Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Sturm's European hangover meets Ried's hot streak** — the hosts just fell 3-0 to Bournemouth midweek but won't stay down for long. Ried's riding high with three wins in five, but they're walking into enemy territory where Sturm absolutely dominate the head-to-head. 🔴⚪
Sturm bounced back from that Bournemouth battering with a 6-1 demolition of Grazer AK, so expect them to channel that intensity. Ried won't fold though—they've got serious momentum, especially after that 3-2 upset over Austria Wien. This is Sturm's league to lose, but Ried aren't just making up the numbers.
Key storylines:
- **Sturm's attacking trio** of Włodarczyk, Jatta, and Matoshi will test Ried's backline relentlessly at home
- **Ried's midfield balance** with Maart and Schwab has been crucial to their unbeaten run; they'll need that stability against Sturm's pressing
- **Historical dominance**: Sturm have won 27 of 44 meetings—Ried will need to steal something unlikely
Expected lineups:
- **SK Sturm Graz**: A. Helac, E. Soglo, A. Malić, J. Quarshie, J. Heil, J. G. Stanković, S. Seidl, L. Weinhandl, V. Matoshi, S. Jatta, S. Włodarczyk
- **SV Ried**: A. Leitner, O. Sorg, S. Chukwudi, O. Steurer, A. Bajić, Y. Maart, S. Schwab, E. Eghosa, J. Nasrawe, J. Rhodes, N. P. Sissoko
Prediction:
**Sturm Graz 2-1 SV Ried**. Home form and history favor the hosts, but Ried's form gives them a real edge in the second half.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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