SC Freiburg 3-2 VfL Wolfsburg: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. SC Freiburg 3-2 VfL Wolfsburg.

90+4'

Y. Gerhardt

Attempt missed. Y. Gerhardt (VfL Wolfsburg), header. xG 0.24.

90+2'

K. Goto

Goal! SC Freiburg 3-2 VfL Wolfsburg. K. Goto (SC Freiburg) scores, assisted by P. Lienhart.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

P. Lienhart

Attempt missed. P. Lienhart (SC Freiburg), header. xG 0.05.

85'

C. Irié

Substitution, SC Freiburg: J. Beste comes on for C. Irié.

81'

E. Rexhbeçaj

Substitution, VfL Wolfsburg: B. Dárdai comes on for E. Rexhbeçaj.

81'

M. Arnold

Substitution, VfL Wolfsburg: Y. Gerhardt comes on for M. Arnold.

80'

I. Matanović

Attempt missed. I. Matanović (SC Freiburg), header. xG 0.07.

79'

K. Goto

Attempt blocked. K. Goto (SC Freiburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

75'

K. Goto

Goal! SC Freiburg 2-2 VfL Wolfsburg. K. Goto (SC Freiburg) scores, assisted by V. Grifo.

75'

L. Kübler

Attempt blocked. L. Kübler (SC Freiburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

75'

SC Freiburg

Corner, SC Freiburg.

71'

SC Freiburg

Corner, SC Freiburg.

69'

SC Freiburg

Offside, SC Freiburg.

69'

Y. Engelhardt

Attempt blocked. Y. Engelhardt (SC Freiburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

68'

M. Rosenfelder

Substitution, SC Freiburg: P. Lienhart comes on for M. Rosenfelder.

68'

Y. Suzuki

Substitution, SC Freiburg: K. Goto comes on for Y. Suzuki.

68'

K. Shiogai

Substitution, VfL Wolfsburg: A. Besio comes on for K. Shiogai.

68'

K. Shiogai

Yellow card for K. Shiogai (VfL Wolfsburg) for foul.

65'

I. Matanović

Attempt missed. I. Matanović (SC Freiburg), header. xG 0.26.

63'

A. Bernhardsson

Substitution, VfL Wolfsburg: F. Reese comes on for A. Bernhardsson.

62'

I. Matanović

Attempt missed. I. Matanović (SC Freiburg), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

62'

SC Freiburg

Corner, SC Freiburg.

60'

M. Eggestein

Yellow card for M. Eggestein (SC Freiburg) for argument.

59'

SC Freiburg

Offside, SC Freiburg.

57'

A. Bernhardsson

Yellow card for A. Bernhardsson (VfL Wolfsburg) for time wasting.

55'

L. Kübler

VAR: penalty awarded to SC Freiburg.

55'

S. Kumbedi

Yellow card for S. Kumbedi (VfL Wolfsburg) for argument.

54'

V. Grifo

Attempt blocked. V. Grifo (SC Freiburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

51'

L. Kübler

Attempt blocked. L. Kübler (SC Freiburg), left-footed shot. xG 0.23.

51'

C. Irié

Attempt missed. C. Irié (SC Freiburg), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

50'

SC Freiburg

Offside, SC Freiburg.

48'

SC Freiburg

Corner, SC Freiburg.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. SC Freiburg 1-2 VfL Wolfsburg.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

43'

K. Shiogai

Goal! SC Freiburg 1-2 VfL Wolfsburg. K. Shiogai (VfL Wolfsburg) scores, assisted by M. Damar.

43'

M. Damar

Attempt blocked. M. Damar (VfL Wolfsburg), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.

43'

VfL Wolfsburg

Corner, VfL Wolfsburg.

39'

P. Treu

Substitution, SC Freiburg: L. Kübler comes on for P. Treu.

36'

Y. Suzuki

Yellow card for Y. Suzuki (SC Freiburg).

33'

M. Damar

Attempt missed. M. Damar (VfL Wolfsburg), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.

25'

SC Freiburg

Corner, SC Freiburg.

23'

E. Rexhbeçaj

Attempt missed. E. Rexhbeçaj (VfL Wolfsburg), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.

21'

M. Ginter

Attempt missed. M. Ginter (SC Freiburg), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

21'

SC Freiburg

Offside, SC Freiburg.

20'

SC Freiburg

Corner, SC Freiburg.

20'

M. Ginter

Attempt missed. M. Ginter (SC Freiburg), header from a corner. xG 0.08.

20'

SC Freiburg

Corner, SC Freiburg.

18'

SC Freiburg

Offside, SC Freiburg.

13'

VfL Wolfsburg

Corner, VfL Wolfsburg.

12'

C. Irié

Attempt missed. C. Irié (SC Freiburg), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

8'

K. Shiogai

Goal! SC Freiburg 1-1 VfL Wolfsburg. K. Shiogai (VfL Wolfsburg) scores, assisted by T. Wellenreuther.

6'

I. Matanović

Goal! SC Freiburg 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg. I. Matanović (SC Freiburg) scores, assisted by C. Günter.

4'

SC Freiburg

Offside, SC Freiburg.

3'

C. Irié

Attempt blocked. C. Irié (SC Freiburg), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

1'

Kick-off: SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg.

Where the money is

843701 EUR matched · captured 2 days, 2 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 719238 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

47.2%

-51.8 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

35.9%

+35.8 vs price

Draw 34.0 · implied 2.9%

16.9%

+14.0 vs price

Half time 2 EUR

Away 5.3 · implied 18.9%

91.6%

+72.7 vs price

Home 2.1 · implied 47.6%

65.4%

+17.8 vs price

Draw 2.9 · implied 34.5%

34.6%

+0.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 10076 EUR · live

Over 1.12 · implied 89.3%

76.9%

-12.4 vs price

Under 8.8 · implied 11.4%

23.7%

+12.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 383 EUR

Under 1.24 · implied 80.6%

79.6%

-1.1 vs price

Over 5.3 · implied 18.9%

20.4%

+1.6 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

6' ⚽ I. Matanović · assist C. Günter1–0

8' ⚽ K. Shiogai · assist T. Wellenreuther1–1

36' Y. Suzuki

39' 🔁 L. Kübler ◂ P. Treu

43' ⚽ K. Shiogai · assist M. Damar1–2

Half-time · 1–2

55' S. Kumbedi · Argument

55' VAR Penalty not given after review · L. Kübler

57' A. Bernhardsson · Time wasting

60' M. Eggestein · Argument

63' 🔁 F. Reese ◂ A. Bernhardsson

68' 🔁 A. Besio ◂ K. Shiogai

68' 🔁 K. Goto ◂ Y. Suzuki

68' 🔁 P. Lienhart ◂ M. Rosenfelder

68' K. Shiogai · Foul

75' ⚽ K. Goto · assist V. Grifo2–2

81' 🔁 Y. Gerhardt ◂ M. Arnold

81' 🔁 B. Dárdai ◂ E. Rexhbeçaj

85' 🔁 J. Beste ◂ C. Irié

Full-time · 3–2

90'⁺² ⚽ K. Goto · assist P. Lienhart3–2

Coaches

Julian Schuster

Tobias Strobl

Recent form

SC Freiburg

LHFC Bayern München1-3

LAAS Monaco0-3

LABayer 04 Leverkusen1-2

WHFK Jablonec3-2

WHFC Schalke 042-1

VfL Wolfsburg

DAVfL Bochum 18481-1

WH1. FC Heidenheim3-1

DA1. FC Nürnberg4-4

WHTSV Havelse4-1

WHDarmstadt 985-1

About this match

**Freiburg's form is rough, but the DFB-Pokal second round is their chance to bounce back.** Wolfsburg rolls in hot and unbeaten in five — this is a proper test. 🔥

Freiburg have lost three of their last five across all competitions, including brutal beatings from Bayern and Monaco. Wolfsburg, meanwhile, are sitting pretty with three wins and two draws; their attacking firepower (4-4 thriller vs Nürnberg, 3-1 over Heidenheim) suggests they're built for a cup run.

Key storylines:

- **Freiburg's home fortress** has to flex here — they've got the head-to-head edge over Wolfsburg historically, but recent form says don't sleep on that.
- **Wolfsburg's depth advantage** is real: they're missing four players but still have serious attacking talent, especially with Vinicius and Reese in the mix.
- **Freiburg's fringe players** like I. Matanović and Y. Suzuki need to step up in attack with D. Scherhant leading the charge.

Expected lineups:

- **SC Freiburg**: M. Backhaus, M. Ginter, J. Makengo, P. Lienhart, P. Treu, M. Eggestein, J. Beste, Y. Suzuki, D. Scherhant, L. Höler
- **VfL Wolfsburg**: J. Zieliński, J. Mæhle, H. Wahl, Cleiton, S. Kumbedi, M. Damar, Vinicius, Y. Gerhardt, F. Reese, R. Glatzel

Prediction:

**Wolfsburg edges it 2-1** — their form is just too sharp right now, and Freiburg's recent struggles make them vulnerable. 📺

Where to watch

beIN Sports MAX 5

Match facts

Stadium

Europa-Park-Stadion

City

Freiburg

Referee

Sören Storks

4.11 yellows/match · 27 matches

Kickoff

28 Oct, 17:00 UTC

Competition

DFB Pokal

Highlights & clips

SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-2-2 VfL Wolfsburg

21 F. Müller 5.6 17 L. Kübler 6.2 ↑ 39' 28 M. Ginter 7.5 3 P. Lienhart 7.3 ↑ 68' 30 C. Günter 7.0 8 M. Eggestein 6.5 16 Y. Engelhardt 6.4 19 J. Beste 6.7 ↑ 85' 42 K. Goto 9.0 ↑ 68' 32 V. Grifo 7.9 31 I. Matanović 7.8 1 T. Wellenreuther 6.3 26 S. Kumbedi 5.9 6 H. Wahl 7.4 33 Cleiton 6.4 21 J. Mæhle 5.8 8 B. Dárdai 6.4 ↑ 81' 5 Vinicius 7.1 31 Y. Gerhardt 6.3 ↑ 81' 20 M. Damar 7.3 11 F. Reese 6.5 ↑ 63' 23 A. Besio 7.0 ↑ 68'

Substitutes

1GM. Backhaus 37DM. Rosenfelder↓ 68'6.6 29DP. Treu↓ 39'6.3 5DA. Jung 22MC. Irié↓ 85'7.2 14MY. Suzuki↓ 68'6.2 6MP. Osterhage 20MR. Yamamoto 9FL. Höler

Coach: Julian Schuster

Substitutes

30GJ. Zieliński 22DM. Angely 18DJ. A. Adjetey 2DK. Fischer 17MA. Bernhardsson↓ 63'6.7 27MM. Arnold↓ 81'6.4 37ME. Rexhbeçaj↓ 81'6.4 7FK. Shiogai↓ 68'8.5 19FR. Glatzel

Coach: Tobias Strobl

Top stats

61%Possession39%

1.53Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.23

17Total shots6

3Shots on target2

2Big chances3

7Corners2

Shots

8Shots off target3

6Blocked shots1

14Shots inside box3

3Shots outside box3

1Big chances scored2

1Big chances missed1

Attack

38Touches in box12

70Final third entries31

6Offsides0

14Free kicks11

1Fouled in final third1

Passing

507Passes337

437Accurate passes270

21/44 (48%)Long balls26/56 (46%)

13/30 (43%)Crosses2/6 (33%)

13Throw-ins15

Duels

55Duels45

31/59 (53%)Ground duels28/59 (47%)

15/25 (60%)Aerial duels10/25 (40%)

11/17 (65%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)

6Dispossessed2

Defending

8Tackles12

50Tackles won50

9Interceptions5

14Clearances35

42Recoveries37

Discipline

11Fouls14

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

7Goal kicks8

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Freiburg 61%

20%

Wolfsburg 18%

Who winsWolfsburg to win (DNB) 73% · 4.00 @ Bet365

CornersOver 10.5 corners 51% · 1.98 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 68% · 3.00 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 61% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle

1X2Freiburg to win 61% · 1.85 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 72% · 1.28 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 64% · 2.50 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.65 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 20% · 3.08 @ 1xBet

1X2Wolfsburg to win 18% · 4.75 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 50% · 1.96 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.60

SC Freiburg

4.33

Draw

4.60

VfL Wolfsburg

Double Chanceconsensus

1.15

SC Freiburg or Draw

1.17

SC Freiburg or VfL Wolfsburg

2.27

Draw or VfL Wolfsburg

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.44

Yes

2.60

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.30

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

12.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

19.25

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.07

Over 1.50

7.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.35

Over 2.50

3.10

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.94

Over 3.50

1.80

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.08

Over 4.50

1.30

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.25

SC Freiburg

3.58

VfL Wolfsburg

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.14

Over 7.50

3.82

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.28

Over 8.50

2.82

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.57

Over 9.50

2.23

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.92

Over 10.50

1.83

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.40

Over 11.50

1.50

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

86% confidence

SC Freiburg to win or draw

✓

82% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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