Vasco da Gama 1-3 Boca Juniors: Stats & xG – Oct 21, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Vasco da Gama 1-3 Boca Juniors.

90+4'

T. Mendes

Attempt missed. T. Mendes (Vasco da Gama), header from a set piece. xG 0.05.

90+2'

S. Villa

Substitution, Boca Juniors: A. Costa comes on for S. Villa.

90+2'

A. Velasco

Yellow card for A. Velasco (Boca Juniors) for time wasting.

90+1'

Boca Juniors

Corner, Boca Juniors.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

A. Lescano

Substitution, Vasco da Gama: C. Spinelli comes on for A. Lescano.

88'

L. Paredes

Goal! Vasco da Gama 1-3 Boca Juniors. L. Paredes (Boca Juniors) scores, assisted by M. Delgado.

87'

Boca Juniors

Offside, Boca Juniors.

83'

Vasco da Gama

Corner, Vasco da Gama.

83'

B. Duarte

Attempt blocked. B. Duarte (Vasco da Gama), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

81'

A. Lescano

Attempt missed. A. Lescano (Vasco da Gama), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

78'

L. D. Lollo

Attempt missed. L. D. Lollo (Boca Juniors), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

78'

Boca Juniors

Corner, Boca Juniors.

77'

L. Flores

Substitution, Boca Juniors: A. Velasco comes on for L. Flores.

77'

M. Merentiel

Substitution, Boca Juniors: E. Valencia comes on for M. Merentiel.

73'

Cuiabano

Attempt missed. Cuiabano (Vasco da Gama), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

73'

Brenner

Attempt missed. Brenner (Vasco da Gama), right-footed shot. xG 0.20.

66'

P. Rodríguez

Goal! Vasco da Gama 1-2 Boca Juniors. P. Rodríguez (Vasco da Gama) scores.

62'

A. Lescano

Attempt missed. A. Lescano (Vasco da Gama), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

60'

B. Duarte

Attempt missed. B. Duarte (Vasco da Gama), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

58'

P. Rodríguez

Attempt missed. P. Rodríguez (Vasco da Gama), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

57'

R. Battaglia

Substitution, Boca Juniors: L. Paredes comes on for R. Battaglia.

56'

P. Henrique

Substitution, Vasco da Gama: P. Rodríguez comes on for P. Henrique.

56'

Boca Juniors

Offside, Boca Juniors.

55'

S. Villa

Attempt missed. S. Villa (Boca Juniors), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

50'

A. Lescano

Attempt saved. A. Lescano (Vasco da Gama), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

46'

Vasco da Gama

Corner, Vasco da Gama.

46'

David

Substitution, Vasco da Gama: Brenner comes on for David.

46'

Adson

Substitution, Vasco da Gama: M. Hinestroza comes on for Adson.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Vasco da Gama 0-2 Boca Juniors.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

40'

T. Mendes

Yellow card for T. Mendes (Vasco da Gama) for foul.

37'

L. Paredes

Yellow card for L. Paredes (Boca Juniors) for argument.

34'

M. Merentiel

Goal! Vasco da Gama 0-2 Boca Juniors. M. Merentiel (Boca Juniors) scores, assisted by S. Villa.

33'

S. Villa

Attempt blocked. S. Villa (Boca Juniors), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

27'

T. Mendes

Attempt missed. T. Mendes (Vasco da Gama), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

19'

Boca Juniors

Corner, Boca Juniors.

11'

T. Mendes

Attempt missed. T. Mendes (Vasco da Gama), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

11'

Vasco da Gama

Corner, Vasco da Gama.

7'

Boca Juniors

Corner, Boca Juniors.

6'

L. Flores

Attempt blocked. L. Flores (Boca Juniors), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

4'

L. D. Lollo

Goal! Vasco da Gama 0-1 Boca Juniors. L. D. Lollo (Boca Juniors) scores, assisted by L. Blanco.

3'

Boca Juniors

Corner, Boca Juniors.

1'

Kick-off: Vasco da Gama vs Boca Juniors.

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

4' ⚽ L. D. Lollo · assist L. Blanco0–1

34' ⚽ M. Merentiel · assist S. Villa0–2

37' L. Paredes · Argument

40' T. Mendes · Foul

Half-time · 0–2

46' 🔁 M. Hinestroza ◂ Adson

46' 🔁 Brenner ◂ David

56' 🔁 P. Rodríguez ◂ P. Henrique

57' 🔁 L. Paredes ◂ R. Battaglia

66' ⚽ P. Rodríguez1–2

77' 🔁 E. Valencia ◂ M. Merentiel

77' 🔁 A. Velasco ◂ L. Flores

88' ⚽ L. Paredes · assist M. Delgado1–3

Full-time · 1–3

90' 🔁 C. Spinelli ◂ A. Lescano

90'⁺² A. Velasco · Time wasting

90'⁺² 🔁 A. Costa ◂ S. Villa

Coaches

Pedro Emanuel

Rodolfo Arruabarrena

Recent form

Vasco da Gama

LASão Paulo0-1

WABoca Juniors1-0

DHRemo0-0

WABotafogo2-1

WHCoritiba5-0

Boca Juniors

WHCA Talleres2-1

LHVasco da Gama0-1

DAInstituto De Córdoba2-2

WHClub Atlético Unión de Santa Fe3-0

WASan Lorenzo2-0

About this match

**Vasco's revenge mission at the Maracanã** — these two have already locked horns once this Copa Sudamericana, and the hosts grabbed a crucial 1-0 away win. Now it's time for the second bite, and Boca won't fancy another loss on Brazilian turf. 🏟️

Both sides are running hot with identical records over their last five (3W-1D-1L), but neither can afford to slip up here. Vasco's got injury headaches in defence, while Boca are missing key midfield and forward depth — this could favour the team playing at home.

Key storylines:

- **Vasco's defensive fragility** despite recent wins leaves them vulnerable against a Boca side that's sharp on the counter

- **The hosts' midfield anchor S. Sosa** will be crucial to breaking up Boca's rhythm early

- **E. Valencia and M. Merentiel** up top for Boca need to punish any gaps Vasco's depleted backline creates

Expected lineups:

- **Vasco da Gama**: L. Jardim, R. Renan, A. Saldivia, Cuiabano, L. Piton, S. Sosa, T. Mendes, A. Gómez, A. Lescano, Tchê Tchê, F. Colidio

- **Boca Juniors**: Á. Montero, L. Blanco, L. D. Lollo, L. Lozano, F. Herrera, S. Ascacíbar, M. Delgado, L. Flores, C. Palacios, M. Merentiel, E. Valencia

Prediction:

**Vasco 2–1 Boca**. Home advantage and recent form give the hosts a slight edge in what should be a tight, end-to-end affair. 🎯

Where to watch

TODbeIN SPORTS 2beIN SPORTS ENGLISH 1

Match facts

Stadium

Estádio do Maracanã

City

Rio de Janeiro

Referee

Jesús Valenzuela

4.18 yellows/match · 34 matches

Kickoff

21 Oct, 00:30 UTC

Competition

Copa Sudamericana

Highlights & clips

Vasco da Gama 4-1-4-1 · 4-3-3 Boca Juniors

1 L. Jardim 4.4 2 P. Rodríguez 7.5 ↑ 56' 4 A. Saldivia 6.1 30 R. Renan 8.0 66 Cuiabano 5.9 5 S. Sosa 7.0 18 M. Hinestroza 7.3 ↑ 46' 77 C. Spinelli ↑ 90' 23 T. Mendes 6.8 20 Brenner 6.7 ↑ 46' 19 B. Duarte 6.6 1 Á. Montero 5.7 17 L. Lozano 6.0 2 L. D. Lollo 7.9 42 F. Herrera 7.1 3 L. Blanco 6.7 25 S. Ascacíbar 7.0 5 L. Paredes 7.6 ↑ 57' 18 M. Delgado 7.3 32 A. Costa ↑ 90' 20 A. Velasco 6.5 ↑ 77' 30 E. Valencia 6.3 ↑ 77'

Substitutes

13GD. Fuzato 96DP. Henrique↓ 56'5.9 43DL. Freitas 6DL. Piton 55DG. Pereira 22MA. Lescano↓ 90'7.2 83MR. Rique 8MJair 17MN. Moreira 3MTchê Tchê 7FDavid↓ 46'7.2 28FAdson↓ 46'5.9

Coach: Pedro Emanuel

Substitutes

12GL. Brey 24DD. Gorosito 27DM. Braida 4DN. Figal 6MR. Battaglia↓ 57'6.8 15MW. Alarcón 7MC. Palacios 53MJ. Ruíz 16FM. Merentiel↓ 77'7.6 22FS. Villa↓ 90'6.9 19FL. Flores↓ 77'6.1 11FÁ. Romero

Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena

Top stats

63%Possession37%

0.67Expected goals (xG)0.52

12Total shots7

2Shots on target3

0Big chances2

5Corners5

Shots

9Shots off target2

1Blocked shots2

8Shots inside box5

4Shots outside box2

0Big chances scored2

-2.19Goals prevented-0.85

Attack

30Touches in box12

72Final third entries45

0Offsides2

14Free kicks8

6Fouled in final third1

Passing

560Passes340

475Accurate passes259

32/50 (64%)Long balls17/59 (29%)

6/23 (26%)Crosses3/12 (25%)

25Throw-ins18

Duels

59Duels41

42/71 (59%)Ground duels29/71 (41%)

12/20 (60%)Aerial duels8/20 (40%)

10/19 (53%)Dribbles7/16 (44%)

6Dispossessed9

Defending

18Tackles15

67Tackles won80

8Interceptions12

10Clearances31

49Recoveries48

Discipline

8Fouls14

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

0Saves1

5Goal kicks11

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Vasco 39%

29%

Boca Juniors 33%

Who winsBoca Juniors to win (DNB) 53% · 1.91 @ 888Sport

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 59% · 1.60 @ Bet365

BTTSBTTS: No 56% · 1.70 @ Betway

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.20 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 29% · 2.00 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57%

1X2Boca Juniors to win 33% · 3.75 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 54%

1X2Vasco to win 39% · 3.20 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 1.40 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.45

Vasco da Gama

3.30

Draw

2.88

Boca Juniors

Double Chanceconsensus

1.40

Vasco da Gama or Draw

1.33

Vasco da Gama or Boca Juniors

1.53

Draw or Boca Juniors

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.10

Yes

1.66

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.08

Over 0.50

8.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.40

Over 1.50

2.75

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.30

Over 2.50

1.60

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.33

Over 3.50

1.20

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

10.00

Over 4.50

1.06

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.85

Vasco da Gama

1.88

Boca Juniors

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

3.20

Vasco da Gama

2.00

Draw

3.75

Boca Juniors

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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