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Pedro Emanuel
Vasco da Gama
Mirassol
Vasco da Gama
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Mirassol
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
30'
⚽
Igor Formiga · assist Reinaldo0–1
36'
🔁
L. Oliveira ◂ J. Aldo
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
C. Eduardo ◂ G. Silva
60'
🔁
N. Moreira ◂ Tchê Tchê
60'
🔁
David ◂ Adson
66'
Walter · Time wasting
69'
🔁
Eduardo ◂ Japa
69'
🔁
Fernandinho ◂ E. Carioca
70'
🔁
Jair ◂ R. R. S. d. S. Barros
71'
🔁
L. Piton ◂ Cuiabano
74'
🔁
J. Rojas ◂ C. Barros
80'
⚽
A. Gómez1–1
82'
🔁
Chico ◂ Denilson
83'
N. Moreira · Foul
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes 
Recent form
DAIndependiente Medellín2-2
LAVitória0-1
LHAtlético Mineiro0-1
WHBarracas Central3-0
LHRed Bull Bragantino0-3
WHGrêmio2-1
LAAthletico0-1
LACA Lanús0-1
WHFluminense1-0
WAClub Always Ready2-1
Where to watch
PremiereRecordYouTube - CazéTV
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio São Januário
City
Rio de Janeiro
Referee
Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Kickoff
25 Jul, 23:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
1
L. Jardim
6.5
2
P. Rodríguez
6.9
46
C. Cuesta
7.1
30
R. Renan
7.3
6
L. Piton
7.0
↑ 71'
10
J. Rojas
6.7
↑ 74'
17
N. Moreira
6.7
↑ 60'
7
David
6.7
↑ 60'
8
Jair
7.1
↑ 70'
11
A. Gómez
8.3
77
C. Spinelli
6.3
22
Walter
8.1
32
Igor Formiga
7.9
34
J. Victor
8.0
44
Gabriel
6.8
6
Reinaldo
7.3
10
Chico
6.6
↑ 82'
2
L. Oliveira
6.7
↑ 36'
33
Eduardo
6.7
↑ 69'
96
C. Eduardo
6.7
↑ 46'
30
B. Santos
6.0
17
Fernandinho
6.8
↑ 69'
Substitutes
13GD. Fuzato
66DCuiabano↓ 71'6.3
96DP. Henrique
43DL. Freitas
29DPaulinho
3MTchê Tchê↓ 60'6.8
88MC. Barros↓ 74'6.5
83MR. R. S. d. S. Barros↓ 70'6.3
60MJ. Silva
18MM. Hinestroza
98MJP
28FAdson↓ 60'7.0
Coach: Pedro Emanuel
Substitutes
90GThomazella
3DW. Machado
12DV. Luis
18DElias
5MJapa↓ 69'7.3
21MJ. Aldo↓ 36'6.7
8MDenilson↓ 82'6.7
19MG. Silva↓ 46'6.3
7MShaylon
27MA. Galeano
95FE. Carioca↓ 69'7.0
9FA. Luis
Coach: Rafael Guanaes
Top stats
58%Possession42%
1.83Expected goals (xG)0.84
20Total shots10
4Shots on target3
3Big chances2
9Corners5
Shots
6Shots off target4
10Blocked shots3
16Shots inside box7
4Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
3Big chances missed1
-0.44Goals prevented1.12
Attack
42Touches in box16
57Final third entries31
1Offsides0
7Free kicks12
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
472Passes349
380Accurate passes280
26/56 (46%)Long balls14/40 (35%)
4/37 (11%)Crosses4/18 (22%)
15Throw-ins35
Duels
48Duels52
34/74 (46%)Ground duels39/72 (54%)
21/41 (51%)Aerial duels18/38 (47%)
12/21 (57%)Dribbles13/22 (59%)
5Dispossessed8
Defending
17Tackles14
71Tackles won79
12Interceptions11
30Clearances50
61Recoveries53
Discipline
12Fouls7
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
9Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 40 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.73 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.45 @ Interwetten
Who winsVasco to win (DNB) 64% · 1.45 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.78 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 28% · 3.41 @ Pinnacle
1X2Vasco to win 46% · 2.05 @ Interwetten
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.30 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.91 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 1.37 @ Unibet
1X2Mirassol to win 25% · 4.08 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.73 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.99
Vasco da Gama ▼
3.30
Draw ▲
3.58
Mirassol ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.26
Vasco da Gama or Draw ▼
1.32
Vasco da Gama or Mirassol ▲
1.77
Draw or Mirassol ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.83
Yes ▼
1.90
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50 ▲
8.61
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50 ▼
3.28
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.05
Over 2.50 ▲
1.77
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.58
Over 3.50 ▲
1.28
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50 ▼
1.09
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.43
Vasco da Gama ▼
2.66
Mirassol ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
17.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
10.00
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50 ▲
5.98
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50 ▼
3.75
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.42
Over 8.50 ▲
2.63
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.70
Over 9.50 ▼
2.02
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.11
Over 10.50 ▼
1.64
Under 10.50 ▲
1.5 – 1.3Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
Bets worth taking in this match
Bet: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.33
we give it 71 chances out of 100 at a fair price
71%
likely
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 54% | 54% | 1.7 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 65% | 65% | 1.42 | Overpriced | medium |
| Vasco to win (DNB)Who wins | 64% | 64% | 1.45 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 53% | 54% | 1.74 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 28% | 28% | 3.29 | Overpriced | low |
| Vasco to win1X2 | 46% | 46% | 2.02 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 73% | 74% | 1.27 | Overpriced | high |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 51% | 51% | 1.83 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 71% | 70% | 1.33 | Fair | high |
| Mirassol to win1X2 | 25% | 25% | 3.72 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 57% | 57% | 1.62 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Mirassol to win (DNB) — we say 43%, they say 36%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 69% | +2% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 43% | +4% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 20% | +7% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 48% | +3% | Yes |
| Home win | 46% | 48% | -2% | No |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | +1% | Yes |
| Away win | 25% | 25% | 0% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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