GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC Nijmegen: Stats & xG

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Europa League ·Thu 22 Oct

GNK Dinamo Zagreb

2–4

HT 2–2

Full time

NEC Nijmegen

Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb · Ref: Manfredas Lukjancukas

Commentary

90'

Full-time. GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC Nijmegen.

90+2'

C. Bischoff

Yellow card for C. Bischoff (NEC Nijmegen) for foul.

90+2'

NEC Nijmegen

Offside, NEC Nijmegen.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

T. Chery

Substitution, NEC Nijmegen: W. Willumsson comes on for T. Chery.

90'

B. Linssen

Substitution, NEC Nijmegen: K. Sierhuis comes on for B. Linssen.

88'

C. Bischoff

Attempt missed. C. Bischoff (NEC Nijmegen), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

87'

T. Chery

Attempt missed. T. Chery (NEC Nijmegen), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

85'

M. Oršić

Attempt saved. M. Oršić (GNK Dinamo Zagreb), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

85'

L. Kačavenda

Attempt missed. L. Kačavenda (GNK Dinamo Zagreb), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

83'

GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Corner, GNK Dinamo Zagreb.

83'

D. Rodríguez

Attempt saved. D. Rodríguez (GNK Dinamo Zagreb), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

81'

D. Fonville

Substitution, NEC Nijmegen: K. Kers comes on for D. Fonville.

81'

P. Schuurs

Substitution, NEC Nijmegen: G. Brás comes on for P. Schuurs.

80'

T. Chery

Goal! GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC Nijmegen. T. Chery (NEC Nijmegen) scores.

76'

D. Geiger

Substitution, NEC Nijmegen: J. Monteiro comes on for D. Geiger.

76'

M. P. Vinlöf

Substitution, GNK Dinamo Zagreb: B. Goda comes on for M. P. Vinlöf.

76'

L. Ivanušec

Substitution, GNK Dinamo Zagreb: L. Kačavenda comes on for L. Ivanušec.

75'

L. Stojković

Attempt missed. L. Stojković (GNK Dinamo Zagreb), right-footed shot. xG 0.33.

74'

D. Geiger

Attempt saved. D. Geiger (NEC Nijmegen), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

72'

J. Mišić

Attempt saved. J. Mišić (GNK Dinamo Zagreb), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

72'

M. Oršić

Attempt saved. M. Oršić (GNK Dinamo Zagreb), right-footed shot. xG 0.37.

67'

A. Hoxha

Substitution, GNK Dinamo Zagreb: M. Oršić comes on for A. Hoxha.

67'

N. Galešić

Substitution, GNK Dinamo Zagreb: M. Valinčić comes on for N. Galešić.

65'

L. Stojković

Attempt saved. L. Stojković (GNK Dinamo Zagreb), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

64'

C. Bischoff

Attempt blocked. C. Bischoff (NEC Nijmegen), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

62'

L. Stojković

Attempt missed. L. Stojković (GNK Dinamo Zagreb), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.18.

61'

C. Bischoff

Attempt blocked. C. Bischoff (NEC Nijmegen), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

59'

I. Almena

Substitution, GNK Dinamo Zagreb: D. Rodríguez comes on for I. Almena.

54'

B. Linssen

Goal! GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2-3 NEC Nijmegen. B. Linssen (NEC Nijmegen) scores, assisted by D. Nejašmić.

53'

A. Kaplan

Attempt blocked. A. Kaplan (NEC Nijmegen), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

52'

NEC Nijmegen

Corner, NEC Nijmegen.

52'

N. Lebreton

Attempt blocked. N. Lebreton (NEC Nijmegen), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

50'

NEC Nijmegen

Corner, NEC Nijmegen.

47'

S. Domínguez

Attempt missed. S. Domínguez (GNK Dinamo Zagreb), header from a set piece. xG 0.01.

47'

GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Corner, GNK Dinamo Zagreb.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 NEC Nijmegen.

45+1'

B. Linssen

Attempt missed. B. Linssen (NEC Nijmegen), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

B. Linssen

Goal! GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 NEC Nijmegen. B. Linssen (NEC Nijmegen) scores, assisted by C. Bischoff.

44'

N. Lebreton

Yellow card for N. Lebreton (NEC Nijmegen) for foul.

40'

N. Lebreton

Attempt blocked. N. Lebreton (NEC Nijmegen), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

37'

D. D. Beljo

Goal! GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 NEC Nijmegen. D. D. Beljo (GNK Dinamo Zagreb) scores.

37'

D. D. Beljo

Attempt saved. D. D. Beljo (GNK Dinamo Zagreb), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.64.

36'

GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Offside, GNK Dinamo Zagreb.

36'

L. Ivanušec

VAR check complete: the goal for GNK Dinamo Zagreb stands.

33'

D. D. Beljo

Goal! GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 NEC Nijmegen. D. D. Beljo (GNK Dinamo Zagreb) scores, assisted by M. P. Vinlöf.

27'

D. D. Beljo

Attempt blocked. D. D. Beljo (GNK Dinamo Zagreb), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

27'

GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Corner, GNK Dinamo Zagreb.

25'

C. Bischoff

Goal! GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 NEC Nijmegen. C. Bischoff (NEC Nijmegen) scores, assisted by N. Lebreton.

25'

N. Lebreton

Attempt missed. N. Lebreton (NEC Nijmegen), left-footed shot. xG 0.20.

23'

D. D. Beljo

Yellow card for D. D. Beljo (GNK Dinamo Zagreb) for foul.

22'

N. Lebreton

Off the woodwork! N. Lebreton (NEC Nijmegen), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

19'

L. Stojković

Cleared off the line! L. Stojković (GNK Dinamo Zagreb), right-footed shot. xG 0.21.

19'

GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Corner, GNK Dinamo Zagreb.

15'

NEC Nijmegen

Offside, NEC Nijmegen.

15'

NEC Nijmegen

Offside, NEC Nijmegen.

14'

GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Corner, GNK Dinamo Zagreb.

D. D. Beljo

Attempt blocked. D. D. Beljo (GNK Dinamo Zagreb), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

D. D. Beljo

Attempt saved. D. D. Beljo (GNK Dinamo Zagreb), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

Kick-off: GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen.

Where the money is

962233 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 1 day ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 779762 EUR · live

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

69.9%

+69.8 vs price

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

24.5%

-74.5 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

5.9%

+5.8 vs price

Half time 107 EUR

Home 2.0 · implied 50.0%

100.0%

+50.0 vs price

Draw 2.78 · implied 36.0%

71.6%

+35.6 vs price

Away 6.2 · implied 16.1%

0.5%

-15.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 40499 EUR · live

Over 1.04 · implied 96.2%

72.3%

-23.9 vs price

Under 9.0 · implied 11.1%

27.8%

+16.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 404 EUR

Under 1.18 · implied 84.7%

84.3%

-0.4 vs price

Over 6.0 · implied 16.7%

15.7%

-1.0 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Player of the match

Match events

23' D. D. Beljo · Foul

25' ⚽ C. Bischoff · assist N. Lebreton0–1

33' ⚽ D. D. Beljo · assist M. P. Vinlöf1–1

36' VAR Goal not given after review · L. Ivanušec

37' ⚽ D. D. Beljo2–1

44' N. Lebreton · Foul

Half-time · 2–2

45' ⚽ B. Linssen · assist C. Bischoff2–2

54' ⚽ B. Linssen · assist D. Nejašmić2–3

59' 🔁 D. Rodríguez ◂ I. Almena

67' 🔁 M. Valinčić ◂ N. Galešić

67' 🔁 M. Oršić ◂ A. Hoxha

76' 🔁 L. Kačavenda ◂ L. Ivanušec

76' 🔁 B. Goda ◂ M. P. Vinlöf

76' 🔁 J. Monteiro ◂ D. Geiger

80' ⚽ T. Chery2–4

81' 🔁 G. Brás ◂ P. Schuurs

81' 🔁 K. Kers ◂ D. Fonville

Full-time · 2–4

90' 🔁 K. Sierhuis ◂ B. Linssen

90' 🔁 W. Willumsson ◂ T. Chery

90'⁺² C. Bischoff · Foul

Coaches

Mario Kovačević

Dick Schreuder

Recent form

GNK Dinamo Zagreb

WHRSC Anderlecht1-0

WAHNK Segesta5-0

DAHapoel Be'er Sheva0-0

LAViking FK1-3

DHViking FK2-2

NEC Nijmegen

DHFortuna Sittard2-2

DHLevski Sofia1-1

DAAFC Ajax1-1

DHGo Ahead Eagles1-1

LAJuventus0-5

About this match

**Dinamo Zagreb are rolling, and NEC look stuck in draw-mode** — this should be a comfortable Europa League night for the hosts. 🔵

Zagreb have won two of their last five and packed serious firepower (5-0 demolition job most recently), while NEC are genuinely struggling to find a W, racking up four draws in their last five. That's the kind of form that screams **underdog vibes**, and they're missing three players to injury.

Key storylines:

- **Dinamo's attack** needs to capitalize on NEC's defensive vulnerabilities — Nijmegen are stretched thin at the back with Nuytinck, Mor, and Sandler all unavailable
- **NEC's draw curse** continues: four stalemates in five games suggests they'll sit deep and hope, but Zagreb's midfield dominance (Stojković, Mišić) should punish that approach
- Home advantage at Maksimir — Zagreb have been nearly flawless here lately and won't want to slip up in this tie

Expected lineups:

- **GNK Dinamo Zagreb**: D. Kotarski, M. P. Vinlöf, S. Domínguez, S. McKenna, L. Stojković, A. Hoxha, J. Mišić, M. Zajc, M. Lisica, D. D. Beljo
- **NEC Nijmegen**: G. Crettaz, T. Storm, G. Brás, D. Fonville, P. Schuurs, D. Tadić, C. Bischoff, A. Thomas, N. Lebreton, B. Linssen

Prediction:

**Zagreb 2–0 NEC** — Dinamo should have too much for a depleted and form-starved Nijmegen side. 🎯

Where to watch

Canal+ Live 8M+ Liga de Campeones 3

Match facts

Stadium

Stadion Maksimir

City

Zagreb

Referee

Manfredas Lukjancukas

3.44 yellows/match · 16 matches

Kickoff

22 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Competition

Europa League

Top stats

59%Possession41%

2.63Expected goals (xG)1.39

16Total shots15

10Shots on target5

7Big chances2

5Corners2

Shots

4Shots off target5

2Blocked shots5

11Shots inside box10

5Shots outside box5

0Hit woodwork1

2Big chances scored1

5Big chances missed1

-2.7Goals prevented0.66

Attack

30Touches in box29

53Final third entries49

1Offsides2

18Free kicks11

2Fouled in final third1

Passing

516Passes360

436Accurate passes284

27/49 (55%)Long balls24/53 (45%)

2/15 (13%)Crosses4/14 (29%)

28Throw-ins14

Duels

46Duels54

40/85 (47%)Ground duels45/85 (53%)

7/18 (39%)Aerial duels11/18 (61%)

9/20 (45%)Dribbles9/16 (56%)

14Dispossessed8

Defending

15Tackles25

80Tackles won60

4Interceptions9

29Clearances31

42Recoveries52

Discipline

11Fouls18

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves7

0Big saves2

6Goal kicks5

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Dinamo 64%

20%

NEC 16%

1X2Dinamo to win 64% · 1.80 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.50 @ William Hill

Who winsDinamo to win (DNB) 67% · 1.20 @ 888Sport

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.80 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58% · 1.91 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 54% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 20% · 3.04 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.66 @ 1xBet

1X2NEC to win 16% · 5.25 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.48

GNK Dinamo Zagreb

4.63

Draw

6.10

NEC Nijmegen

Double Chanceconsensus

1.13

GNK Dinamo Zagreb or Draw

1.19

GNK Dinamo Zagreb or NEC Nijmegen

2.54

Draw or NEC Nijmegen

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.65

Yes

2.15

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.90

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

11.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

17.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.15

Over 1.50

5.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.51

Over 2.50

2.55

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.30

Over 3.50

1.62

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.97

Over 4.50

1.22

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.18

GNK Dinamo Zagreb

4.33

NEC Nijmegen

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.24

Over 7.50

3.33

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.45

Over 8.50

2.38

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.85

Over 9.50

1.88

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.40

Over 10.50

1.51

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.10

Over 11.50

1.30

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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