Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Mexico's looking to bounce back after that England scare, but Colombia's been a proper thorn in their side lately** — the visitors have won 5 of the last 7 head-to-heads and they're rolling with an unbeaten streak. 🔥
Mexico came away with three wins in their last four but got humbled 2-3 at home by England. Colombia's holding steady with three wins and two draws — quieter on the headline stuff, but they've got *momentum* in this fixture historically.
Key storylines:
- **Mexico's defensive depth tested**: without **A. Dominguez**, **J. Angulo**, and **R. Jiménez**, the backline's got gaps. **E. Lira** and **J. Vásquez** will need to hold firm.
- **Colombia's midfield control**: **J. Lerma** and **G. Puerta** have the platform to dictate tempo against a Mexico side looking to impose early.
- **L. Díaz and the Colombia attack**: expect the left flank to be a constant threat against **J. Sánchez** and Mexico's stretched full-back line.
Expected lineups:
- **Mexico**: R. Rangel, J. Gallardo, J. Vásquez, E. Lira, J. Sánchez, C. Montes, B. Gutiérrez, Á. Fidalgo, G. Mora, J. Quiñones, R. Alvarado
- **Colombia**: C. Vargas, J. Mojica, D. Sánchez, J. Lucumí, S. Arias, J. Lerma, G. Puerta, L. Díaz, J. Rodríguez, J. Arias, L. J. Suárez
Prediction:
**1-2 Colombia**. Colombia's edge in this head-to-head is real, and Mexico's missing too many defenders to lock things down. 🎯
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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