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Kenny Miller
Maccabi Tel Aviv
FC Lugano
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4-3-3 · 3-5-2
FC Lugano
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
224143 EUR · live
Home
20.0 · implied 5.0%
52.8%
+47.8 vs price
Draw
1.07 · implied 93.5%
40.0%
-53.5 vs price
Away
40.0 · implied 2.5%
7.2%
+4.7 vs price
Half time
545 EUR · live
Home
4.2 · implied 23.8%
60.2%
+36.4 vs price
Draw
1.89 · implied 52.9%
20.2%
-32.7 vs price
Away
3.7 · implied 27.0%
19.3%
-7.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
230828 EUR · live
Under
1.06 · implied 94.3%
82.6%
-11.7 vs price
Over
15.0 · implied 6.7%
17.4%
+10.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
10312 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
98.6%
+0.5 vs price
Over
30.0 · implied 3.3%
1.4%
-1.9 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
27'
A. Papadopoulos · Foul
29'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · I. Shahar
36'
M. Zanotti · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
58'
M. Zanotti · Foul
63'
🔁
D. Moncada ◂ D. Dos Santos
63'
🔁
D. Kelvin ◂ K. Behrens
65'
🔁
E. Madmon ◂ E. Sokler
65'
🔁
N. Ben Harosh ◂ T. Asante
68'
R. Steffen · Argument
69'
⚽
D. Peretz (pen)1–0
70'
M. Camara · Foul
79'
⚽
D. Moncada · assist Y. Cimignani1–1
81'
🔁
H. Layous ◂ I. Shahar
82'
🔁
B. Karimov ◂ R. Steffen
82'
🔁
A. Kendouci ◂ A. Papadopoulos
Full-time · 1–1
90'+2
U. Bislimi · Time wasting
Coaches
Kenny MillerMattia Croci-Torti 
Recent form
Maccabi Tel AvivLAFC Lugano1-2
WACSKA Sofia3-1
LHCSKA Sofia0-3
WHSheriff Tiraspol1-0
WASheriff Tiraspol5-0
FC LuganoWHMaccabi Tel Aviv2-1
DANSÍ Runavík2-2
WHFC Zürich5-0
WHNSÍ Runavík2-0
WAGrasshopper Club Zürich4-1
Match facts
Stadium
Batumi Arena
City
Batumi
Kickoff
27 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Conference League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4-3-3 · 3-5-2
FC Lugano
22
O. Melika
6.2
21
N. Ben Harosh
7.4
↑ 65'
5
M. Camara
7.1
13
R. Shlomo
7.5
3
R. Revivo
7.0
42
D. Peretz
6.9
28
I. Sissokho
7.1
33
H. Layous
6.6
↑ 81'
77
O. Davida
7.0
19
E. Madmon
6.7
↑ 65'
29
H. Varela
7.3
16
D. von Ballmoos
7.8
2
B. Karimov
6.8
↑ 82'
17
L. Mai
6.6
3
H. Delcroix
6.9
46
M. Zanotti
5.7
25
U. Bislimi
6.8
8
A. Grgić
7.2
4
D. Kelvin
5.9
↑ 63'
21
Y. Cimignani
6.9
14
A. Kendouci
6.4
↑ 82'
30
D. Moncada
7.6
↑ 63'
Substitutes
51GS. Saadia
90GR. Mishpati
6DT. Asante↓ 65'7.0
25DS. Rosen
41DI. B. Hamo
36MI. Shahar↓ 81'6.6
18MD. Glazer
30MI. Noy
59ML. Asres
60MI. B. Simon
9FE. Sokler↓ 65'6.8
Coach: Kenny Miller
Substitutes
39GA. Ndiaye
28GF. Gebhardt
6DA. Papadopoulos↓ 82'6.4
18DJ. Bichsel
26DM. Marques
27MD. Dos Santos↓ 63'6.5
22MB. Castro
23MG. Ajdin
91FK. Behrens↓ 63'6.6
11FR. Steffen↓ 82'6.5
24FE. Pihlstrom
Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti
Top stats
59%Possession41%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
20Total shots9
7Shots on target2
4Big chances0
6Corners4
Shots
6Shots off target6
7Blocked shots1
13Shots inside box3
7Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed0
Attack
29Touches in box10
59Final third entries47
1Offsides2
9Free kicks12
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
533Passes378
467Accurate passes293
39/57 (68%)Long balls20/58 (34%)
10/27 (37%)Crosses2/8 (25%)
18Throw-ins12
Duels
50Duels50
29/60 (48%)Ground duels31/60 (52%)
17/32 (53%)Aerial duels15/32 (47%)
7/16 (44%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)
6Dispossessed4
Defending
12Tackles15
58Tackles won80
8Interceptions6
7Clearances28
51Recoveries59
Discipline
12Fouls10
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
8Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsLugano to win (DNB) 51% · 2.00 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 71% · 1.48 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.25 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 59% · 1.77 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.55 @ Unibet
1X2Lugano to win 33% · 3.25 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.33 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.05 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle
1X2M. Tel-Aviv to win 41% · 2.70 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 52% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.30
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.40
Draw
2.85
FC Lugano
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Maccabi Tel Aviv or Draw
1.26
Maccabi Tel Aviv or FC Lugano
1.57
Draw or FC Lugano
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.30
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.20
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.55
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.60
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.82
Over 2.50
1.95
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.10
Over 3.50
1.34
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.00
Over 4.50
1.09
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.77
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.98
FC Lugano
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.33
Over 7.50
2.90
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.58
Over 8.50
2.19
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.96
Over 9.50
1.75
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.46
Over 10.50
1.44
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.13
Over 11.50
1.26
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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