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Rafael Guanaes
Mirassol
Remo
Mirassol
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Remo
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
17'
Igor Formiga · Foul
21'
Gabriel · Foul
30'
⚽
Marllon1–0
Half-time · 1–1
45'+1
⚽
L. Picco1–1
46'
🔁
W. Machado ◂ Gabriel
54'
⚽
J. Victor · assist Reinaldo2–1
59'
🔁
Jajá ◂ Y. Pikachu
59'
🔁
M. Alexandre ◂ Marcelinho
60'
🔁
Shaylon ◂ G. Silva
72'
Z. Ivaldo · Foul
72'
M. Alexandre · Time wasting
75'
🔁
D. Braga ◂ Zé Ricardo
77'
🔁
G. Cazonatti ◂ Eduardo
81'
🔁
V. Bueno ◂ G. Taliari
81'
🔁
G. Poveda ◂ A. Manga
85'
🔁
Chico ◂ Japa
85'
🔁
C. Eduardo ◂ E. Carioca
Full-time · 2–1
Coaches
Rafael GuanaesLéo Condé 
Recent form
MirassolDAVasco da Gama1-1
WHGrêmio2-1
LAAthletico0-1
LACA Lanús0-1
WHFluminense1-0
RemoWHVitória2-0
LACorinthians0-3
WHSão Paulo1-0
LHAthletico1-2
WAChapecoense3-2
Where to watch
Premiere
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
City
Mirassol
Referee
Lucas Paulo Torezin
Kickoff
29 Jul, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Mirassol
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Remo
90
Thomazella
6.2
32
Igor Formiga
6.9
34
J. Victor
7.8
3
W. Machado
6.9
↑ 46'
6
Reinaldo
7.3
8
Denilson
6.9
10
Chico
6.7
↑ 85'
7
Shaylon
6.4
↑ 60'
55
G. Cazonatti
6.6
↑ 77'
96
C. Eduardo
6.4
↑ 85'
30
B. Santos
6.6
88
M. Rangel
7.5
2
M. Alexandre
6.9
↑ 59'
13
Marllon
6.0
27
Z. Ivaldo
6.1
77
Mayk
6.4
8
Patrick
7.5
14
L. Picco
7.9
7
Jajá
6.9
↑ 59'
26
D. Braga
6.8
↑ 75'
15
V. Bueno
6.2
↑ 81'
9
G. Poveda
6.3
↑ 81'
Substitutes
23GA. Muralha
44DGabriel↓ 46'6.5
2DL. Oliveira
12DV. Luis
18DElias
5MJapa↓ 85'6.9
33MEduardo↓ 77'6.3
19MG. Silva↓ 60'5.9
17MFernandinho
27MA. Galeano
95FE. Carioca↓ 85'7.1
9FA. Luis
Coach: Rafael Guanaes
Top stats
54%Possession46%
1.47Expected goals (xG)0.8
8Total shots13
4Shots on target2
4Big chances1
6Corners3
Shots
3Shots off target9
1Blocked shots2
5Shots inside box7
3Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed1
-0.57Goals prevented-0.33
Attack
16Touches in box16
65Final third entries46
3Offsides1
5Free kicks15
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
474Passes394
403Accurate passes313
20/43 (47%)Long balls17/45 (38%)
5/16 (31%)Crosses4/18 (22%)
29Throw-ins30
Duels
44Duels56
25/67 (37%)Ground duels42/67 (63%)
16/27 (59%)Aerial duels11/27 (41%)
9/24 (38%)Dribbles10/14 (71%)
3Dispossessed7
Defending
11Tackles18
82Tackles won83
18Interceptions9
33Clearances23
43Recoveries49
Discipline
15Fouls5
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
10Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 71 bookmakers
Who winsMirassol to win (DNB) 75% · 1.33 @ Bwin
CornersOver 9.5 corners 61% · 1.57 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.33 @ Interwetten
1X2Mirassol to win 57% · 1.80 @ Bwin
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 1.97 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 25% · 4.15 @ merkurxtip
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 1.31 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.91 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.41 @ betfair
1X2Remo to win 18% · 5.70 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 50% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.64
Mirassol ▼
3.82
Draw ▲
5.14
Remo ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.16
Mirassol or Draw
1.25
Mirassol or Remo
2.18
Draw or Remo ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.82
Yes ▼
1.90
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▼
10.29
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50
3.62
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.84
Over 2.50 ▼
1.92
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.10
Over 3.50 ▼
1.34
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.90
Over 4.50 ▼
1.13
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.24
Mirassol ▼
3.75
Remo ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
23.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50 ▼
13.00
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50 ▲
8.00
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50 ▼
4.68
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.30
Over 8.50 ▼
3.11
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.53
Over 9.50 ▲
2.31
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.86
Over 10.50 ▲
1.83
Under 10.50 ▼
1.9 – 0.9Expected goals
1-0Most likely score
~12Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol to win (DNB)Who wins | 75% | 75% | 1.24 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 61% | 61% | 1.52 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 71% | 71% | 1.3 | Overpriced | high |
| Mirassol to win1X2 | 57% | 57% | 1.64 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 51% | 51% | 1.84 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 25% | 25% | 3.82 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 74% | 74% | 1.26 | Overpriced | high |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 51% | 51% | 1.82 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 70% | 70% | 1.34 | Overpriced | high |
| Remo to win1X2 | 18% | 18% | 5.14 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 50% | 50% | 1.84 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Mirassol to win (DNB) — we say 84%, they say 75%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 69% | +5% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 43% | +8% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 20% | +10% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 48% | +3% | Yes |
| Home win | 57% | 48% | +9% | Yes |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | -2% | No |
| Away win | 18% | 25% | -7% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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