Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match events
41'
⚽
Paulinho · assist J. Gallardo1–0
46'
🔁
J. R. Barragan ◂ O. Campos
53'
🔁
P. Pérez ◂ N. Castro
64'
🔁
O. Ebere ◂ M. Levy
71'
E. Lira
73'
🔁
A. Morales ◂ J. Márquez
73'
🔁
L. Romero ◂ C. Rodríguez
75'
🔁
S. Córdova ◂ J. R. Angulo
75'
🔁
D. Barbosa ◂ S. Simón
76'
L. Romero
77'
⚽
J. Paradela · assist O. Ebere1–1
82'
🔁
A. G. Moreno ◂ J. Paradela
88'
🔁
F. Rossi ◂ F. Romero
Coaches
Antonio MohamedJoel Huiqui 
Recent form
CD TolucaDClub Puebla0-0CD Toluca
DTigres UANL0-0CD Toluca
WCD Toluca3-1Santos Laguna
WCF Monterrey0-1CD Toluca
WCD Toluca2-1Tigres UANL
Cruz AzulWFC Juárez3-4Cruz Azul
WCruz Azul1-0Club Puebla
WCruz Azul2-0Atlas FC
LClub León2-1Cruz Azul
LCDS Tampico Madero2-1Cruz Azul
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Diez
City
Toluca
Referee
Luis Santander
Kickoff
07 Feb, 23:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Clausura
CD Toluca
5-3-2 · 3-4-3
Cruz Azul
1
H. Gonzalez
6.7
19
S. Simón
8.3
6
F. Pereira
6.3
4
Bruno Méndez
6.9
25
E. López
6.7
20
J. Gallardo
7.9
5
F. Romero
6.7
14
M. Ruíz
7.3
8
N. Castro
6.5
10
J. R. Angulo
6.5
26
Paulinho
7.3
1
A. Gudiño
7.6
4
W. Ditta
6.7
6
E. Lira
6.8
33
G. Piovi
6.9
3
O. Campos
6.3
8
A. Palavecino
6.3
16
J. Márquez
6.1
29
C. Rotondi
6.6
20
J. Paradela
7.0
214
M. Levy
6.7
19
C. Rodríguez
6.4
Substitutes
15P. Pérez6.72D. Barbosa6.47S. Córdova6.327F. Rossi29J. Díaz22L. García33V. Arteaga17M. A. Isais23O. Virgen13L. Garcia
Coach: Antonio Mohamed
55%Possession45%
2.62Expected goals (xG)0.79
15Total shots9
6Shots on target4
5Big chances1
6Corners1
15Fouls13
0Yellow cards2