Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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**Athletic Club are heavy favorites to extend their unbeaten run**, but Levante at home could be a tricky customer in this midweek La Liga clash. 🔴
Levante's mixed form (three draws in five) shows they can grind out results, though they've shipped goals lately. Athletic, meanwhile, are rolling with two wins and three draws — they've got defensive steel and haven't lost since the season kicked off.
Key storylines:
- **Athletic's injury list is long** (N. Williams, O. Sancet, U. Eguíluz all out), which could dull their attacking edge despite their strong run
- **Levante's home form** has included a 3-3 thriller vs Sevilla, suggesting they can open up against quality opponents
- **Head-to-head heavily favors Athletic** (21 wins vs Levante's 6 since their last 32 meetings), a mental factor in a tight contest
Expected lineups:
- **Levante UD**: M. Ryan, M. Sánchez, Adri, A. Mandi, N. Pérez, R. Brugué, T. Fernández, O. Rey, J. A. Olasagasti, V. García, I. Romero
- **Athletic Club**: U. Simón, A. Laporte, A. Paredes, Y. Berchiche, J. Areso, I. Williams, R. Navarro, M. Sannadi, I. R. d. Galarreta, G. Guruzeta, Á. Djaló
Prediction:
**Athletic 1-1 Levante**. Athletic edge the history and form, but missing bodies up front means they'll settle for a draw on the road.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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