Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽H. Wolf
15'
⚽A. Miranchuk
assist E. Latte Lath
assist E. Latte Lath
42'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁A. Fortune ◂ B. Slisz
46'
⚽A. Martínez (pen)
48'
⚽H. Wolf
assist J. Fernández
assist J. Fernández
51'
🔁X. Silva ◂ M. Klich
57'
🔁M. Edwards ◂ D. C. Qui
57'
⚽K. Parks
62'
⚽M. Almirón
assist X. Silva
assist X. Silva
75'
🔁L. Abram ◂ S. Gregersen
76'
🔁A. Ojeda ◂ J. Fernández
80'
⚽E. Latte Lath
84'
🔁B. Risa ◂ K. Parks
84'
⚽
90'
🔁W. Reilly ◂ M. Almirón
90'
⚽
90'
B. Guzan
90'+4
🔁M. Bakrar ◂ J. Shore
90'+4
Form
Atlanta United
WLDLD
New York City FC
DLWWD
Match facts
Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
City
Atlanta
Referee
Filip Dujic
Kickoff
29 Mar, 23:30 UTC
Atlanta United
4-2-3-1
1
B. Guzan
7.4
11
B. Lennon
5.6
5
S. Gregersen
6.2
3
D. Williams
6.2
50
D. C. Qui
5.4
99
B. Slisz
6.8
43
M. Klich
6.6
10
M. Almirón
⚽1
7.7
59
A. Miranchuk
⚽1
7.9
9
S. Lobzhanidze
7.3
19
E. Latte Lath
⚽1
8.6
Substitutes
35
A. Fortune
6.7
47
M. Edwards
6.9
45
X. Silva
6.8
44
L. Abram
6.8
28
W. Reilly
6.6
22
J. Cohen
20
L. Brennan
30
C. Togashi
New York City FC
4-3-3
49
M. Freese
6.3
35
M. Ilenič
6.2
13
T. Martins
5.9
80
J. Haak
5.9
22
K. O'Toole
6.3
55
K. Parks
6.4
32
J. Shore
6.2
10
M. Moralez
6.5
11
J. Fernández
7.3
16
A. Martínez
⚽1
7.7
17
H. Wolf
⚽2
8.5
Substitutes
26
A. Ojeda
6.6
5
B. Risa
6.4
9
M. Bakrar
30
T. Romero
18
G. Ranjitsingh
19
S. Tanasijević
38
A. Baiera
71
P. Molinari
Coach: Gerardo Martino
Coach: Pascal Jansen
44%Possession56%
1.68Expected goals (xG)1.99
14Total shots9
6Shots on target7
3Big chances4
7Corners1
12Fouls16
1Yellow cards0