New York Red Bulls 0-3 St.Louis City: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. New York Red Bulls 0-3 St.Louis City.

90+1'

T. Ostrák

Goal! New York Red Bulls 0-3 St.Louis City. T. Ostrák (St.Louis City) scores.

90+1'

J. Sang-bin

Attempt saved. J. Sang-bin (St.Louis City), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

90+1'

St.Louis City

Offside, St.Louis City.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

90'

New York Red Bulls

Offside, New York Red Bulls.

90'

New York Red Bulls

Offside, New York Red Bulls.

89'

C. Cowell

Attempt saved. C. Cowell (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

87'

S. Becher

Goal! New York Red Bulls 0-2 St.Louis City. S. Becher (St.Louis City) scores, assisted by C. Durkin.

87'

T. Ostrák

Attempt saved. T. Ostrák (St.Louis City), right-footed shot. xG 0.23.

87'

M. Sofo

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: A. Rojas comes on for M. Sofo.

87'

T. Parker

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: R. Voloder comes on for T. Parker.

86'

E. Forsberg

Yellow card for E. Forsberg (New York Red Bulls) for argument.

85'

D. Edelman

Substitution, St.Louis City: L. MacNaughton comes on for D. Edelman.

85'

R. Navarro

Substitution, St.Louis City: T. Ostrák comes on for R. Navarro.

84'

C. Cowell

Attempt blocked. C. Cowell (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

84'

S. Kone

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: N. Worth comes on for S. Kone.

84'

New York Red Bulls

Corner, New York Red Bulls.

74'

New York Red Bulls

Offside, New York Red Bulls.

73'

E. M. Choupo-Moting

Attempt saved. E. M. Choupo-Moting (New York Red Bulls), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

71'

C. Holse

Attempt missed. C. Holse (St.Louis City), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

71'

A. Mățan

Substitution, St.Louis City: S. Becher comes on for A. Mățan.

71'

C. Holse

Substitution, St.Louis City: J. Sang-bin comes on for C. Holse.

69'

M. Sofo

Attempt missed. M. Sofo (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.13.

68'

New York Red Bulls

Corner, New York Red Bulls.

65'

E. Forsberg

Attempt blocked. E. Forsberg (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.08.

64'

J. Ruvalcaba

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: P. Castro comes on for J. Ruvalcaba.

63'

D. Padelford

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: C. Faello comes on for D. Padelford.

58'

D. Polvara

Attempt missed. D. Polvara (St.Louis City), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

57'

St.Louis City

Corner, St.Louis City.

57'

R. Navarro

Attempt saved. R. Navarro (St.Louis City), right-footed shot. xG 0.26.

53'

St.Louis City

Offside, St.Louis City.

52'

New York Red Bulls

Corner, New York Red Bulls.

50'

New York Red Bulls

Corner, New York Red Bulls.

50'

C. Wallem

Attempt blocked. C. Wallem (St.Louis City), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

49'

E. M. Choupo-Moting

Cleared off the line! E. M. Choupo-Moting (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.22.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. New York Red Bulls 0-1 St.Louis City.

45'

1 minute of added time.

39'

E. Forsberg

Attempt missed. E. Forsberg (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.42.

38'

C. Holse

Attempt blocked. C. Holse (St.Louis City), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

37'

New York Red Bulls

Offside, New York Red Bulls.

35'

T. Baumgartl

Yellow card for T. Baumgartl (St.Louis City) for foul.

30'

C. Cowell

Attempt saved. C. Cowell (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

29'

St.Louis City

Corner, St.Louis City.

29'

D. Polvara

Attempt saved. D. Polvara (St.Louis City), header from a corner. xG 0.35.

29'

St.Louis City

Corner, St.Louis City.

28'

C. Holse

Attempt blocked. C. Holse (St.Louis City), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

28'

T. Totland

Attempt blocked. T. Totland (St.Louis City), header. xG 0.03.

20'

C. Holse

Attempt missed. C. Holse (St.Louis City), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

15'

J. Ruvalcaba

Attempt saved. J. Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

14'

St.Louis City

Offside, St.Louis City.

14'

C. Holse

Attempt saved. C. Holse (St.Louis City), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

11'

M. Sofo

Attempt missed. M. Sofo (New York Red Bulls), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

9'

St.Louis City

Offside, St.Louis City.

5'

R. Navarro

Goal! New York Red Bulls 0-1 St.Louis City. R. Navarro (St.Louis City) scores, assisted by C. Wallem.

1'

Kick-off: New York Red Bulls vs St.Louis City.

Where the money is

111160 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 2 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 54879 EUR · live

Away 1.44 · implied 69.4%

77.2%

+7.7 vs price

Draw 5.3 · implied 18.9%

16.9%

-2.0 vs price

Home 8.0 · implied 12.5%

7.2%

-5.3 vs price

Half time 93 EUR

Away 2.36 · implied 42.4%

85.2%

+42.8 vs price

Draw 2.76 · implied 36.2%

10.8%

-25.4 vs price

Home 4.3 · implied 23.3%

2.2%

-21.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 27417 EUR · live

Over 1.27 · implied 78.7%

74.9%

-3.9 vs price

Under 4.9 · implied 20.4%

25.2%

+4.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 362 EUR

Over 4.7 · implied 21.3%

70.2%

+49.0 vs price

Under 1.27 · implied 78.7%

29.6%

-49.2 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 4 clips

Player of the match

Match events

5' ⚽ R. Navarro · assist C. Wallem0–1

35' T. Baumgartl · Foul

Half-time · 0–1

63' 🔁 C. Faello ◂ D. Padelford

64' 🔁 P. Castro ◂ J. Ruvalcaba

71' 🔁 J. Sang-bin ◂ C. Holse

71' 🔁 S. Becher ◂ A. Mățan

84' 🔁 N. Worth ◂ S. Kone

85' 🔁 T. Ostrák ◂ R. Navarro

85' 🔁 L. MacNaughton ◂ D. Edelman

86' E. Forsberg · Argument

87' ⚽ S. Becher · assist C. Durkin0–2

87' 🔁 R. Voloder ◂ T. Parker

87' 🔁 A. Rojas ◂ M. Sofo

Full-time · 0–3

90'⁺¹ ⚽ T. Ostrák0–3

Coaches

Michael Bradley

Yoann Damet

Recent form

New York Red Bulls

WANew York City FC1-0

WAColumbus Crew1-0

LALos Angeles FC0-2

DASeattle Sounders FC0-0

LHPhiladelphia Union1-3

St.Louis City

WHToronto FC3-1

WHMinnesota United4-2

DAPortland Timbers2-2

WAVancouver Whitecaps3-1

DHFC Dallas3-3

About this match

**Red Bulls hosting City in a midweek battle where one team's peak form collides with the other's absent stars.** 🔴

New York are patchy lately — two wins sandwiched between losses and a road trip to LA that stung 0–2. St. Louis, meanwhile, just demolished Toronto and Minnesota at home, racking up 7 goals across those two. The Red Bulls have serious bodies out on international duty, which could leave gaps; City's only real concern is **K. Hiebert's** hip injury.

Key storylines:

- **St. Louis City's** three straight wins (all at home) show a ruthless attacking edge; can they maintain it on the road in Jersey?
- **E. Forsberg** and **S. Kone** will need to find rhythm in midfield for New York despite the absence of **A. Mehmeti** and **M. Jiménez**.
- St. Louis have conceded in every game but won anyway — their defense could be exposed against a desperate Red Bulls side needing points.

Expected lineups:

- **New York Red Bulls**: E. Horvath, D. Padelford, T. Parker, E. Forsberg, S. Kone, C. Cowell, M. Sofo, C. Harper
- **St.Louis City**: R. Bürki, T. Baumgartl, D. Edelman, C. Wallem, D. Polvara, J. Sang-bin, S. Becher, A. Mățan

Prediction:

**2–2 draw.** City's form is scary, but the Red Bulls' home ground and St. Louis's shaky backline suggests chaos and goals for both sides. 🎯

Where to watch

Apple TV

Match facts

Stadium

Sports Illustrated Stadium

City

Harrison

Referee

Rubiel Vazquez

3.59 yellows/match · 56 matches

Kickoff

30 Sep, 23:30 UTC

Competition

MLS

Highlights & clips

New York Red Bulls 4-3-3 · 3-1-4-2 St.Louis City

34 E. Horvath 7.1 12 D. Nealis 6.4 6 R. Voloder 6.0 ↑ 87' 14 J. Bazán 7.0 45 C. Faello 6.4 ↑ 63' 70 A. Rojas 6.2 ↑ 87' 80 N. Worth 6.5 ↑ 84' 10 E. Forsberg 6.0 88 P. Castro 6.4 ↑ 64' 13 E. M. Choupo-Moting 7.0 7 C. Cowell 7.6 1 R. Bürki 7.3 21 D. Polvara 8.0 32 T. Baumgartl 7.0 27 F. Fall 7.8 8 C. Durkin 8.3 6 C. Wallem 8.4 5 L. MacNaughton 6.7 ↑ 85' 11 S. Becher 7.6 ↑ 71' 14 T. Totland 7.2 77 J. Sang-bin 6.8 ↑ 71' 7 T. Ostrák 7.0 ↑ 85'

Substitutes

77GJ. McCarthy 59DD. Padelford↓ 63'6.5 26DT. Parker↓ 87'6.4 60MS. Kone↓ 84'7.2 66MT. Rosborough 11FJ. Ruvalcaba↓ 64'6.3 37FM. Sofo↓ 87'5.9

Coach: Michael Bradley

Substitutes

39GB. Lundt 99DJ. Orozco 23MA. Mățan↓ 71'7.5 24MD. Edelman↓ 85'6.9 19MC. Holse↓ 71'6.8 20MR. Santos 28MM. Perez 59MM. Joyner 9FR. Navarro↓ 85'8.1

Coach: Yoann Damet

Top stats

45%Possession55%

1.18Expected goals (xG)2.24

10Total shots15

5Shots on target8

1Big chances4

4Corners3

Shots

3Shots off target3

2Blocked shots4

6Shots inside box10

4Shots outside box5

0Big chances scored2

1Big chances missed2

1.05Goals prevented0.52

Attack

15Touches in box32

55Final third entries71

3Offsides4

12Free kicks12

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

420Passes511

338Accurate passes415

19/45 (42%)Long balls36/57 (63%)

2/8 (25%)Crosses6/11 (55%)

20Throw-ins28

Duels

49Duels51

46/92 (50%)Ground duels46/92 (50%)

9/20 (45%)Aerial duels11/20 (55%)

18/29 (62%)Dribbles8/16 (50%)

15Dispossessed8

Defending

16Tackles26

56Tackles won62

10Interceptions13

13Clearances19

56Recoveries55

Discipline

12Fouls12

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves4

1Big saves0

6Goal kicks8

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 16 bookmakers

NY Red Bulls 27%

22%

St. Louis 52%

1X2St. Louis to win 52% · 2.30 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 67% · 1.40 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 64% · 1.48 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.80 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 85% · 1.11 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 67%

Who winsSt. Louis to win (DNB) 51% · 1.40 @ 888Sport

1X2Draw 22% · 2.60 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55%

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 56% · 1.73 @ Bet365

1X2NY Red Bulls to win 27% · 3.75 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.50

New York Red Bulls

4.33

Draw

1.81

St.Louis City

Double Chanceconsensus

1.91

New York Red Bulls or Draw

1.20

New York Red Bulls or St.Louis City

1.29

Draw or St.Louis City

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.42

Yes

2.71

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

21.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.11

Over 1.50

6.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.40

Over 2.50

2.88

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.00

Over 3.50

1.73

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.25

Over 4.50

1.33

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.85

New York Red Bulls

1.39

St.Louis City

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.80

Over 9.50

1.91

Under 9.50

Total Cards 3.50consensus

1.61

Over 3.50

2.20

Under 3.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

3.75

New York Red Bulls

2.60

Draw

2.30

St.Louis City

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

85% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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