← All matches
Jair Ventura
Vitória
Palmeiras
Vitória
5-4-1 · 3-4-1-2
Palmeiras
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 5 clips
Player of the match
Match events
14'
M. Freitas · Foul
27'
Mauricio · Foul
32'
E. Martinez · Foul
37'
Cacá · Foul
40'
L. Cândido · Argument
41'
🔁
Z. Vitor ◂ E. Martinez
Half-time · 0–2
45'+1
⚽
Mauricio · assist J. Arias0–1
45'+6
⚽
F. Souza0–2
46'
🔁
D. Tarzia ◂ Matheuzinho
46'
🔁
T. Pochettino ◂ Renê
46'
🔁
Khellven ◂ Mauricio
46'
🔁
E. Martínez ◂ M. Freitas
46'
🔁
J. López ◂ G. Gómez
56'
F. Souza · Foul
65'
🔁
L. Evangelista ◂ A. Barboza
66'
E. Brítez · Foul
67'
🔁
Jamerson ◂ F. Souza
70'
⚽
J. Arias · assist J. Piquerez0–3
74'
🔁
Walace ◂ G. Baralhas
74'
🔁
V. Roque ◂ J. Arias
84'
⚽
R. Sosa0–4
Full-time · 0–4
Coaches
Jair VenturaAbel Ferreira 
Recent form
VitóriaLARemo0-2
DABotafogo0-0
WHVasco da Gama1-0
LASantos1-3
WHInternacional2-0
PalmeirasLHAtlético Mineiro1-2
WACoritiba3-1
WHChapecoense1-0
WHJunior Barranquilla4-1
WAFlamengo3-0
Where to watch
Arena Sport Premium 2
GETVGloboplayPremiereTV GloboYouTube - ge tv
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
Arena Sport Premium 2
Canal 11
Arena Sport Premium 2
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Manoel Barradas
City
Salvador
Referee
Alex Gomes Stefano
Kickoff
30 Jul, 00:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Vitória
5-4-1 · 3-4-1-2
Palmeiras
1
L. Arcanjo
5.3
83
Jamerson
6.4
↑ 67'
25
Cacá
5.9
2
E. Brítez
5.6
36
L. Cândido
5.6
13
Ramon
5.6
12
D. Tarzia
6.9
↑ 46'
15
Walace
6.3
↑ 74'
95
Caique
6.6
88
Z. Vitor
7.2
↑ 41'
8
T. Pochettino
6.5
↑ 46'
1
C. Miguel
7.2
26
Murilo
7.4
12
Khellven
7.0
↑ 46'
30
L. Evangelista
7.0
↑ 65'
40
Allan
6.6
8
A. Pereira
7.2
32
E. Martínez
6.8
↑ 46'
22
J. Piquerez
6.5
9
V. Roque
6.0
↑ 74'
42
J. López
5.9
↑ 46'
19
R. Sosa
7.6
Top stats
32%Possession68%
0.49Expected goals (xG)1.43
10Total shots16
3Shots on target5
0Big chances1
6Corners1
Shots
4Shots off target8
3Blocked shots3
7Shots inside box7
3Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances missed1
-2.82Goals prevented0.22
Attack
12Touches in box21
39Final third entries66
0Offsides2
15Free kicks10
3Fouled in final third4
Passing
229Passes507
162Accurate passes461
26/59 (44%)Long balls14/25 (56%)
4/13 (31%)Crosses1/11 (9%)
11Throw-ins12
Duels
58Duels42
37/60 (62%)Ground duels23/59 (39%)
15/30 (50%)Aerial duels15/29 (52%)
6/8 (75%)Dribbles4/14 (29%)
7Dispossessed7
Defending
17Tackles9
65Tackles won78
10Interceptions0
18Clearances19
39Recoveries45
Discipline
10Fouls15
3Yellow cards2
2Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
0Big saves2
8Goal kicks1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 72 bookmakers
Who winsPalmeiras to win (DNB) 66% · 1.48 @ efbet.net
1X2Palmeiras to win 47% · 2.11 @ betonline
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.70 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.43 @ Interwetten
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.68 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.26 @ betfair
1X2Draw 30% · 3.46 @ ggbet
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.92 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 1.50 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle
1X2Vitória to win 24% · 4.47 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.92
Vitória ▲
3.17
Draw ▲
2.01
Palmeiras ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.74
Vitória or Draw ▲
1.33
Vitória or Palmeiras ▼
1.24
Draw or Palmeiras
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.93
Yes ▼
1.79
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.11
Over 0.50 ▲
6.80
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.39
Over 1.50
2.86
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.23
Over 2.50
1.62
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.04
Over 3.50 ▼
1.21
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.35
Over 4.50 ▼
1.05
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
2.73
Vitória ▲
1.41
Palmeiras ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
21.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50 ▼
12.00
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50 ▲
7.50
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50 ▲
4.14
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.36
Over 8.50 ▲
2.88
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.61
Over 9.50 ▲
2.16
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.99
Over 10.50 ▲
1.73
Under 10.50 ▼
1.0 – 1.4Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~11Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras to win (DNB)Who wins | 66% | 66% | 1.41 | Overpriced | medium |
| Palmeiras to win1X2 | 47% | 47% | 2.01 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 58% | 58% | 1.59 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 68% | 68% | 1.35 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 57% | 58% | 1.62 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 77% | 77% | 1.21 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 30% | 30% | 3.17 | Overpriced | low |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 52% | 52% | 1.79 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 68% | 67% | 1.39 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 53% | 53% | 1.75 | Overpriced | low |
| Vitória to win1X2 | 24% | 24% | 3.92 | Overpriced | low |
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 69% | -1% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 43% | 0% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 20% | +3% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 48% | 0% | No |
| Home win | 24% | 48% | -24% | No |
| Draw | 30% | 27% | +3% | Yes |
| Away win | 47% | 25% | +22% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.