Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Bournemouth's Europa League run gets a reality check at home**, but the Cherries have shown they can mix it on the continent — now they just need bodies back. 🏴
Bournemouth are in the messy middle: battered 5-1 by Chelsea, but nicked a 2-1 win in Spain against Real Sociedad. Sturm Graz, meanwhile, are rolling domestically (3W in their last 5) and won't fear a trip to the south coast.
Key storylines:
- **Bournemouth's injury crisis** is real — Scott, Adli, Araujo, and Kluivert all sidelined, forcing rotation and asking questions of squad depth.
- **Sturm Graz's Austrian momentum** meets a weakened but capable Premiership side; the visitors' 3W-1D-1L run is no fluke.
- **Home comfort for the Cherries** — Vitality Stadium is a factor, especially with Cook and Adams anchoring midfield under pressure.
Expected lineups:
- **Bournemouth**: Petrović, Smith, Silva, Hill, Truffert, Adams, Cook, Christie, Tavernier, Rayan, Evanilson
- **SK Sturm Graz**: Khudyakov, Heil, Malić, Vallci, Soglo, Weinhandl, Stanković, Hödl, Seidl, Diakité, Jatta
Prediction:
**Bournemouth 2-1 SK Sturm Graz**
Slight lean to the hosts — injuries sting, but home advantage and Evanilson's cup form edge the Austrians out in a tight one.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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