Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
L. Engel
9'
W. Reilly
27'
Y. Kubo
27'
🔁C. Togashi ◂ T. Muyumba
41'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁C. Baird ◂ N. Hagglund
46'
⚽E. Latte Lath
assist S. Lobzhanidze
assist S. Lobzhanidze
50'
D. Yedlin
59'
🔁B. Smith ◂ S. Santos
61'
M. Edwards
69'
⚽Evander
70'
🔁R. Hernández ◂ X. Silva
71'
⚽Evander
assist P. Bucha
assist P. Bucha
75'
🔁M. Klich ◂ M. Edwards
80'
🔁T. Anunga ◂ Y. Kubo
81'
⚽A. Powell
88'
⚽
90'
🔁G. Valenzuela ◂ O. Nwobodo
90'
⚽
90'
E. Latte Lath
90'+1
Form
FC Cincinnati
WLWL
Atlanta United
WLDL
Match facts
Stadium
TQL Stadium
City
Cincinnati
Referee
Rosendo Mendoza
Kickoff
22 Mar, 18:30 UTC
FC Cincinnati
3-4-3
18
R. Celentano
6.8
2
A. Powell
6.5
4
N. Hagglund
7.2
29
L. Engel
6.7
91
D. Yedlin
6.5
20
P. Bucha
8.3
5
O. Nwobodo
6.9
7
Y. Kubo
6.6
23
L. Orellano
6.8
17
S. Santos
6.6
10
Evander
⚽2
9.8
Substitutes
11
C. Baird
6.7
14
B. Smith
6.5
27
T. Anunga
6.4
22
G. Valenzuela
13
E. Louro
32
N. Adnan
37
S. Jimenez
35
K. M. Dem
Atlanta United
4-2-3-1
1
B. Guzan
6.8
11
B. Lennon
6.5
47
M. Edwards
6.4
3
D. Williams
6.6
18
P. Amador
6.3
28
W. Reilly
7.3
8
T. Muyumba
7.5
9
S. Lobzhanidze
7.6
59
A. Miranchuk
6.4
45
X. Silva
6.6
19
E. Latte Lath
⚽1
7.2
Substitutes
30
C. Togashi
6.6
2
R. Hernández
6.2
43
M. Klich
6.4
42
J. Hibbert
22
J. Cohen
66
N. Sessock
48
C. Sanchez
27
A. Gordon
77
R. Neri
Coach: Pat Noonan
Coach: Gerardo Martino
55%Possession45%
0.86Expected goals (xG)2.2
13Total shots12
6Shots on target5
2Big chances4
2Corners2
14Fouls17
3Yellow cards3