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Flamengo
Flamengo
Estudiantes de La Plata
Flamengo
A. Medina
Flamengo
Flamengo
Estudiantes de La Plata
Flamengo
Estudiantes de La Plata
Estudiantes de La Plata
Estudiantes de La Plata
Leonardo Jardim
Flamengo
Estudiantes de La Plata
Flamengo
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Estudiantes de La Plata
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Flamengo 0-0 Estudiantes de La Plata.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
87'
Flamengo
Corner, Flamengo.
87'
Flamengo
Corner, Flamengo.
77'
Estudiantes de La Plata
Corner, Estudiantes de La Plata.
68'
Flamengo
Corner, Flamengo.
65'
A. Medina
Yellow card for A. Medina (Estudiantes de La Plata) for argument.
63'
Flamengo
Corner, Flamengo.
58'
Flamengo
Corner, Flamengo.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Flamengo 0-0 Estudiantes de La Plata.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
22'
Attempt blocked. B. Rodriguez (Estudiantes de La Plata), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
22'
Estudiantes de La Plata
Corner, Estudiantes de La Plata.
21'
Attempt missed. L. G. Pírez (Estudiantes de La Plata), header from a set piece. xG 0.14.
17'
Attempt saved. B. Rodriguez (Estudiantes de La Plata), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
17'
Flamengo
Corner, Flamengo.
17'
Estudiantes de La Plata
Corner, Estudiantes de La Plata.
16'
Estudiantes de La Plata
Corner, Estudiantes de La Plata.
16'
Attempt missed. L. G. Pírez (Estudiantes de La Plata), header from a corner. xG 0.01.
16'
Attempt saved. M. Rojo (Estudiantes de La Plata), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.28.
16'
Attempt blocked. M. Rojo (Estudiantes de La Plata), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.28.
15'
Estudiantes de La Plata
Corner, Estudiantes de La Plata.
3'
Attempt saved. S. Núñez (Estudiantes de La Plata), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.
1'
Kick-off: Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
530295 EUR · live
Home
34.0 · implied 2.9%
75.0%
+72.1 vs price
Draw
1.01 · implied 99.0%
21.0%
-78.0 vs price
Away
830.0 · implied 0.1%
4.0%
+3.9 vs price
Half time
562 EUR
Away
9.4 · implied 10.6%
50.6%
+40.0 vs price
Home
2.12 · implied 47.2%
43.0%
-4.2 vs price
Draw
2.4 · implied 41.7%
6.5%
-35.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
82268 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
85.5%
-13.5 vs price
Over
110.0 · implied 0.9%
14.7%
+13.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1825 EUR
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
94.1%
+2.4 vs price
Over
10.5 · implied 9.5%
5.9%
-3.6 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
35'
B. Rodriguez · Persistent fouling
38'
🔁
T. Palacios ◂ J. Correa
Half-time · 0–0
49'
L. G. Pírez · Foul
50'
B. Rodriguez · Foul
54'
S. Núñez · Foul
64'
🔁
G. de Arrascaeta ◂ J. Carrascal
64'
E. Piovi · Argument
65'
A. Medina · Argument
77'
🔁
A. Gaich ◂ G. Carrillo
77'
🔁
E. Cetré ◂ J. Tobio Burgos
77'
🔁
T. Palacios ◂ M. Rojo
82'
🔁
A. Lucas ◂ A. Sandro
82'
🔁
G. Plata ◂ S. Lino
82'
🔁
B. Henrique ◂ E. Pulgar
88'
🔁
J. Freitas ◂ Pedro
Full-time · 0–0
90'
🔁
J. Sosa ◂ A. Castro
PEN · 2–3
Coaches
Leonardo JardimAlexander Medina 
Recent form
FlamengoWABahia3-0
DAEstudiantes de La Plata0-0
WHFluminense1-0
DASantos2-2
WHRed Bull Bragantino2-1
Estudiantes de La PlataLHSan Lorenzo1-2
DHFlamengo0-0
DACentral Córdoba2-2
WHGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza3-0
LACA Lanús1-2
About this match
**Flamengo host Estudiantes in a Libertadores grudge match at the Maracanã** — they drew 0-0 down in Buenos Aires just weeks ago, and now the Rubro-Negro get their shot at home turf. 🔥
Flamengo are rolling (3W-2D), but they're **dealing with serious injury headaches**: Danilo's jaw, de Arrascaeta's wrist, three others out. Estudiantes are shakier (1W-2D-2L), fresh off a loss to San Lorenzo, and they're also down bodies — Meza and Neves sidelined.
Key storylines:
- **Pedro and Carrascal need to punish** a traveling Estudiantes backline that's been leaky on the road
- **Flamengo's midfield depth gets tested**: Pulgar and Jorginho holding without their usual attacking support from de Arrascaeta
- **Home-field edge matters in Copa Libertadores** — Flamengo's won 2 of the last 5 H2H; this is their moment
Expected lineups:
- **Flamengo**: A. Rossi, E. Royal, L. Ortiz, L. Pereira, A. Sandro, E. Pulgar, Jorginho, S. Lino, L. Paquetá, J. Carrascal, Pedro
- **Estudiantes de La Plata**: F. Muslera, E. Mancuso, S. Núñez, L. G. Pírez, G. Benedetti, B. Rodriguez, A. Castro, J. Tobio Burgos, M. Monsalve, T. Palacios, A. Gaich
Prediction:
**Flamengo 2–0 Estudiantes** — the Rubro-Negro lean on home comfort and their current form to break the stalemate.
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Estádio do Maracanã
City
Rio de Janeiro
Kickoff
23 Oct, 00:30 UTC
Competition
Copa Libertadores
Highlights & clips
Flamengo
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Estudiantes de La Plata
1
A. Rossi
7.1
22
E. Royal
6.7
3
L. Ortiz
7.1
4
L. Pereira
8.4
6
A. Lucas
6.6
↑ 82'
19
G. Plata
6.5
↑ 82'
21
Jorginho
7.6
10
G. de Arrascaeta
7.2
↑ 64'
11
L. Paquetá
7.8
27
B. Henrique
6.3
↑ 82'
30
J. Freitas
↑ 88'
16
F. Muslera
9.9
40
E. Mancuso
7.3
4
S. Núñez
7.4
14
L. G. Pírez
7.2
18
E. Cetré
5.9
↑ 77'
21
E. Piovi
6.4
7
J. Sosa
↑ 90'
31
B. Rodriguez
6.2
10
T. Palacios
6.5
↑ 38'
19
A. Gaich
6.7
↑ 77'
24
T. Palacios
6.5
↑ 38'
Substitutes
42GAndrew
26DA. Sandro↓ 82'7.3
61DJ. Victor
44DVitão
2DG. Varela
16MS. Lino↓ 82'7.5
15MJ. Carrascal↓ 64'6.8
5ME. Pulgar↓ 82'6.8
18MN. De la Cruz
7ML. Araújo
8MS. Ñíguez
9FPedro↓ 88'6.6
Coach: Leonardo Jardim
Top stats
76%Possession24%
1.06Expected goals (xG)0.75
13Total shots8
3Shots on target3
2Big chances2
6Corners5
Shots
3Shots off target3
7Blocked shots2
8Shots inside box4
5Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork1
2Big chances missed2
0.34Goals prevented0.45
Attack
22Touches in box6
77Final third entries34
14Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
649Passes207
578Accurate passes135
16/29 (55%)Long balls20/58 (34%)
5/28 (18%)Crosses2/9 (22%)
19Throw-ins11
Duels
55Duels45
40/70 (57%)Ground duels30/70 (43%)
17/33 (52%)Aerial duels16/33 (48%)
9/18 (50%)Dribbles6/15 (40%)
5Dispossessed8
Defending
17Tackles14
65Tackles won71
6Interceptions11
19Clearances25
50Recoveries42
Discipline
10Fouls14
0Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
1Big saves1
2Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 23 bookmakers
1X2Flamengo to win 74% · 1.60 @ William Hill
Who winsFlamengo to win (DNB) 83% · 1.17 @ Betano
BTTSBTTS: No 64% · 1.14 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.14 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.31 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.33 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.80 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.30 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 18% · 2.93 @ 1xBet
1X2Estudiantes to win 8% · 10.70 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.25
Flamengo
5.25
Draw
12.00
Estudiantes de La Plata
Double Chanceconsensus
1.04
Flamengo or Draw
1.15
Flamengo or Estudiantes de La Plata
3.42
Draw or Estudiantes de La Plata
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.40
Yes
1.50
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
1.73
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
17.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
9.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.30
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.01
Over 2.50
1.77
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.60
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.50
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.14
Flamengo
5.38
Estudiantes de La Plata
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.42
Over 7.50
2.51
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.75
Over 8.50
1.96
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.24
Over 9.50
1.58
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.00
Over 10.50
1.31
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
4.03
Over 11.50
1.16
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Flamengo to win or draw
✓
92% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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