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Michel
AFC Ajax
FC Sion
AFC Ajax
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
FC Sion
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
300332 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
90.2%
-8.9 vs price
Away
480.0 · implied 0.2%
5.2%
+5.0 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
4.7%
+3.7 vs price
Half time
2903 EUR · live
Home
2.52 · implied 39.7%
90.9%
+51.2 vs price
Away
6.8 · implied 14.7%
7.0%
-7.7 vs price
Draw
2.26 · implied 44.2%
2.0%
-42.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
76261 EUR · live
Over
1.07 · implied 93.5%
91.1%
-2.3 vs price
Under
14.0 · implied 7.1%
8.9%
+1.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
6362 EUR · live
Under
2.5 · implied 40.0%
51.3%
+11.3 vs price
Over
1.67 · implied 59.9%
48.7%
-11.2 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
1'
⚽
Y. Baas1–0
18'
⚽
W. Boteli Mokango1–1
23'
🔁
J. Mokio ◂ Y. Regeer
36'
⚽
W. Boteli Mokango1–2
39'
⚽
D. Klaassen · assist L. Rosa2–2
Half-time · 3–2
45'+1
⚽
T. Arokodare · assist A. Ouazane3–2
46'
🔁
O. Edvardsen ◂ S. Berghuis
50'
N. Sow · Foul
51'
⚽
T. Arokodare · assist A. Ouazane4–2
54'
⚽
O. Edvardsen · assist C. Henrique5–2
56'
🔁
M. Cipriano ◂ N. Hefti
56'
🔁
J. Lukembila ◂ F. Surdez
56'
🔁
D. Rrudhani ◂ R. Nivokazi
59'
N. Lavanchy · Handball
60'
🔁
O. Gloukh ◂ J. Brandt
60'
🔁
D. Janse ◂ D. Klaassen
60'
🔁
M. Leonardo ◂ T. Arokodare
64'
VAR
Goal not given after review · O. Edvardsen
67'
🔁
T. Berdayes ◂ Y. Chouaref
67'
🔁
F. Sylla ◂ A. Kabacalman
83'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · W. Boteli Mokango
Full-time · 5–3
90'
⚽
W. Boteli Mokango · assist F. Sylla5–3
Coaches
MichelDidier Tholot 
Recent form
AFC AjaxWAFC Sion4-2
DHSC Heerenveen2-2
DAShelbourne2-2
WAPEC Zwolle2-0
WHShelbourne3-1
FC SionLHAFC Ajax2-4
WHFC Noah2-1
WHFC Vaduz3-2
DAFC Noah2-2
WHFC Luzern3-0
Where to watch
UOL Esporte
Ziggo Sport
Match facts
Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena
City
Amsterdam
Kickoff
27 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Conference League
Highlights & clips
AFC Ajax
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
FC Sion
1
M. ter Stegen
5.8
2
L. Rosa
7.1
30
A. Bouwman
6.6
15
Y. Baas
7.3
12
C. Henrique
6.0
36
D. Janse
7.0
↑ 60'
24
J. Mokio
7.9
↑ 23'
10
O. Gloukh
6.5
↑ 60'
20
O. Edvardsen
8.0
↑ 46'
38
M. Leonardo
6.2
↑ 60'
68
A. Ouazane
8.5
1
A. Racioppi
7.0
14
N. Lavanchy
5.2
5
N. Sow
7.4
17
J. Kronig
6.1
6
M. Cipriano
6.6
↑ 56'
29
T. Berdayes
6.5
↑ 67'
8
Baltazar
6.5
37
F. Sylla
7.3
↑ 67'
13
W. Boteli Mokango
9.7
9
J. Lukembila
6.2
↑ 56'
77
D. Rrudhani
6.7
↑ 56'
Top stats
55%Possession45%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
26Total shots11
15Shots on target4
8Big chances3
5Corners2
Shots
8Shots off target2
3Blocked shots5
22Shots inside box6
4Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork0
4Big chances scored2
4Big chances missed1
Attack
45Touches in box20
56Final third entries45
2Offsides3
7Free kicks5
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
543Passes446
498Accurate passes391
19/28 (68%)Long balls30/52 (58%)
9/17 (53%)Crosses2/14 (14%)
16Throw-ins9
Duels
52Duels48
25/53 (47%)Ground duels28/53 (53%)
6/7 (86%)Aerial duels1/7 (14%)
9/13 (69%)Dribbles10/16 (63%)
9Dispossessed4
Defending
10Tackles13
70Tackles won54
16Interceptions12
18Clearances11
38Recoveries43
Discipline
5Fouls7
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves9
0Big saves1
4Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Ajax to win 69% · 1.70 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 69% · 2.80 @ William Hill
Who winsAjax to win (DNB) 73% · 1.17 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.62 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.75 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.61 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.96 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 17% · 3.45 @ Unibet
1X2Sion to win 13% · 5.95 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 54% · 1.95 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.33
AFC Ajax
5.25
Draw
7.00
FC Sion
Double Chanceconsensus
1.07
AFC Ajax or Draw
1.11
AFC Ajax or FC Sion
3.10
Draw or FC Sion
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.35
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.65
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
15.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
20.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.06
Over 1.50
6.90
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.33
Over 2.50
3.00
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.90
Over 3.50
1.87
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.90
Over 4.50
1.36
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.12
AFC Ajax
5.75
FC Sion
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.17
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50
2.35
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.86
Over 9.50
1.85
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.30
Over 10.50
1.49
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.80
Over 11.50
1.32
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
AFC Ajax to win or draw
✓
87% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
86% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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