Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**LDU's looking for payback at home, but Palmeiras just won't stop winning.** This Copa Libertadores clash is a rematch of a recent scoreline that favored the visitors — and the Brazilians are rolling right now. 🏆
LDU are stuck in draw territory with just one win in their last five; Palmeiras, meanwhile, have dropped zero losses across the same stretch. The head-to-head leans Palmeiras' way 3-2 over time, and they just beat LDU 1-0 at home not long ago.
Key storylines:
- **Palmeiras' defensive depth** is tested with Gómez, Jefté, Paulinho, and R. Sosa all out, leaving C. Miguel, Murilo, A. Giay, and A. Barboza to hold the line in Quito's altitude.
- **LDU missing key midfield cover** (G. Villamil muscle injury) ahead of their most attacking XI, with Deyverson and S. González tasked with breaking through.
- **Recent form tells the story** — Palmeiras' 2W-3D stretch beats LDU's 1W-3D-1L handily, even on home soil.
Expected lineups:
- **LDU**: G. Valle, L. Segovia, R. Adé, R. Mina, J. Corozo, Y. Quinonez, J. Pretell, F. Cornejo, S. González, M. Estrada, Deyverson
- **Palmeiras**: C. Miguel, Murilo, A. Giay, A. Barboza, A. Gabriel, A. Pereira, M. Freitas, J. Arias, J. López, V. Roque, Mauricio
Prediction:
**LDU 0 – 1 Palmeiras.** Palmeiras have the momentum and the edge despite the road trip — expect another tight, controlled away win.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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