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Jakob Poulsen
AGF
Benfica
AGF
3-5-2 · 4-1-3-2
Benfica
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
506200 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
95.0%
-4.0 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.0%
+2.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.0%
+1.9 vs price
Half time
1455 EUR · live
Away
1.19 · implied 84.0%
75.0%
-9.0 vs price
Draw
2.36 · implied 42.4%
13.1%
-29.2 vs price
Home
30.0 · implied 3.3%
11.8%
+8.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
77515 EUR · live
Over
1.3 · implied 76.9%
52.3%
-24.7 vs price
Under
4.3 · implied 23.3%
47.7%
+24.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2575 EUR · live
Under
1.26 · implied 79.4%
64.9%
-14.5 vs price
Over
4.8 · implied 20.8%
35.1%
+14.3 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Tap a player for their full match card.
Match events
19'
⚽
G. Prestianni0–1
25'
M. Camara
Half-time · 0–1
45'
R. Carstensen
46'
🔁
S. Tchamche ◂ J. Serra
56'
⚽
R. Silva · assist S. Dahl0–2
60'
⚽
R. Carstensen1–2
61'
⚽
G. Prestianni1–3
62'
🔁
S. Jørgensen ◂ M. Anderson
63'
🔁
M. Knudsen ◂ K. Arnstad
65'
🔁
A. Schjelderup ◂ R. Silva
65'
🔁
G. Moreira ◂ G. Sudakov
69'
🔁
C. Rösler ◂ L. Callø
74'
🔁
J. Durán ◂ V. Pavlidis
74'
🔁
D. Lukebakio ◂ G. Prestianni
83'
🔁
F. Emmery ◂ G. Links
84'
🔁
A. Circati ◂ C. Lenglet
Full-time · 1–3
Coaches
Jakob PoulsenMarco Silva 
Recent form
AGFDHOdense Boldklub2-2
LABenfica1-3
LAViborg FF1-2
LASabah FK0-4
WHSabah FK2-1
BenficaWHAGF3-1
WACasa Pia7-0
DAHeart of Midlothian1-1
DHAcadémico Viseu FC2-2
WHHeart of Midlothian6-1
Where to watch
Sport TV5
Match facts
Stadium
Cepheus Park Randers
City
Randers
Kickoff
27 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Europa League
AGF
3-5-2 · 4-1-3-2
Benfica
21
M. Hedenstad
26
J. Andersen
25
C. Rösler
↑ 69'
44
M. Camara
29
R. Carstensen
⚽1
16
J. Jønsson
4
M. Knudsen
↑ 63'
8
S. Jørgensen
↑ 62'
39
F. Emmery
↑ 83'
31
T. Bech
27
S. Tchamche
↑ 46'
24
S. Soares
6
A. Bah
44
T. Araújo
3
A. Circati
↑ 84'
26
S. Dahl
5
E. Barrenechea
18
L. Barreiro
21
A. Schjelderup
↑ 65'
77
G. Moreira
↑ 65'
11
D. Lukebakio
↑ 74'
22
J. Durán
↑ 74'
Top stats
42%Possession58%
3Shots on target8
3Corners5
Shots
1Shots off target7
4Blocked shots0
0Hit woodwork1
Attack
0Offsides0
9Free kicks11
Passing
13Throw-ins9
Discipline
11Fouls9
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
8Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Benfica to win 64% · 1.85 @ William Hill
Who winsBenfica to win (DNB) 65% · 1.15 @ Betway
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.30 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.75 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.00 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.40 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.68 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 2.06 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 20% · 3.05 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.66 @ 1xBet
1X2AGF to win 16% · 5.30 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
5.90
AGF
4.78
Draw
1.44
Benfica
Double Chanceconsensus
2.62
AGF or Draw
1.15
AGF or Benfica
1.13
Draw or Benfica
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.13
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
11.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.70
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
18.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.14
Over 1.50
5.31
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.49
Over 2.50
2.50
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.25
Over 3.50
1.61
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.86
Over 4.50
1.22
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
5.00
AGF
1.15
Benfica
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.47
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.60
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.69
Over 9.50
2.04
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.12
Over 10.50
1.65
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.61
Over 11.50
1.40
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Benfica to win or draw
✓
84% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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