Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Brighton are heavy favorites to bulldoze their way past Žalgiris and into the next round** — the Seagulls are on a ridiculous 4W-1D streak while their Lithuanian visitors are rattling between wins and losses like a broken coin. 🎯
Brighton's attack has been clinical; they've demolished Sunderland and Arsenal at home and nicked three off Man United away. Žalgiris, by contrast, look shaky—they beat Beşiktaş once but got thumped 3-0 in the return, and they've dropped points to Zagreb too. This is a mismatch on paper.
Key storylines:
- **Brighton's depth is tested** — missing five players including Hinshelwood and Mitoma, but the squad rotation should still dominate a side in Žalgiris's current form
- **Žalgiris need to stay compact** — leaking goals to Zagreb suggests they're vulnerable to pace and pressing; Ribeiro and Karashima will have to work hard defensively
- **Home advantage matters** — Falmer under lights in European competition is a proper stage, and Brighton's recent wins at the Amex set the tone
Expected lineups:
- **Brighton & Hove Albion**: Verbruggen, De Cuyper, Vušković, Gómez, Groß, Yalcouyé, Osman, Andrés, Kostoulas
- **FK Kauno Žalgiris**: Mikelionis, Iyobosa Edokpolor, Hernández, Lekiatas, Baldassarra, Ourega, Sirgėdas, Karashima, Ribeiro
Prediction:
**Brighton 3–0 Žalgiris**. The hosts control the game from kickoff; a comfortable night. 💪
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.