Hannover 96 1-1 FC St. Pauli: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Hannover 96 1-1 FC St. Pauli.

90+4'

R. Jones

Substitution, FC St. Pauli: T. Hara comes on for R. Jones.

90+2'

J. C. Fujita

Yellow card for J. C. Fujita (FC St. Pauli) for foul.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

90'

R. Jones

Attempt blocked. R. Jones (FC St. Pauli), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

86'

C. Metcalfe

Substitution, FC St. Pauli: B. Hrgota comes on for C. Metcalfe.

85'

A. Ceesay

Substitution, FC St. Pauli: R. Jones comes on for A. Ceesay.

84'

B. Tomiak

Attempt saved. B. Tomiak (Hannover 96), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

84'

C. Metcalfe

Attempt blocked. C. Metcalfe (FC St. Pauli), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

83'

Hannover 96

Corner, Hannover 96.

82'

V. Ghiță

Attempt missed. V. Ghiță (Hannover 96), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

82'

S. T. Þórðarson

Attempt missed. S. T. Þórðarson (Hannover 96), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.13.

81'

Hannover 96

Corner, Hannover 96.

81'

B. Pichler

Attempt blocked. B. Pichler (Hannover 96), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

80'

B. Källman

Attempt saved. B. Källman (Hannover 96), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

78'

M. Hartel

Substitution, Hannover 96: B. Allgeier comes on for M. Hartel.

76'

S. Klein

Attempt saved. S. Klein (FC St. Pauli), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

75'

H. Chakroun

Substitution, Hannover 96: H. Matsuda comes on for H. Chakroun.

73'

A. Ceesay

Off the woodwork! A. Ceesay (FC St. Pauli), header. xG 0.22.

72'

L. Ritzka

Attempt blocked. L. Ritzka (FC St. Pauli), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

68'

K. Oudenne

Substitution, Hannover 96: B. Pichler comes on for K. Oudenne.

65'

A. Ceesay

Attempt blocked. A. Ceesay (FC St. Pauli), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

64'

A. Pyrka

Attempt saved. A. Pyrka (FC St. Pauli), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

64'

FC St. Pauli

Corner, FC St. Pauli.

63'

A. Ceesay

Attempt blocked. A. Ceesay (FC St. Pauli), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

63'

FC St. Pauli

Corner, FC St. Pauli.

62'

Y. Niang

Substitution, FC St. Pauli: M. Kaars comes on for Y. Niang.

62'

M. Rasmussen

Substitution, FC St. Pauli: S. Klein comes on for M. Rasmussen.

61'

FC St. Pauli

Offside, FC St. Pauli.

60'

FC St. Pauli

Offside, FC St. Pauli.

48'

H. Chakroun

Goal! Hannover 96 1-1 FC St. Pauli. H. Chakroun (Hannover 96) scores.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Hannover 96 0-1 FC St. Pauli.

45+1'

A. Ceesay

Goal! Hannover 96 0-1 FC St. Pauli. A. Ceesay (FC St. Pauli) scores, assisted by L. Oppie.

45'

1 minute of added time.

45'

M. Hartel

Attempt saved. M. Hartel (Hannover 96), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

44'

Hannover 96

Offside, Hannover 96.

44'

B. Källman

Attempt missed. B. Källman (Hannover 96), header. xG 0.05.

42'

A. Ceesay

Attempt blocked. A. Ceesay (FC St. Pauli), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

42'

B. Källman

Attempt missed. B. Källman (Hannover 96), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

41'

FC St. Pauli

Corner, FC St. Pauli.

41'

A. Pyrka

Attempt saved. A. Pyrka (FC St. Pauli), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

36'

Hannover 96

Offside, Hannover 96.

35'

B. Källman

Attempt missed. B. Källman (Hannover 96), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

32'

J. C. Fujita

Attempt blocked. J. C. Fujita (FC St. Pauli), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

32'

FC St. Pauli

Corner, FC St. Pauli.

31'

H. Chakroun

Attempt missed. H. Chakroun (Hannover 96), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

29'

V. Ghiță

Off the woodwork! V. Ghiță (Hannover 96), header from a corner. xG 0.33.

28'

Hannover 96

Corner, Hannover 96.

19'

S. T. Þórðarson

Attempt missed. S. T. Þórðarson (Hannover 96), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

19'

Hannover 96

Offside, Hannover 96.

18'

C. Metcalfe

Attempt missed. C. Metcalfe (FC St. Pauli), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

17'

S. T. Þórðarson

Yellow card for S. T. Þórðarson (Hannover 96) for foul.

15'

E. Smith

Attempt saved. E. Smith (FC St. Pauli), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

9'

H. Chakroun

VAR check complete: the goal for Hannover 96 stands.

8'

H. Chakroun

Yellow card for H. Chakroun (Hannover 96) for foul.

7'

C. Metcalfe

Attempt saved. C. Metcalfe (FC St. Pauli), left-footed shot. xG 0.20.

4'

FC St. Pauli

Offside, FC St. Pauli.

1'

Kick-off: Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli.

Where the money is

829450 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 411701 EUR · live

Draw 1.07 · implied 93.5%

49.3%

-44.2 vs price

Away 20.0 · implied 5.0%

27.5%

+22.5 vs price

Home 22.0 · implied 4.5%

23.2%

+18.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 156562 EUR · live

Under 1.06 · implied 94.3%

74.1%

-20.3 vs price

Over 21.0 · implied 4.8%

25.9%

+21.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 158 EUR

Under 1.17 · implied 85.5%

68.2%

-17.3 vs price

Over 6.4 · implied 15.6%

30.9%

+15.3 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

8' H. Chakroun · Foul

9' VAR Goal not given after review · H. Chakroun

17' S. T. Þórðarson · Foul

Half-time · 0–1

45'⁺¹ ⚽ A. Ceesay · assist L. Oppie0–1

48' ⚽ H. Chakroun1–1

62' 🔁 S. Klein ◂ M. Rasmussen

62' 🔁 M. Kaars ◂ Y. Niang

68' 🔁 B. Pichler ◂ K. Oudenne

75' 🔁 H. Matsuda ◂ H. Chakroun

78' 🔁 B. Allgeier ◂ M. Hartel

85' 🔁 R. Jones ◂ A. Ceesay

86' 🔁 B. Hrgota ◂ C. Metcalfe

Full-time · 1–1

90'⁺² J. C. Fujita · Foul

90'⁺⁴ 🔁 T. Hara ◂ R. Jones

Coaches

Sandro Wagner

Marcel Rapp

Recent form

Hannover 96

LA1. FC Magdeburg0-3

WHSC Verl2-0

WHVfL Bochum 18482-1

LA1. FC Nürnberg1-2

DHKarlsruher SC2-2

FC St. Pauli

WHKarlsruher SC2-0

DHBorussia M'gladbach1-1

DAEnergie Cottbus1-1

WHVfL Wolfsburg1-0

DAArminia Bielefeld2-2

About this match

**Hannover's looking to bounce back from a bruising road loss, but St. Pauli's been basically unbeatable lately.** 🔴⚪

Hannover got hammered 0–3 away to Magdeburg last time out but showed grit with back-to-back home wins before that. St. Pauli, meanwhile, are the draw specialists — five games without a loss and only one defeat in their last five. Head-to-head is basically a coin flip (1–1–2 in the last four), so don't expect a runaway.

Key storylines:

- **Hannover's home form** has teeth after wins over Verl and Bochum; can they replicate that intensity against a St. Pauli side that's hard to break down?
- **St. Pauli's resiliency** — they've drawn their last two and haven't tasted defeat; expect defensive discipline without M. Mathisen in the squad.
- **Set-piece battles** will be crucial with both sides fielding compact 3-man backlines.

Expected lineups:

- **Hannover 96**: L. Weinkauf, M. Neubauer, B. Tomiak, K. Oudenne, M. Hartel, S. T. Þórðarson, L. Gindorf, M. Bundu
- **FC St. Pauli**: B. Voll, L. Oppie, D. Nemeth, T. Ando, M. Rasmussen, B. Hrgota, T. Hara, S. Banks

Prediction:

**2–1 Hannover**. Home advantage and recent momentum edge out St. Pauli's draw-happy streak. 🎯

Where to watch

Disney+ (AR)

Match facts

Stadium

Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena

City

Hannover

Referee

Felix Prigan

1.10 yellows/match · 21 matches

Kickoff

17 Oct, 18:30 UTC

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Highlights & clips

Hannover 96 4-4-2 · 3-4-1-2 FC St. Pauli

30 L. Weinkauf 7.1 5 V. Ghiță 7.2 3 B. Tomiak 8.0 4 J. Hugonet 8.7 33 M. Neubauer 6.6 27 H. Matsuda 6.7 ↑ 75' 8 W. Taibi 7.2 23 S. T. Þórðarson 6.5 11 B. Pichler 6.5 ↑ 68' 9 B. Källman 6.8 17 B. Allgeier 6.8 ↑ 78' 1 B. Voll 6.8 4 D. Nemeth 7.5 8 E. Smith 7.7 21 L. Ritzka 7.2 11 A. Pyrka 8.0 22 S. Klein 6.7 ↑ 62' 16 J. C. Fujita 7.6 23 L. Oppie 7.1 10 B. Hrgota 6.5 ↑ 86' 19 M. Kaars 6.3 ↑ 62' 26 R. Jones 6.4 ↑ 85'

Substitutes

1GP. Loretz 20DI. Okon 29MK. Oudenne↓ 68'6.5 13MF. Roggow 44ME. Sahiti 38MJ. Reinhold 14FH. Chakroun↓ 75'7.1 10FM. Hartel↓ 78'6.8 28FT. Etcibasi

Coach: Sandro Wagner

Substitutes

33GD. Mitov 15DT. Ando 25DA. Dźwigała 20MM. Rasmussen↓ 62'6.5 24MC. Metcalfe↓ 86'6.3 14ME. Ahlstrand 9FA. Ceesay↓ 85'7.1 7FY. Niang↓ 62'6.0 18FT. Hara↑ 90'

Coach: Marcel Rapp

Top stats

43%Possession57%

1.27Expected goals (xG)0.94

13Total shots15

4Shots on target6

2Big chances2

3Corners3

Shots

8Shots off target2

1Blocked shots7

10Shots inside box7

3Shots outside box8

1Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored1

1Big chances missed1

0.11Goals prevented0.18

Attack

24Touches in box24

66Final third entries57

4Offsides2

11Free kicks11

0Fouled in final third2

Passing

417Passes558

323Accurate passes470

28/67 (42%)Long balls20/44 (45%)

5/17 (29%)Crosses6/15 (40%)

17Throw-ins25

Duels

55Duels45

43/77 (56%)Ground duels34/77 (44%)

13/25 (52%)Aerial duels12/25 (48%)

8/17 (47%)Dribbles9/19 (47%)

6Dispossessed15

Defending

25Tackles15

76Tackles won60

12Interceptions10

21Clearances27

61Recoveries52

Discipline

11Fouls11

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves3

5Goal kicks8

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Hannover 40%

26%

St. Pauli 34%

Who winsHannover to win (DNB) 79% · 1.77 @ 10bet

CornersOver 10.5 corners 52% · 2.00 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 9.5 corners 62% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 73% · 1.34 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.70 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 3.60 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.80 @ William Hill

1X2St. Pauli to win 34% · 2.90 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 26% · 2.69 @ 1xBet

1X2Hannover to win 40% · 2.62 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.61 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.30

Hannover 96

3.62

Draw

2.71

FC St. Pauli

Double Chanceconsensus

1.40

Hannover 96 or Draw

1.27

Hannover 96 or FC St. Pauli

1.61

Draw or FC St. Pauli

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.49

Yes

2.45

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

17.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.14

Over 1.50

4.83

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.56

Over 2.50

2.25

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.34

Over 3.50

1.53

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.10

Over 4.50

1.20

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.75

Hannover 96

1.98

FC St. Pauli

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.16

Over 7.50

4.20

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.34

Over 8.50

2.90

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.61

Over 9.50

2.20

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.95

Over 10.50

1.79

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.43

Over 11.50

1.48

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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