Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽E. Latte Lath
assist B. Lennon
assist B. Lennon
11'
⚽L. Messi
20'
N. Allen
42'
⚽
45'
P. Amador
45'
⚽
45'
🔁B. Cremaschi ◂ T. Segovia
61'
S. Gregersen
62'
🔁X. Silva ◂ S. Lobzhanidze
72'
🔁M. Edwards ◂ B. Lennon
83'
🔁F. Redondo ◂ Y. Bright
83'
🔁F. Picault ◂ T. Allende
83'
🔁L. Abram ◂ P. Amador
84'
🔁A. Fortune ◂ B. Slisz
84'
⚽F. Picault
assist J. Alba
assist J. Alba
89'
⚽
90'
🔁E. Mosquera ◂ S. Gregersen
90'
⚽
90'
🔁T. Avilés ◂ L. Suárez
90'+1
E. Mosquera
90'+2
Coaches
Gerardo MartinoGuillermo Angel Hoyos 
Recent form
Atlanta UnitedDAtlanta United0-0New York Red Bulls
LCharlotte FC2-0Atlanta United
WAtlanta United3-2CF Montréal
Inter Miami CFWInter Miami CF1-0Charlotte FC
WHouston Dynamo1-4Inter Miami CF
DInter Miami CF2-2New York City FC
Match facts
Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
City
Atlanta
Referee
Drew Fischer
Kickoff
16 Mar, 23:00 UTC
Atlanta United
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Inter Miami CF
1
B. Guzan
7.0
11
B. Lennon
7.2
5
S. Gregersen
6.6
3
D. Williams
6.5
18
P. Amador
6.6
99
B. Slisz
6.7
8
T. Muyumba
7.1
10
M. Almirón
6.7
59
A. Miranchuk
7.1
9
S. Lobzhanidze
6.5
19
E. Latte Lath
7.4
34
R. Ríos Novo
7.0
2
G. Luján
6.9
37
M. Falcón
6.9
32
N. Allen
6.7
18
J. Alba
7.6
21
T. Allende
7.3
42
Y. Bright
6.8
5
S. Busquets
7.0
8
T. Segovia
7.3
10
L. Messi
8.9
9
L. Suárez
6.8
Substitutes
45X. Silva6.547M. Edwards6.344L. Abram6.535A. Fortune6.670E. Mosquera22J. Cohen24N. Cobb28W. Reilly30C. Togashi
Coach: Gerardo Martino
Substitutes
30B. Cremaschi6.455F. Redondo6.67F. Picault7.46T. Avilés1D. Callender17I. Fray14D. Martínez81S. Morales22L. Afonso
Coach: Guillermo Angel Hoyos
48%Possession52%
1.29Expected goals (xG)1.77
12Total shots13
4Shots on target8
2Big chances3
3Corners7
16Fouls7
3Yellow cards1