Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Rennes are heavy favorites to advance, and they'll need to prove it at home.** OFI Crete pulled off a shock win over Hoffenheim but walked into a 3-0 beating at AEK — classic cup chaos energy. 🔥
Rennes are streaky: they hammered Auxerre 4-1 then got destroyed 4-0 at Lyon, so consistency is their eternal struggle. OFI arrive without three key attacking players and face a side that's supposed to dominate this bracket.
Key storylines:
- **Rennes' midfield control** — V. Rongier and S. Szymański need to stamp authority early before OFI's compact shape settles in
- **E. Lepaul's finishing** — the striker has to be clinical; OFI's defense is thin with injuries piling up
- **OFI's counter threat** — A. Bouchalakis and K. Kodro can hit on the break, but they'll spend most of the night defending
Expected lineups:
- **Stade Rennais**: B. Samba, M. Nagida, C. Cresswell, A. Thomasson, S. Szymański, L. Blas, P. Frankowski, E. Lepaul
- **OFI Crete**: N. Christogeorgos, K. Krizmanić, A. Poungouras, L. Dickmann, A. Bouchalakis, K. Kodro, A. Cantalapiedra, T. Chatzigiovanis
Prediction:
**Rennes 2–0 OFI Crete**
The hosts edge through with a workmanlike display; OFI's injuries make an upset near impossible.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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