1. FC Nürnberg 4-4 VfL Wolfsburg: Stats & xG – Oct 10, 2026

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2. Bundesliga ·Sat 10 Oct

1. FC Nürnberg

4–4

HT 0–2

Full time

VfL Wolfsburg

Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg · Ref: Lars Erbst

Commentary

90'

Full-time. 1. FC Nürnberg 4-4 VfL Wolfsburg.

90+8'

A. Besio

Goal! 1. FC Nürnberg 4-4 VfL Wolfsburg. A. Besio (VfL Wolfsburg) scores.

90+8'

M. Damar

Attempt saved. M. Damar (VfL Wolfsburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

90+8'

VfL Wolfsburg

Corner, VfL Wolfsburg.

90+6'

G. Masouras

Goal! 1. FC Nürnberg 4-3 VfL Wolfsburg. G. Masouras (1. FC Nürnberg) scores, assisted by A. Markhiev.

90+6'

A. Markhiev

Attempt blocked. A. Markhiev (1. FC Nürnberg), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90+6'

1. FC Nürnberg

Corner, 1. FC Nürnberg.

90+4'

1. FC Nürnberg

Corner, 1. FC Nürnberg.

90+1'

A. Besio

Goal! 1. FC Nürnberg 3-3 VfL Wolfsburg. A. Besio (VfL Wolfsburg) scores.

90+1'

A. Besio

Attempt missed. A. Besio (VfL Wolfsburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90+1'

J. Zieliński

Attempt missed. J. Zieliński (VfL Wolfsburg), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

90'

7 minutes of added time.

87'

A. Kalogeropoulos

Yellow card for A. Kalogeropoulos (1. FC Nürnberg) for argument.

87'

K. Shiogai

VAR: penalty awarded to VfL Wolfsburg.

86'

K. Shiogai

Yellow card for K. Shiogai (VfL Wolfsburg) for argument.

84'

J. Mæhle

Attempt blocked. J. Mæhle (VfL Wolfsburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

81'

J. Justvan

Substitution, 1. FC Nürnberg: W. Bøving comes on for J. Justvan.

81'

E. Porstner

Substitution, 1. FC Nürnberg: A. Ceresoli comes on for E. Porstner.

79'

A. Besio

Attempt blocked. A. Besio (VfL Wolfsburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

79'

Vinicius

Substitution, VfL Wolfsburg: M. Arnold comes on for Vinicius.

77'

P. Scobel

Attempt saved. P. Scobel (1. FC Nürnberg), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

77'

J. Justvan

Attempt missed. J. Justvan (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.23.

76'

M. Angely

Yellow card for M. Angely (VfL Wolfsburg) for foul.

76'

1. FC Nürnberg

Corner, 1. FC Nürnberg.

75'

A. Markhiev

Attempt missed. A. Markhiev (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

75'

A. Bernhardsson

Substitution, VfL Wolfsburg: A. Besio comes on for A. Bernhardsson.

75'

F. Reese

Substitution, VfL Wolfsburg: K. Shiogai comes on for F. Reese.

69'

J. Justvan

Attempt missed. J. Justvan (1. FC Nürnberg), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

68'

M. A. Zoma

Attempt blocked. M. A. Zoma (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.

68'

1. FC Nürnberg

Corner, 1. FC Nürnberg.

63'

M. A. Zoma

Goal! 1. FC Nürnberg 3-2 VfL Wolfsburg. M. A. Zoma (1. FC Nürnberg) scores, assisted by E. Porstner.

63'

T. Janisch

Substitution, 1. FC Nürnberg: G. Masouras comes on for T. Janisch.

63'

R. Ghrieb

Substitution, 1. FC Nürnberg: R. Lubach comes on for R. Ghrieb.

62'

H. Wahl

Yellow card for H. Wahl (VfL Wolfsburg) for foul.

62'

Y. Gerhardt

Substitution, VfL Wolfsburg: E. Rexhbeçaj comes on for Y. Gerhardt.

59'

P. Scobel

Goal! 1. FC Nürnberg 2-2 VfL Wolfsburg. P. Scobel (1. FC Nürnberg) scores, assisted by R. Ghrieb.

57'

M. Damar

Attempt saved. M. Damar (VfL Wolfsburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

54'

1. FC Nürnberg

Offside, 1. FC Nürnberg.

52'

P. Scobel

Goal! 1. FC Nürnberg 1-2 VfL Wolfsburg. P. Scobel (1. FC Nürnberg) scores, assisted by J. Fernández.

50'

F. Reese

Attempt missed. F. Reese (VfL Wolfsburg), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

49'

VfL Wolfsburg

Offside, VfL Wolfsburg.

48'

R. Ghrieb

Attempt saved. R. Ghrieb (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

48'

1. FC Nürnberg

Corner, 1. FC Nürnberg.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. 1. FC Nürnberg 0-2 VfL Wolfsburg.

45'

1 minute of added time.

43'

Y. Gerhardt

Attempt blocked. Y. Gerhardt (VfL Wolfsburg), header. xG 0.03.

43'

M. Damar

Attempt blocked. M. Damar (VfL Wolfsburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

42'

R. Ghrieb

Attempt blocked. R. Ghrieb (1. FC Nürnberg), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

40'

Y. Gerhardt

Attempt missed. Y. Gerhardt (VfL Wolfsburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.56.

37'

1. FC Nürnberg

Offside, 1. FC Nürnberg.

36'

J. Justvan

Attempt saved. J. Justvan (1. FC Nürnberg), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

34'

M. A. Zoma

Attempt blocked. M. A. Zoma (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

33'

Y. Gerhardt

Attempt missed. Y. Gerhardt (VfL Wolfsburg), header from a corner. xG 0.08.

33'

VfL Wolfsburg

Corner, VfL Wolfsburg.

31'

R. Ghrieb

Attempt blocked. R. Ghrieb (1. FC Nürnberg), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.13.

31'

P. Scobel

Attempt missed. P. Scobel (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.46.

29'

M. Damar

Goal! 1. FC Nürnberg 0-2 VfL Wolfsburg. M. Damar (VfL Wolfsburg) scores, assisted by Vinicius.

28'

M. A. Zoma

Attempt saved. M. A. Zoma (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

27'

A. Markhiev

Attempt blocked. A. Markhiev (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

23'

F. Otto

Attempt blocked. F. Otto (1. FC Nürnberg), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

23'

J. Justvan

Attempt blocked. J. Justvan (1. FC Nürnberg), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

20'

M. A. Zoma

Yellow card for M. A. Zoma (1. FC Nürnberg) for foul.

17'

1. FC Nürnberg

Offside, 1. FC Nürnberg.

15'

Y. Gerhardt

Attempt saved. Y. Gerhardt (VfL Wolfsburg), left-footed shot. xG 0.55.

15'

Y. Gerhardt

Off the woodwork! Y. Gerhardt (VfL Wolfsburg), header. xG 0.65.

15'

R. Glatzel

Attempt missed. R. Glatzel (VfL Wolfsburg), left-footed shot. xG 0.85.

15'

F. Reese

Attempt saved. F. Reese (VfL Wolfsburg), left-footed shot. xG 0.23.

12'

J. Mæhle

Attempt blocked. J. Mæhle (VfL Wolfsburg), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

12'

H. Wahl

Goal! 1. FC Nürnberg 0-1 VfL Wolfsburg. H. Wahl (VfL Wolfsburg) scores.

11'

M. Damar

Attempt blocked. M. Damar (VfL Wolfsburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

11'

VfL Wolfsburg

Corner, VfL Wolfsburg.

A. Bernhardsson

Attempt saved. A. Bernhardsson (VfL Wolfsburg), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

J. Justvan

Attempt blocked. J. Justvan (1. FC Nürnberg), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

Kick-off: 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg.

Where the money is

703784 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 438676 EUR · live

Home 1.08 · implied 92.6%

55.9%

-36.7 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

22.9%

+22.8 vs price

Draw 15.0 · implied 6.7%

21.2%

+14.5 vs price

Half time 193 EUR

Draw 2.72 · implied 36.8%

78.3%

+41.6 vs price

Home 3.05 · implied 32.8%

19.2%

-13.6 vs price

Away 3.3 · implied 30.3%

2.1%

-28.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 23688 EUR · live

Over 1.16 · implied 86.2%

82.0%

-4.2 vs price

Under 7.2 · implied 13.9%

18.0%

+4.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 159 EUR

Under 1.22 · implied 82.0%

81.4%

-0.6 vs price

Over 5.0 · implied 20.0%

29.3%

+9.3 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

12' ⚽ H. Wahl0–1

20' M. A. Zoma · Foul

29' ⚽ M. Damar · assist Vinicius0–2

Half-time · 0–2

52' ⚽ P. Scobel · assist J. Fernández1–2

59' ⚽ P. Scobel · assist R. Ghrieb2–2

62' H. Wahl · Foul

62' 🔁 E. Rexhbeçaj ◂ Y. Gerhardt

63' ⚽ M. A. Zoma · assist E. Porstner3–2

63' 🔁 R. Lubach ◂ R. Ghrieb

63' 🔁 G. Masouras ◂ T. Janisch

75' 🔁 K. Shiogai ◂ F. Reese

75' 🔁 A. Besio ◂ A. Bernhardsson

76' M. Angely · Foul

79' 🔁 M. Arnold ◂ Vinicius

81' 🔁 A. Ceresoli ◂ E. Porstner

81' 🔁 W. Bøving ◂ J. Justvan

86' K. Shiogai · Argument

87' A. Kalogeropoulos · Argument

87' VAR Penalty not given after review · K. Shiogai

Full-time · 4–4

90'⁺¹ ⚽ A. Besio3–3

90'⁺⁶ ⚽ G. Masouras · assist A. Markhiev4–3

90'⁺⁸ ⚽ A. Besio4–4

Coaches

Miroslav Klose

Tobias Strobl

Recent form

1. FC Nürnberg

WHFC Ingolstadt 043-1

WAKarlsruher SC1-0

WHHannover 962-1

DAHolstein Kiel2-2

WHArminia Bielefeld4-1

VfL Wolfsburg

WHTSV Havelse4-1

WHDarmstadt 985-1

LAFC St. Pauli0-1

DHEnergie Cottbus4-4

WAKarlsruher SC5-2

About this match

**Nürnberg's hot streak crashes into Wolfsburg's firepower** — the hosts are flying high with four wins in five, but the visitors just dropped five goals past Darmstadt. This could go either way. ⚡

Nürnberg are basically untouchable at home right now, while Wolfsburg are clinical when they click. The H2H is dead even over 27 meetings (10-9 edge to Nürnberg), so don't expect a blowout either way.

Key storylines:

- **Nürnberg's defensive solidity** has been the foundation — they've conceded just one goal in their last five games, and home advantage at Max-Morlock is a fortress.
- **Wolfsburg's attacking punch** is real; four and five-goal hauls in recent weeks show they can dismantle defenses when they're sharp.
- **Midfield battle** between **Fernández and Vinicius** will likely decide tempo and chance creation.

Expected lineups:

- **1. FC Nürnberg**: J. Reichert, E. Porstner, A. Kalogeropoulos, F. Otto, G. Masouras, J. Fernández, F. O. Becker, P. Scobel, A. Markhiev, J. Justvan, M. A. Zoma
- **VfL Wolfsburg**: J. Zieliński, J. Mæhle, H. Wahl, M. Angely, K. Fischer, Vinicius, E. Rexhbeçaj, F. Reese, M. Damar, S. Kumbedi, R. Glatzel

Prediction:

**2-2 draw** — Nürnberg's defense keeps them in it, but Wolfsburg's attack gets enough openings to nick a point on the road. 🎯

Where to watch

beIN Sports MAX 6

Match facts

Stadium

Max-Morlock-Stadion

City

Nuremberg

Referee

Lars Erbst

0.73 yellows/match · 22 matches

Kickoff

10 Oct, 18:30 UTC

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Top stats

50%Possession50%

2.22Expected goals (xG)3.69

21Total shots22

8Shots on target9

3Big chances6

6Corners6

Shots

4Shots off target7

9Blocked shots6

14Shots inside box16

7Shots outside box6

0Hit woodwork1

2Big chances scored1

1Big chances missed5

-1.99Goals prevented-1.53

Attack

35Touches in box27

58Final third entries53

4Offsides1

24Free kicks10

2Fouled in final third1

Passing

425Passes416

355Accurate passes343

20/45 (44%)Long balls27/49 (55%)

3/11 (27%)Crosses5/16 (31%)

20Throw-ins16

Duels

50Duels50

45/84 (54%)Ground duels39/84 (46%)

6/18 (33%)Aerial duels12/18 (67%)

6/15 (40%)Dribbles8/14 (57%)

12Dispossessed9

Defending

15Tackles21

80Tackles won52

9Interceptions8

20Clearances28

42Recoveries45

Discipline

10Fouls24

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves4

7Goal kicks9

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Nürnberg 38%

24%

Wolfsburg 38%

CornersOver 10.5 corners 57% · 1.91 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 9.5 corners 66% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 76% · 1.27 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 68% · 2.75 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 69% · 2.25 @ Bet365

Who winsNürnberg to win (DNB) 72% · 1.80 @ 10bet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.57 @ William Hill

1X2Wolfsburg to win 38% · 2.65 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 24% · 2.92 @ 1xBet

1X2Nürnberg to win 38% · 2.62 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 53% · 1.93 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.42

1. FC Nürnberg

3.85

Draw

2.45

VfL Wolfsburg

Double Chanceconsensus

1.50

1. FC Nürnberg or Draw

1.22

1. FC Nürnberg or VfL Wolfsburg

1.50

Draw or VfL Wolfsburg

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.36

Yes

2.94

Home Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

21.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.10

Over 1.50

6.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.36

Over 2.50

3.00

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.90

Over 3.50

1.88

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.06

Over 4.50

1.33

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.79

1. FC Nürnberg

1.93

VfL Wolfsburg

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.12

Over 7.50

4.80

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.27

Over 8.50

3.30

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.52

Over 9.50

2.37

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.80

Over 10.50

1.90

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.28

Over 11.50

1.56

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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