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Fulham
Fulham
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Fulham
Fulham
Fulham
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Fulham
Fulham
Álvaro Arbeloa
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Fulham
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Crystal Palace
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Fulham 0-1 Crystal Palace.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
85'
Fulham
Corner, Fulham.
81'
Fulham
Corner, Fulham.
68'
Fulham
Corner, Fulham.
62'
Crystal Palace
Offside, Crystal Palace.
60'
Fulham
Corner, Fulham.
52'
Fulham
Corner, Fulham.
51'
Fulham
Corner, Fulham.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Fulham 0-1 Crystal Palace.
45'
1 minute of added time.
43'
Fulham
Corner, Fulham.
37'
Goal! Fulham 0-1 Crystal Palace. E. Nketiah (Crystal Palace) scores, assisted by Ó. Mingueza.
24'
Crystal Palace
Offside, Crystal Palace.
20'
Fulham
Corner, Fulham.
16'
Fulham
Corner, Fulham.
1'
Kick-off: Fulham vs Crystal Palace.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1086514 EUR · live
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
63.8%
+63.7 vs price
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
33.1%
-65.9 vs price
Draw
110.0 · implied 0.9%
3.2%
+2.3 vs price
Half time
225 EUR
Away
4.5 · implied 22.2%
100.0%
+77.8 vs price
Home
2.34 · implied 42.7%
90.3%
+47.6 vs price
Draw
2.58 · implied 38.8%
9.6%
-29.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
118728 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
61.7%
-37.3 vs price
Over
500.0 · implied 0.2%
38.3%
+38.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
83 EUR
Under
1.19 · implied 84.0%
78.0%
-6.0 vs price
Over
6.6 · implied 15.2%
22.0%
+6.8 vs price
19 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
19'
S. Berge · Foul
37'
⚽
E. Nketiah · assist Ó. Mingueza0–1
Half-time · 0–1
50'
J. Lerma · Foul
58'
🔁
T. Castagne ◂ K. Tete
58'
🔁
T. Cairney ◂ H. Larsson
58'
🔁
J. King ◂ C. Palacios
61'
🔁
A. Wharton ◂ C. Doucouré
61'
🔁
T. Mitchell ◂ B. Chilwell
63'
E. Guessand · Foul
71'
🔁
D. McNeil ◂ E. Nketiah
72'
🔁
G. García ◂ A. Iwobi
77'
🔁
D. Kamada ◂ E. Guessand
77'
🔁
Y. Pino ◂ D. Osorio
82'
🔁
Kevin ◂ O. Bobb
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Álvaro ArbeloaPierre Sage 
Recent form
FulhamWACoventry City1-0
WHHull City1-0
LAIpswich Town1-2
DHManchester United1-1
WAWest Ham United3-2
Crystal PalaceLHNewcastle United0-2
DABeşiktaş JK2-2
LABrighton & Hove Albion0-5
LAOlympique Lyonnais2-3
WHNottingham Forest3-1
About this match
**Fulham's hitting their stride while Palace are spinning downward** — this Carabao Cup quarters matchup is practically custom-made for the Cottagers to roll through. 🔥
Fulham have won 3 of their last 5 and look razor-sharp at home. Crystal Palace, meanwhile, are limping in with just one win in five and a horror-show 0-5 drubbing at Brighton. Palace are also dealing with multiple defensive casualties on the injury list.
Key storylines:
- **Fulham's attack vs Palace's depleted backline** — with Riad, Henderson, and Tomiyasu sidelined, Palace's defense is stretched thin and Fulham's front four should have room to operate
- **Form tells the story** — three straight wins for the Cottagers against one win in five for Palace; this feels like a mismatch
- **Home comfort** — Craven Cottage is no place to visit when you're out of form, especially in a cup tie
Expected lineups:
- **Fulham**: Leno, Robinson, Bassey, Affengruber, Castagne, Iwobi, Charles, Palacios, King, Bobb, García
- **Crystal Palace**: Benítez, Richards, Canvot, Ahanor, Disasi, Wharton, Mitchell, Timber, Pino, Larsen, Sarr
Prediction:
**Fulham 2-0 Crystal Palace**
Fulham have the clear edge and should dispatch a struggling Palace side without much drama.
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Craven Cottage
City
London
Kickoff
28 Oct, 19:45 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Fulham
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Crystal Palace
23
B. Lecomte
7.4
21
T. Castagne
7.2
↑ 58'
5
J. Andersen
7.8
3
C. Bassey
7.4
33
A. Robinson
6.4
16
S. Berge
7.0
10
T. Cairney
7.0
↑ 58'
11
Kevin
6.8
↑ 82'
7
G. García
6.5
↑ 72'
24
J. King
6.6
↑ 58'
9
R. Muniz
6.3
1
D. Henderson
8.0
8
J. Lerma
7.4
26
C. Richards
7.8
21
H. Ahanor
7.2
30
Ó. Mingueza
7.4
19
W. Hughes
6.7
3
T. Mitchell
7.2
↑ 61'
20
A. Wharton
6.7
↑ 61'
18
D. Kamada
6.4
↑ 77'
10
Y. Pino
6.8
↑ 77'
11
D. McNeil
7.3
↑ 71'
Substitutes
1GB. Leno
2DK. Tete↓ 58'6.3
4DJ. Cuenca
14MO. Bobb↓ 82'7.2
17MA. Iwobi↓ 72'6.8
8MC. Palacios↓ 58'6.7
15MH. Larsson↓ 58'6.3
6MH. Reed
20MM. Á. Morán
Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa
Top stats
74%Possession26%
2.09Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.76
14Total shots4
4Shots on target3
4Big chances1
9Corners0
Shots
4Shots off target1
6Blocked shots0
11Shots inside box3
3Shots outside box1
4Big chances missed1
Attack
29Touches in box6
95Final third entries23
0Offsides2
12Free kicks11
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
789Passes280
717Accurate passes207
36/56 (64%)Long balls17/49 (35%)
10/34 (29%)Crosses1/2 (50%)
32Throw-ins17
Duels
50Duels50
32/64 (50%)Ground duels32/64 (50%)
9/18 (50%)Aerial duels9/18 (50%)
9/22 (41%)Dribbles5/9 (56%)
4Dispossessed7
Defending
11Tackles17
64Tackles won65
6Interceptions11
5Clearances45
52Recoveries46
Discipline
11Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
0Big saves1
1Goal kicks12
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsCrystal Palace to win (DNB) 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365
1X2Fulham to win 53% · 2.10 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.75 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.89 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.88 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 24% · 2.77 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
1X2Crystal Palace to win 23% · 4.28 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.76
Fulham
3.90
Draw
4.20
Crystal Palace
Double Chanceconsensus
1.22
Fulham or Draw
1.25
Fulham or Crystal Palace
2.00
Draw or Crystal Palace
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.60
Yes
2.22
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.30
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
15.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.63
Over 2.50
2.27
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.60
Over 3.50
1.47
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.67
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.30
Fulham
3.30
Crystal Palace
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.27
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.38
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50
1.92
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.32
Over 10.50
1.50
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.00
Over 11.50
1.29
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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