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Brian Barry-Murphy
Cardiff City
Norwich City
Cardiff City
4-1-4-1 · 4-4-2
Norwich City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
472413 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.2%
-16.8 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
10.8%
+10.7 vs price
Draw
25.0 · implied 4.0%
7.2%
+3.2 vs price
Half time
847 EUR · live
Home
4.7 · implied 21.3%
47.6%
+26.3 vs price
Draw
1.85 · implied 54.1%
38.7%
-15.3 vs price
Away
4.1 · implied 24.4%
13.6%
-10.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
366330 EUR · live
Under
1.16 · implied 86.2%
85.2%
-1.1 vs price
Over
7.2 · implied 13.9%
14.9%
+1.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
7929 EUR · live
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
93.3%
+7.9 vs price
Over
7.0 · implied 14.3%
6.7%
-7.6 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
25'
⚽
M. Kvistgaarden · assist J. Wright0–1
27'
P. Ng · Foul
33'
I. Davies · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
A. B. Slimane ◂ O. Schwartau
46'
🔁
A. Brooks ◂ A. Musaba
50'
P. Mattsson · Persistent fouling
53'
🔁
R. Colwill ◂ N. Anyadike
61'
🔁
K. Fisher ◂ D. Yongwa
61'
🔁
A. Crnac ◂ M. Kvistgaarden
67'
🔁
Y. Salech ◂ I. Davies
67'
🔁
J. Moylan ◂ D. Turnbull
68'
🔁
C. Ashford ◂ C. Robinson
70'
🔁
H. Darling ◂ B. Alves
78'
⚽
A. Crnac · assist J. Stacey0–2
84'
R. Colwill · Foul
Full-time · 1–2
90'+3
🔁
R. Tankiewicz ◂ C. Willock
90'+3
⚽
Y. Salech1–2
Coaches
Brian Barry-MurphyPhilippe Clement 
Recent form
Cardiff CityDADerby County2-2
DHWrexham1-1
WHSwindon Town3-2
WHAS Roma4-1
WAForest Green Rovers5-1
Norwich CityLAMillwall0-3
LHWest Bromwich Albion1-2
WHMilton Keynes Dons4-1
DHCambridge United0-0
LHOsasuna1-2
Where to watch
beIN Sports MAX 9
Paramount+
Viaplay
beIN Sports MAX 9
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Paramount+
Match facts
Stadium
Cardiff City Stadium
City
Cardiff
Kickoff
25 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Cardiff City
4-1-4-1 · 4-4-2
Norwich City
1
N. Trott
6.7
38
P. Ng
6.5
10
R. Colwill
7.1
↑ 53'
3
J. Bagan
6.1
44
R. Kpakio
6.3
18
A. Robertson
7.8
8
J. Moylan
6.6
↑ 67'
27
J. Colwill
7.0
9
Y. Salech
7.4
↑ 67'
33
R. Tankiewicz
↑ 90'
45
C. Ashford
6.6
↑ 68'
32
D. Grimshaw
6.8
3
J. Stacey
7.0
15
R. McConville
6.8
6
H. Darling
6.5
↑ 70'
35
K. Fisher
6.2
↑ 61'
20
A. B. Slimane
6.4
↑ 46'
16
J. Wright
7.1
7
P. Mattsson
6.4
8
L. Gibbs
6.9
17
A. Crnac
7.2
↑ 61'
11
A. Brooks
6.4
↑ 46'
Substitutes
30GH. Tyrer
40DN. Anyadike↓ 53'6.4
46DL. Giles
23DC. Scanlon
14MD. Turnbull↓ 67'6.3
16MC. Willock↓ 90'6.3
43MP. Moreno
47FC. Robinson↓ 68'6.5
39FI. Davies↓ 67'6.1
Coach: Brian Barry-Murphy
Substitutes
1GV. Kovačević
28DB. Alves↓ 70'7.2
13DD. Yongwa↓ 61'6.6
49MA. Musaba↓ 46'7.1
29MO. Schwartau↓ 46'6.7
23MK. McLean
26MS. Field
30FM. Kvistgaarden↓ 61'7.7
46FE. Mundle-Smith
Coach: Philippe Clement
Top stats
66%Possession34%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
11Total shots12
3Shots on target3
0Big chances5
5Corners3
Shots
4Shots off target2
4Blocked shots7
4Shots inside box8
7Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored2
0Big chances missed3
Attack
25Touches in box24
79Final third entries33
1Offsides3
14Free kicks12
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
597Passes308
507Accurate passes245
39/61 (64%)Long balls18/46 (39%)
3/14 (21%)Crosses4/11 (36%)
19Throw-ins12
Duels
49Duels51
31/62 (50%)Ground duels31/62 (50%)
10/21 (48%)Aerial duels11/21 (52%)
5/8 (63%)Dribbles5/10 (50%)
11Dispossessed7
Defending
12Tackles14
67Tackles won29
4Interceptions17
4Clearances24
59Recoveries51
Discipline
12Fouls14
3Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
4Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 65% · 4.75 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.83 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 2.89 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.50 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.98 @ 1xBet
1X2Norwich to win 33% · 3.32 @ marathonbet
1X2Cardiff to win 45% · 3.12 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 22% · 2.61 @ 1xBet
Who winsCardiff to win (DNB) 56% · 1.72 @ merkurxtip
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 57% · 1.44 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.30
Cardiff City ▲
3.34
Draw ▲
2.94
Norwich City ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Cardiff City or Draw
1.30
Cardiff City or Norwich City ▲
1.56
Draw or Norwich City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.69
Yes ▼
2.05
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.80
YES
1.22
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.55
YES
1.25
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.45
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.27
Over 1.50
3.47
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.87
Over 2.50 ▼
1.86
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.16
Over 3.50 ▼
1.31
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.17
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.65
Cardiff City
2.12
Norwich City
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.50
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.49
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.79
Over 9.50
1.91
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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