Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Millonarios host Cali in a heavyweight clash that neither team can really afford to drop** — both sides are scratching and clawing their way through a brutal early season. 🔥
Millonarios have been the steadier ship with three draws mixed in, but **injuries are piling up fast** and they've leaked goals on the road. Cali are rockier at 1W-2D-2L, and that 0-3 hammering to Atlético Nacional last time out stings. The **head-to-head is almost a coin flip** (Millonarios 6, Cali 7, draws 9), which tells you everything.
Key storylines:
- **Millonarios' backline vs Cali's chaos** — five players out injured for the home side, but Deportivo Cali are just as battered with five absences of their own
- **Discipline and set pieces** — expect a cagey, physical affair given both teams' defensive tweaks and missing personnel
- **Attack by committee** — **L. Castro** and **A. Estupiñán** lead the charge for Millonarios; **S. Rodríguez** carries hope for Cali's spotty frontline
Expected lineups:
- **Millonarios**: J. Burrai, S. Valencia, S. Barreiro, D. Banguero, F. Chaverra, R. Ureña, L. Castro, A. Estupiñán
- **Deportivo Cali**: P. Gallese, J. Caldera, E. Velasco, F. Álvarez, D. Giraldo, J. Martínez, S. Rodríguez, A. Hurtado
Prediction:
**1-1** — both teams are injury-ravaged and desperate to avoid another slip. Home turf gives Millonarios a slight edge, but Cali's scrappiness will force the draw.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.