Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Fluminense host Palmeiras in a midweek Libertadores showdown, and the Maracanã should be *loud* — but Flu's injury woes might just be the deciding factor.** 🏟️
Fluminense have been hot-and-cold lately (2W, 3L), riding the high of a 4-0 demolition of Coritiba but crashing to a derby loss at home. Palmeiras, meanwhile, are rolling: three wins in five and only one defeat, with firepower to match. The head-to-head leans Palmeiras (21 wins to Flu's 18), and that experience counts.
Key storylines:
- **Fluminense's injury crisis is brutal** — Alisson, Cano, John Kennedy, and Felipe all out leaves the attack stretched thin
- **Palmeiras' three-defender setup** and control in the middle keeps them compact against a wounded opponent
- **Hulk and Soteldo** need to drag Fluminense through, but without their usual supporting cast it's a tall order
Expected lineups:
- **Fluminense**: Fábio, Renê, Martinelli, J. Millán, T. Silva, Nonato, Y. Soteldo, Hulk, Ganso, A. Canobbio, R. Castillo
- **Palmeiras**: C. Miguel, J. Piquerez, Murilo, G. Gómez, A. Giay, M. Freitas, A. Pereira, L. Evangelista, F. Anderson, J. López, J. Arias
Prediction:
**Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense.** Flu scraps hard at home but depth runs out against a sharper, healthier side. 🎯
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.