Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
Hajime Moriyasu
Japan
Uruguay**Japan's got momentum, but Uruguay always brings that defensive grit** — friendlies can go either way, but the contrast in form here is pretty stark. 🔥
Japan rolled through Tunisia 4-0 last time out and sit at 2W-2D-1L in their last five. Uruguay, meanwhile, are stuck in draw city: **four draws in five** with just one loss to Spain. Neither team is exactly on fire, but Japan's got the recent sparkle.
Key storylines:
- **Japan's attacking fluidity** against a Uruguay side missing key midfielder F. Valverde and goalkeeper S. Rochet — depth will be tested
- **Uruguay's historic edge in the head-to-head** (3 wins vs Japan's 1 in the last six) — they won't come here intimidated
- **Endo and Nakamura controlling tempo** for Japan's midfield in a 3-4-2-1 that's been clicking lately
Expected lineups:
- **Japan**: Z. Suzuki, H. Itō, S. Taniguchi, T. Watanabe, Y. Nagatomo, K. Nakamura, D. Kamada, W. Endo, A. Ueda, K. Shiogai, D. Maeda
- **Uruguay**: F. Muslera, M. Olivera, M. Araújo, S. Bueno, G. Varela, R. Bentancur, M. Ugarte, A. Canobbio, F. Viñas, D. Núñez, R. Aguirre
Prediction:
**Japan 2–1 Uruguay** — Japan's form and fitness edge should just nudge them through, but Uruguay's scrappiness keeps it close.
Japan
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
Uruguay
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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