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Eduardo Dominguez
Atlético Mineiro
Grêmio
Atlético Mineiro
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Grêmio
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
336065 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.0%
-8.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.3%
+5.2 vs price
Draw
990.0 · implied 0.1%
3.8%
+3.6 vs price
Half time
4905 EUR · live
Home
1.16 · implied 86.2%
76.4%
-9.8 vs price
Draw
6.4 · implied 15.6%
12.4%
-3.2 vs price
Away
75.0 · implied 1.3%
11.1%
+9.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
59100 EUR · live
Under
2.36 · implied 42.4%
74.2%
+31.8 vs price
Over
1.74 · implied 57.5%
25.8%
-31.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4041 EUR · live
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
93.6%
+2.7 vs price
Over
9.4 · implied 10.6%
6.4%
-4.3 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
19'
⚽
V. Hugo · assist I. Gomes1–0
31'
🔁
Bernard ◂ I. Gomes
39'
C. Pavón · Argument
42'
Á. Preciado · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
45'+2
M. Cissé · Foul
46'
🔁
F. Krovinović ◂ J. Nardoni
46'
🔁
W. Kannemann ◂ G. Martins
46'
🔁
Tetê ◂ C. Pavón
57'
R. Lodi · Foul
61'
🔁
K. Castaño ◂ M. Cissé
61'
🔁
Maycon ◂ A. Franco
61'
W. Kannemann · Foul
62'
⚽
T. Cuello · assist R. Lodi2–0
63'
🔁
G. Mec ◂ Dodi
66'
⚽
T. Cuello3–0
69'
P. Gabriel · Foul
76'
🔁
C. Paulista ◂ P. Gabriel
81'
🔁
A. Minda ◂ V. Hugo
81'
🔁
Dudu ◂ T. Cuello
Full-time · 3–0
Coaches
Eduardo DominguezLuís Castro 
Recent form
Atlético MineiroWARed Bull Bragantino1-0
DARemo2-2
WAJuventude1-0
DHJuventude0-0
WAPalmeiras2-1
GrêmioWHSão Paulo2-1
WHMirassol1-0
DAMirassol1-1
LHBolívar0-1
DHFluminense1-1
Match facts
Stadium
Arena MRV
City
Belo Horizonte
Kickoff
16 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Atlético Mineiro
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Grêmio
22
Everson
7.5
23
Á. Preciado
7.0
4
Ruan
6.9
27
A. Minda
6.5
↑ 81'
6
R. Lodi
7.3
8
Maycon
7.1
↑ 61'
15
K. Castaño
6.7
↑ 61'
92
Dudu
6.6
↑ 81'
30
V. Hugo
6.1
11
Bernard
7.0
↑ 31'
9
M. Cassierra
6.8
1
Weverton
6.2
27
Diego Caito
6.2
4
W. Kannemann
6.6
↑ 46'
82
Wallace
6.6
38
C. Paulista
6.8
↑ 76'
8
E. Noriega
7.1
10
F. Krovinović
6.6
↑ 46'
21
Tetê
6.8
↑ 46'
37
G. Mec
6.5
↑ 63'
9
F. Amuzu
6.2
95
C. Vinícius
6.5
Substitutes
1GG. Delfim
2DNatanael
40DV. F. C. Teixeira
36DK. P. Resende
28MT. Cuello↓ 81'10.0
17MI. Gomes↓ 31'7.1
39MM. Cissé↓ 61'6.9
21MA. Franco↓ 61'6.8
19MReinier
25MT. Pérez
18FT. Borbas
Coach: Eduardo Dominguez
Top stats
51%Possession49%
2.52Expected goals (xG)0.41
15Total shots9
5Shots on target1
5Big chances0
8Corners6
Shots
6Shots off target4
4Blocked shots4
15Shots inside box6
0Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
0.06Goals prevented-0.61
Attack
30Touches in box8
51Final third entries47
0Offsides2
11Free kicks14
2Fouled in final third4
Passing
480Passes465
435Accurate passes422
28/44 (64%)Long balls19/41 (46%)
9/31 (29%)Crosses3/18 (17%)
22Throw-ins15
Duels
51Duels49
28/56 (50%)Ground duels28/56 (50%)
10/18 (56%)Aerial duels8/18 (44%)
3/8 (38%)Dribbles3/9 (33%)
6Dispossessed8
Defending
14Tackles11
50Tackles won64
7Interceptions9
17Clearances28
35Recoveries32
Discipline
14Fouls11
3Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
0Big saves1
5Goal kicks5
2Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
Who winsAtlético-MG to win (DNB) 70% · 1.40 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.82 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.48 @ Betway
1X2Atlético-MG to win 51% · 2.29 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.09 @ betika
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ fonbet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.04 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 1.99 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.37 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.70 @ Interwetten
1X2Grêmio to win 22% · 5.00 @ granmadrid
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.71
Atlético Mineiro
3.53
Draw
4.80
Grêmio
Double Chanceconsensus
1.17
Atlético Mineiro or Draw
1.27
Atlético Mineiro or Grêmio
1.98
Draw or Grêmio
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.88
Yes
1.83
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.81
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.28
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.98
Over 2.50
1.77
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.39
Over 3.50
1.28
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.70
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.28
Atlético Mineiro
3.44
Grêmio
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
9.10
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50 ▲
5.83
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.70
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50 ▲
2.60
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.73
Over 9.50 ▲
1.99
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.18
Over 10.50
1.60
Under 10.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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