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Jair Ventura
Vitória
Botafogo
Vitória
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Botafogo
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
671252 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
88.3%
-10.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.8%
+7.7 vs price
Draw
120.0 · implied 0.8%
4.0%
+3.2 vs price
Half time
3928 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
63.7%
-35.3 vs price
Draw
14.0 · implied 7.1%
28.1%
+20.9 vs price
Away
110.0 · implied 0.9%
8.2%
+7.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
179709 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.4%
-16.6 vs price
Over
150.0 · implied 0.7%
17.6%
+17.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
7608 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.4%
-6.6 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
7.6%
+4.8 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
2'
Huguinho · Foul
27'
⚽
Matheuzinho (pen)1–0
28'
🔁
J. Santos ◂ Huguinho
29'
Á. Montoro · Foul
29'
F. Carvalho · Argument
32'
VAR
Goal not given after review · Matheuzinho
Half-time · 1–0
45'+3
Ramon · Foul
51'
E. Martinez · Foul
53'
🔁
Danilo ◂ M. Martins
59'
🔁
Walace ◂ E. Martinez
59'
🔁
Jamerson ◂ Ramon
61'
L. Monzón · Foul
65'
🔁
T. Pochettino ◂ D. Tarzia
65'
🔁
R. Kayzer ◂ Renê
72'
🔁
S. Rodríguez ◂ C. Medina
72'
🔁
D. Andrade ◂ D. Santos
78'
🔁
Marinho ◂ Matheuzinho
Full-time · 1–0
90'+4
A. Cabral · Argument
Coaches
Jair VenturaFranclim Carvalho 
Recent form
VitóriaLAFlamengo0-2
WHAthletico4-0
LAAthletico0-2
LHPalmeiras0-4
LARemo0-2
BotafogoLACienciano1-6
DHFluminense1-1
WACruzeiro1-0
DHVitória0-0
WHSantos2-1
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Manoel Barradas
City
Salvador
Kickoff
16 Aug, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Vitória
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Botafogo
1
L. Arcanjo
8.4
2
E. Brítez
7.2
25
Cacá
6.9
36
L. Cândido
7.5
83
Jamerson
7.3
↑ 59'
15
Walace
7.1
↑ 59'
88
Z. Vitor
7.9
33
Erick
8.5
7
Marinho
6.6
↑ 78'
8
T. Pochettino
6.6
↑ 65'
79
R. Kayzer
6.4
↑ 65'
17
Warleson
7.0
2
Vitinho
6.7
5
N. Ferraresi
8.3
33
L. Monzón
6.7
13
A. Telles
7.4
7
J. Santos
6.2
↑ 28'
23
S. Rodríguez
7.1
↑ 72'
91
D. Andrade
6.8
↑ 72'
10
Á. Montoro
6.4
9
Danilo
6.5
↑ 53'
19
A. Cabral
7.0
Substitutes
71GY. Sena
13DRamon↓ 59'6.5
70DF. Souza
18DKauan
26DEdenílson
98DMateusinho
10MMatheuzinho↓ 78'7.7
6ME. Martinez↓ 59'7.3
12MD. Tarzia↓ 65'7.1
91FRenê↓ 65'6.1
11FOsvaldo
23FF. Santos
Coach: Jair Ventura
Substitutes
12GG. Batista
26DAnthony
4DM. Ponte
88DEdenilson
6MC. Medina↓ 72'7.2
8MD. Santos↓ 72'6.7
75MHuguinho↓ 28'5.8
59MK. Toledo
77ML. Villalba
25MAllan
11FM. Martins↓ 53'6.8
37FK. Barría
Coach: Franclim Carvalho
Top stats
46%Possession54%
2.22Expected goals (xG)1.3
22Total shots17
4Shots on target3
4Big chances2
8Corners4
Shots
12Shots off target4
6Blocked shots10
16Shots inside box7
6Shots outside box10
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed2
1.33Goals prevented0.1
Attack
35Touches in box15
55Final third entries61
5Offsides0
17Free kicks19
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
344Passes401
279Accurate passes327
22/48 (46%)Long balls19/43 (44%)
3/20 (15%)Crosses6/20 (30%)
18Throw-ins17
Duels
50Duels50
51/97 (53%)Ground duels46/97 (47%)
12/29 (41%)Aerial duels17/29 (59%)
13/22 (59%)Dribbles10/20 (50%)
8Dispossessed11
Defending
21Tackles17
76Tackles won59
5Interceptions10
30Clearances34
68Recoveries57
Discipline
19Fouls18
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
1Big saves0
3Goal kicks9
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 67 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.77 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.45 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.54 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.18 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.34 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.81 @ betinasia
1X2Botafogo to win 30% · 3.50 @ efbet.net
Who winsVitória to win (DNB) 58% · 1.68 @ merkurxtip
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.36 @ betfair
1X2Vitória to win 41% · 2.73 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.67 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.25
Vitória
3.20
Draw
3.15
Botafogo
Double Chanceconsensus
1.30
Vitória or Draw
1.28
Vitória or Botafogo
1.53
Draw or Botafogo
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.73
Yes
1.99
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.73
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.32
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.97
Over 2.50
1.79
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.39
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.85
Over 4.50
1.09
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.61
Vitória
2.24
Botafogo
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
8.70
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
5.84
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.78
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.41
Over 8.50
2.65
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.71
Over 9.50 ▲
2.01
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.14
Over 10.50
1.62
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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