%)

16Throw-ins7

Duels

47Duels53

30/64 (47%)Ground duels34/64 (53%)

8/17 (47%)Aerial duels9/17 (53%)

10/17 (59%)Dribbles8/17 (47%)

9Dispossessed6

Defending

15Tackles16

73Tackles won75

5Interceptions12

15Clearances29

52Recoveries36

Discipline

11Fouls6

0Yellow cards1

Goalkeeping

1Saves6

0Big saves1

5Goal kicks18

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 61 bookmakers

Chelsea 82%

12%

Luton 6%

1X2Chelsea to win 82% · 1.52 @ Novibet

Who winsChelsea to win (DNB) 89% · 1.12 @ BetMGM.uk

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 69% · 3.00 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 85% · 1.62 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.34 @ Unibet

BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.30 @ 10bet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 12% · 4.10 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 53% · 1.10 @ Bet365

1X2Luton to win 6% · 11.90 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.21

Chelsea

6.11

Draw ▼

11.12

Luton Town ▼

Double Chanceconsensus

1.04

Chelsea or Draw

1.11

Chelsea or Luton Town ▲

3.90

Draw or Luton Town ▼

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.95

Yes ▲

1.77

No ▲

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

1.77

YES

1.95

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

11.00

YES

1.02

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

1.85

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

27.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

14.44

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.12

Over 1.50

5.34

Under 1.50 ▼

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.44

Over 2.50 ▲

2.61

Under 2.50 ▼

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.11

Over 3.50 ▲

1.66

Under 3.50 ▼

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.04

Over 4.50

1.35

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.05

Chelsea

8.32

Luton Town ▼

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.15

Over 7.50

4.50

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.30

Over 8.50

3.08

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.57

Over 9.50

2.24

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Chelsea to win or draw

✓

94% confidence

Chelsea to avoid defeat

✓

89% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✓

85% confidence

Chelsea win

✓

82% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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