Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Austria Wien's misfiring attack meets Sturm's injury crisis** — both sides are stuttering into Round 8, and whoever steadies first could nab three huge points. 🔥
Austria Wien's mixed bag (2W, 1D, 2L) includes a clinical 6-1 demolition of Admira but also a sloppy 2-2 draw; Sturm Graz sits in the same W-D-L shape yet is hit hard by four key absences. Neither team screams in-form, which makes this a classic coin flip.
Key storylines:
- **J. Eggestein** and **S. Saljic** have to carry Austria Wien's creative load — their front two need to be sharper than they were in that Grazer AK draw
- Sturm Graz's **E. Soglo, F. Rózga, J. Heil,** and **O. Kiteishvili** are all out; **S. Jatta** and **N. Weiper** are left to lead the line understaffed
- Austria Wien's home-field advantage at Generali Arena could be decisive given Sturm's personnel headaches
Expected lineups:
- **FK Austria Wien**: S. Sahin-Radlinger, R. Ranftl, A. Dragović, J. Handl, D. Nnodim, M. Fischer, V. Markovic, Kang-hee Lee, S. Saljic, J. Eggestein, J. Hettwer
- **SK Sturm Graz**: D. Khudyakov, L. Balbo, A. Vallci, P. Koller, J. Quarshie, J. G. Stanković, L. Weinhandl, J. Hödl, S. Seidl, S. Jatta, N. Weiper
Prediction:
**Austria Wien 2–1 Sturm Graz**. Home advantage and Sturm's injury toll tip the scales slightly toward the hosts, but it's tight.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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